According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC has moved sideways between $100K and $120K for nearly six months, keeping price action choppy until fresh macro data such as CPI and the upcoming Fed meeting provide direction, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He highlights $112K as a crucial resistance; a decisive break above that level could signal renewed strength and the next volatile leg higher, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He frames a bullish bias around potential FOMC-driven rate cuts, adjusted monetary policy, and an improving business cycle expected to start later this quarter, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He argues BTC around $110K is not expensive versus 2021 when BTC was $69K with zero rates, while current rates are about 4%-4.5%, implying room for upside if rates decline, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). Trading takeaway: monitor CPI and FOMC guidance for confirmation and watch for a daily close above $112K to validate breakout momentum within the $100K-$120K range, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025).

According to @godbole17, rising dollarization via stablecoins and their reserve purchases of U.S. Treasury bills have shifted crypto from anti-establishment to pro-establishment, increasing the market’s sensitivity to U.S. interest rates. Source: @godbole17 on X, Oct 19, 2025. Stablecoin reserves are predominantly invested in short-dated U.S. Treasuries, anchoring stablecoin liquidity to front-end yields and Treasury market conditions. Source: Tether Transparency reserve breakdown showing majority in U.S. Treasury bills, accessed 2024-09; Circle Reserve Fund portfolio statements managed by BlackRock, 2024. For trading, monitor DXY and 3-month to 2-year Treasury yields; tighter financial conditions or bill-market stress tend to pressure risk liquidity and can widen crypto basis and funding, while easing supports carry and depth in BTC and ETH. Source: Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report 2024 noting higher rates tighten liquidity conditions; ICE U.S. Dollar Index data, 2024; @godbole17 on X, Oct 19, 2025.

According to @QCompounding, Peter Lynch advises that investors cannot reliably predict interest rates, the economy, or the stock market and should dismiss such forecasts to focus on actual developments in the companies they own, source: @QCompounding on X, Oct 13, 2025. This implies traders should prioritize earnings results, cash flow trends, operational updates, and management guidance from holdings over macro calls to improve signal quality and risk control, source: @QCompounding on X, Oct 13, 2025. Near-term execution can center on concrete catalysts such as earnings dates, product launches, and commentary on demand and margins to time entries and exits instead of rate predictions, source: @QCompounding on X, Oct 13, 2025. For digital-asset equities and tokens, a comparable focus would be on protocol updates, on-chain activity, and project fundamentals when allocating capital rather than macro forecasts, source: @QCompounding on X, Oct 13, 2025.

According to Ki Young Ju, crypto’s market narrative has shifted from being tech-driven to finance-driven, indicating that capital markets dynamics now lead price action; source: Ki Young Ju on X, Oct 5, 2025. Traders should prioritize financial variables such as liquidity conditions, interest-rate trends, and cross-asset capital flows over product-innovation headlines when assessing directional risk; source: Ki Young Ju on X, Oct 5, 2025. Near-term trade setups are more likely to respond to order-book depth, derivatives basis, and funding-rate regimes aligned with broader financial conditions than to new protocol releases; source: Ki Young Ju on X, Oct 5, 2025.

According to @WatcherGuru, crypto prediction platform Polymarket is pricing a 90% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month, source: Polymarket. A rate cut lowers the target federal funds rate and eases financial conditions by reducing borrowing costs, a transmission channel the Federal Reserve outlines that can influence risk appetite and market liquidity relevant to BTC and ETH, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

According to @ReutersBiz, U.S. stocks closed lower, ending a three-day streak of record highs, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said future rate decisions must balance inflation concerns with signs of a weakening job market; Source: @ReutersBiz. This shifts trader focus to upcoming labor and inflation data that could influence rate expectations and risk appetite across equities and crypto, with BTC and ETH in focus for policy-path headline volatility; Source: @ReutersBiz.

According to Crypto Rover (@rovercrc), Polymarket betting odds now make three Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 the most likely outcome. Source: Crypto Rover tweet dated Sep 11, 2025; Polymarket prediction market. Traders typically view a lower policy path as supportive for risk assets like BTC and ETH because easier financial conditions and lower real yields tend to boost liquidity and risk appetite. Source: Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report May 2023; BIS Quarterly Review September 2022. Historically, rising expectations for rate cuts have coincided with stronger performance in high‑beta assets, a pattern relevant for BTC and ETH positioning when cut odds lead on venues like Polymarket. Source: BIS Quarterly Review September 2022; IMF Global Financial Stability Report October 2020.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, crypto traders are focused on Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks and are explicitly hoping for dovish guidance, lower rates, and more liquidity while warning that higher rates could pressure crypto charts into red. Source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Aug 22, 2025. The post frames higher rates as a near-term bearish risk and dovish communication as supportive for green candles, signaling sentiment-driven positioning around the event. Source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Aug 22, 2025. Trading takeaway: align positioning with policy tone—guard downside if hawkish rhetoric appears and be prepared to ride momentum on liquidity-friendly signals, as implied by the post. Source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Aug 22, 2025. The message elevates Jackson Hole as the immediate macro catalyst for crypto market direction. Source: @MilkRoadDaily on X, Aug 22, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the time is nearing for interest rate cuts and suggested that more than two cuts may be necessary. This policy shift could inject new liquidity into financial markets and may boost demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC). Traders should monitor FOMC communications closely, as rate cuts historically lead to increased volatility and upward momentum in crypto markets. Source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @rovercrc, the Federal Reserve did not cut interest rates yesterday, but a future rate cut by Jerome Powell could spark a significant rally in Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins. Lower interest rates often drive liquidity into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors seek higher returns. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed meetings and rate announcements for potential market-moving events that could impact BTC and the broader crypto market. Source: @rovercrc

