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2/18/2025 3:47:54 PM

Individual Analysis Required for Altcoins as Mass Pumps Decline

Individual Analysis Required for Altcoins as Mass Pumps Decline

According to Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst), each altcoin now requires its own analysis as the era of sustainable mass pumps for multiple months has ended. This suggests traders should focus on specific coin fundamentals and market conditions rather than expecting broad market trends to drive significant gains. Source: Mihir (@RhythmicAnalyst).

Source

Analysis

On February 18, 2025, Mihir, a notable cryptocurrency analyst, tweeted that the era of prolonged mass pumps across multiple altcoins has ended, signaling a shift towards a more individualized approach to coin analysis (Mihir, Twitter, 2025). This statement was made in the context of recent market movements where Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant price drop from $65,000 to $60,000 between February 16 and February 18, 2025, with trading volumes surging from 2.5 billion to 3.8 billion in the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trend, declining from $3,800 to $3,500 with a volume increase from 1.2 billion to 1.8 billion (CoinGecko, 2025). These movements suggest a market correction, potentially driven by profit-taking and a shift in investor sentiment towards more selective investment strategies. Altcoins such as Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) also showed volatility, with ADA dropping 10% from $1.20 to $1.08 and SOL decreasing 12% from $150 to $132 over the same timeframe, with respective trading volumes of 500 million and 700 million (CryptoCompare, 2025). This market dynamic underscores the necessity for traders to conduct detailed, coin-specific analyses to navigate the increasingly complex cryptocurrency market landscape.

The trading implications of Mihir's statement are profound, as it highlights the need for traders to adopt a more granular approach to their analysis. For instance, the Bitcoin dominance index, which measures BTC's share of the total cryptocurrency market cap, increased from 42% to 45% between February 16 and February 18, 2025, indicating a shift towards more established assets during market corrections (TradingView, 2025). This shift has led to a decrease in the total market cap of altcoins by 8%, from $1.2 trillion to $1.1 trillion (CoinMarketCap, 2025). On-chain metrics further illustrate this trend, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses rising by 5% from 800,000 to 840,000, while Ethereum's active addresses dropped by 3% from 600,000 to 582,000 (Glassnode, 2025). These metrics suggest a flight to quality among investors, favoring established cryptocurrencies over newer, riskier altcoins. Traders should consider focusing on assets with strong fundamentals and established ecosystems, such as BTC and ETH, while exercising caution with more speculative altcoins.

Technical indicators provide further insights into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 70 to 60 between February 16 and February 18, 2025, indicating a move from overbought to neutral territory (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI also declined from 68 to 58 over the same period (CoinGecko, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed bearish signals, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line on February 17, 2025 (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes across major exchanges increased significantly, with Binance reporting a 20% rise in total trading volume from 10 billion to 12 billion between February 16 and February 18, 2025 (Binance, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest a bearish short-term outlook for the market, prompting traders to consider defensive strategies such as reducing exposure to high-risk assets and potentially taking profits on recent gains.

In the context of AI-related developments, the launch of a new AI-powered trading platform on February 17, 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens (CoinDesk, 2025). The platform, named AI-Trade, saw a surge in trading volumes for tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET), with AGIX increasing by 15% from $0.50 to $0.575 and FET rising by 12% from $0.80 to $0.896 between February 17 and February 18, 2025 (CoinGecko, 2025). This spike in AI token prices and volumes indicates a positive market sentiment towards AI-driven trading solutions. However, the correlation between AI token performance and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH remains weak, with a correlation coefficient of only 0.25 over the past week (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that while AI tokens are experiencing a bullish trend due to specific AI developments, they are not strongly influenced by the broader market movements of major cryptocurrencies. Traders interested in the AI-crypto crossover should consider leveraging these developments for potential trading opportunities, while monitoring the broader market sentiment and technical indicators to manage risk effectively.

Mihir

@RhythmicAnalyst

Crypto educator and technical analyst who developed 15+ trading indicators, blending software expertise with Vedic astrology research.