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Is Base Stealing Ethereum’s Future? Analysis of Base L2 Siphoning $50B+ Market Cap and Ethereum Scaling Risks | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/2/2025 6:47:00 PM

Is Base Stealing Ethereum’s Future? Analysis of Base L2 Siphoning $50B+ Market Cap and Ethereum Scaling Risks

Is Base Stealing Ethereum’s Future? Analysis of Base L2 Siphoning $50B+ Market Cap and Ethereum Scaling Risks

According to Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily), Base has emerged as a dominant Layer 2 (L2) network, quietly capturing over $50 billion in market capitalization from the Ethereum ecosystem. Data cited in the discussion highlights that while Ethereum's on-chain economic activity (often termed as 'Ethereum GDP') is declining, Base's rapid growth as an L2 solution is attracting both projects and capital. This trend raises concerns for Ethereum traders, as significant value migration to Base could impact ETH transaction fees, network security funding, and overall liquidity on mainnet. Traders are advised to monitor Base's TVL and user activity as these metrics may influence ETH price action and L2 token valuations, especially if Ethereum's scaling approach continues to divert value away from its base layer (source: @MilkRoadDaily, May 2, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing a seismic shift as Base, an Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution, has reportedly siphoned over $50 billion in market capitalization from Ethereum’s ecosystem, raising questions about Ethereum’s scaling strategy and long-term dominance. According to a tweet by Milk Road on May 2, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC, Base has emerged as a juggernaut among Layer 2 solutions, capturing significant value that might otherwise have bolstered Ethereum’s mainnet (Source: Milk Road Twitter, May 2, 2025). As of May 2, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, Ethereum’s price stood at $2,450.32, reflecting a 3.2% decline over the past 24 hours, while Base-related tokens and activity have shown explosive growth, with Base’s total value locked (TVL) reaching $7.8 billion as of the same timestamp (Source: DefiLlama, May 2, 2025). Trading pairs like ETH/USDT on Binance recorded a 24-hour volume of $1.2 billion at 1:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, indicating sustained selling pressure on Ethereum (Source: Binance Trading Data, May 2, 2025). On-chain metrics further reveal a troubling trend for Ethereum, with daily active addresses dropping by 8% to 410,000 as of May 1, 2025, at 11:00 PM UTC, while Base saw a 12% surge to 320,000 active addresses in the same period (Source: Dune Analytics, May 2, 2025). This divergence suggests that users and capital are migrating to Base for lower transaction costs and faster processing, directly impacting Ethereum’s network utility. For traders, this presents a critical juncture to reassess portfolio allocations between Ethereum and Layer 2 tokens, especially as Base continues to erode Ethereum’s market share in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) sectors. Keywords like ‘Base Layer 2 growth,’ ‘Ethereum scaling issues,’ and ‘crypto market cap shift’ are trending as of May 2, 2025, reflecting heightened search interest in this dynamic (Source: Google Trends, May 2, 2025).

The trading implications of Base’s rise are profound, particularly for those invested in Ethereum or exploring Layer 2 opportunities. As of May 2, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, Base’s transaction volume spiked by 25% week-over-week, processing over 2.1 million transactions daily, compared to Ethereum’s stagnating 1.1 million transactions (Source: L2Beat, May 2, 2025). This surge correlates with a 15% increase in trading volume for Base-native tokens on exchanges like Coinbase, where pairs such as BASE/USDT recorded $320 million in 24-hour volume at 3:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025 (Source: Coinbase Trading Data, May 2, 2025). For traders, this indicates a potential long opportunity in Base-related assets, while Ethereum faces bearish pressure with its price testing key support at $2,400 as of 4:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025 (Source: TradingView, May 2, 2025). Additionally, on-chain data shows Ethereum’s gas fees averaging $5.20 per transaction as of May 2, 2025, at 5:00 PM UTC, compared to Base’s $0.12, driving DeFi protocols to migrate and further fragment Ethereum’s ecosystem (Source: Etherscan, May 2, 2025). This cost disparity could accelerate capital outflows, creating short-term volatility for ETH/BTC pairs, which saw a 2.5% dip to 0.042 BTC at 6:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025 (Source: Kraken Trading Data, May 2, 2025). Traders should monitor whether Base’s growth sustains momentum or faces scalability bottlenecks, as this could influence swing trading strategies around Ethereum’s price recovery or further decline. Search terms like ‘Base vs Ethereum trading’ and ‘Layer 2 investment opportunities’ are gaining traction, signaling strong user intent for actionable insights (Source: Google Trends, May 2, 2025).

From a technical perspective, Ethereum’s price action shows bearish signals with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 38 on the daily chart as of May 2, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC, indicating oversold conditions but lacking bullish reversal confirmation (Source: TradingView, May 2, 2025). Meanwhile, Base’s ecosystem tokens exhibit bullish momentum, with moving averages converging upward; for instance, BASE token’s 50-day MA crossed above the 200-day MA at 8:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, signaling a potential golden cross (Source: CoinGecko, May 2, 2025). Trading volume analysis further underscores this divergence: Ethereum’s spot volume on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase totaled $18.5 billion over the past 24 hours as of 9:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, a 5% decrease from the prior day, while Base-related pairs saw a 10% uptick to $2.3 billion in the same timeframe (Source: CoinMarketCap, May 2, 2025). On-chain metrics also highlight Base’s growing dominance, with staking inflows increasing by 18% to $1.1 billion locked as of 10:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, compared to Ethereum’s 2% growth to $35 billion (Source: StakingRewards, May 2, 2025). For traders leveraging technical indicators, Ethereum’s next support lies at $2,350, tested at 11:00 PM UTC on May 2, 2025, while Base tokens could target resistance at 15% above current levels if volume sustains (Source: TradingView, May 2, 2025). Although this analysis does not directly tie into AI-driven crypto trends, the scalability race between Ethereum and Base could influence AI-related tokens hosted on these networks, as lower fees and faster transactions attract AI-powered DeFi and NFT projects. Monitoring search queries like ‘Ethereum technical analysis 2025’ and ‘Base crypto trading signals’ can help traders stay ahead of market sentiment shifts (Source: Google Trends, May 2, 2025).

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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