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by more than 300 points after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced that the Fed is not ready to cut interest rates. This clear indication of continued tight monetary policy has immediate implications for both equity and crypto markets, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and risk appetite. Crypto investors should closely monitor monetary policy developments, as sustained high rates may limit upside momentum for assets like BTC and ETH in the near term. Source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @cas_abbe, the Federal Reserve has announced no rate cuts, aligning with market expectations despite recent calls from Trump for monetary easing. The upcoming Powell press conference is expected to set the direction for financial markets, with traders closely watching for signals that could impact cryptocurrency prices such as BTC and ETH. Rate decisions from the Fed often influence risk asset flows and crypto market volatility, making this announcement a key short-term trading event (source: @cas_abbe).

According to @rovercrc, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to make a decision on interest rate cuts soon, a development widely viewed as bullish for Bitcoin (BTC). Lower interest rates typically increase risk appetite and drive capital into alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor upcoming FED statements closely, as a confirmed rate cut could catalyze significant upward momentum for BTC prices, according to @rovercrc.

According to @alice_und_bob, a new discussion around Polkadot (DOT) tokenomics is gaining momentum, focusing on implementing a capped supply, lowering interest rates to stimulate DeFi participation, and creating new demand drivers. These proposed changes could significantly alter DOT's market dynamics by influencing supply-demand balance and enhancing DeFi ecosystem growth. Traders should monitor upcoming discussions for concrete updates, as these tokenomics adjustments may impact DOT's price volatility and trading opportunities (source: @alice_und_bob).

According to @rovercrc, the upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut decision, led by Chair Powell in two days, is expected to be bullish for Bitcoin (BTC). Lower interest rates have historically boosted risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies by increasing liquidity and reducing the appeal of traditional savings, potentially driving BTC price momentum. Traders are closely watching the announcement for volatility and opportunity in the crypto market, particularly for Bitcoin trading strategies (source: @rovercrc).

According to @rovercrc, US Federal Reserve Chair Powell is set to decide on potential interest rate cuts in three days, a move that could drive Bitcoin (BTC) prices higher. Historically, lower interest rates often lead to increased liquidity in financial markets, which has fueled bullish momentum in major cryptocurrencies like BTC. Traders should closely monitor the outcome of this decision, as it may trigger significant volatility and create short-term trading opportunities in the crypto market. Source: @rovercrc.

According to André Dragosch, PhD, prediction market odds on Polymarket for the removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have surged to their highest level year-to-date. This development signals growing political uncertainty surrounding the Fed's leadership, which could have significant implications for traders. A potential change at the helm of the U.S. central bank could lead to shifts in monetary policy and interest rate outlooks, directly impacting the valuation of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader digital asset market.

According to @rovercrc, the U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, a move that was widely anticipated by the market. The Fed's latest projections indicate lowered economic growth (GDP at 1.4%) and higher inflation (Core PCE at 3.1%) for the year. While policymakers still foresee 50 basis points in rate cuts for 2025, they project a slower pace of easing in subsequent years, as per the official press release. Bitcoin (BTC) showed minimal reaction, holding around $104,200 following the decision. Traders are now focused on two major upcoming events: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony and the release of the Core PCE price index. Analysts at ING suggest that clarity on inflation may not come until December, potentially leading to a single 50bp rate cut this year if the job market weakens. Conversely, Chris Weston of Pepperstone noted that dovish signals during Powell's testimony could fuel risk-taking and benefit BTC.

According to @rovercrc, the U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, a widely anticipated move. Despite holding rates steady, the Fed's updated economic projections signal a more hawkish stance, with fewer rate cuts now expected in 2026 and 2027 than previously projected. The source's report highlights that policymakers also lowered their 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.4% and raised their inflation projections, with PCE inflation now expected to be 3%. In the immediate aftermath of the announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) showed little reaction, with its price remaining stable around $104,200, according to the provided text. Traders are now awaiting further commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for more detailed insights into future monetary policy, which could introduce volatility to the crypto markets.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but signaled a more hawkish stance for the future. The Fed's updated projections indicate fewer rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, coupled with forecasts for weaker GDP growth at 1.4% and higher PCE inflation at 3.0% for the current year. Following this announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) showed little immediate change, trading around $104,200. Subsequently, a surprisingly strong June jobs report, which showed 147,000 new payrolls against a 110,000 forecast and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, further dampened expectations for imminent rate cuts. This robust economic data caused a modest dip in Bitcoin's price to just under $109,000. In response to the strong employment figures, traders on the CME FedWatch tool increased the probability of the Fed holding rates steady in July to 95%, while the likelihood of a rate cut by September decreased.