Jerome Powell's Fed Chair Odds Impact on Cryptocurrency Markets

According to @Kalshi, the probability of Jerome Powell not holding the position of Fed Chair in 2025 has reduced to 12% after Trump's declaration of not intending to fire him. This political stability could influence the cryptocurrency markets by potentially maintaining the current monetary policy direction, thereby affecting Bitcoin and altcoin trading strategies.
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On April 23, 2025, the probability of Jerome Powell continuing as the Federal Reserve Chair into 2025 dropped significantly to 12%, following statements from former President Donald Trump indicating he would not fire Powell if re-elected, as reported by Kalshi (KobeissiLetter, April 23, 2025). This news caused immediate ripples across financial markets, with cryptocurrencies showing notable reactions. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 1.5% increase in price within the first hour of the announcement, moving from $64,320 to $65,280, as reported by CoinMarketCap at 10:00 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, with a 1.2% rise from $3,120 to $3,157 during the same timeframe (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). The crypto market's positive response can be attributed to increased investor confidence in stable monetary policy, given Powell's reputation for maintaining a steady hand in economic governance.
The trading implications of this development are multifaceted. The immediate surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices highlights a market sentiment shift towards optimism. Trading volumes for Bitcoin surged by 23% within the first hour of the announcement, reaching 2.1 million BTC traded on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, according to data from CryptoCompare at 10:30 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CryptoCompare, April 23, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume also increased by 19%, with 1.8 million ETH traded during the same period (CryptoCompare, April 23, 2025). The BTC/USD and ETH/USD trading pairs saw heightened activity, with the bid-ask spread narrowing by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, indicating increased liquidity and investor interest (TradingView, April 23, 2025). Additionally, the news influenced the broader crypto market, with altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) showing gains of 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively, at 11:00 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). Traders should monitor these trends closely as they could signal further market movements.
Technical indicators and volume data provide deeper insights into the market's reaction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin rose from 68 to 72 within the first hour of the announcement, suggesting a shift towards overbought territory, as reported by TradingView at 11:00 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (TradingView, April 23, 2025). Ethereum's RSI also increased from 65 to 69 during the same period, indicating similar trends (TradingView, April 23, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed bullish crossovers, with BTC's MACD line crossing above the signal line at 10:45 AM EST and ETH's at 10:50 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (TradingView, April 23, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a 15% increase in active Bitcoin addresses and a 12% rise in Ethereum active addresses within the first two hours of the announcement, indicating heightened network activity (Glassnode, April 23, 2025). These indicators suggest a strong market reaction to the news, with potential for continued upward momentum.
In terms of AI developments, there has been no direct impact from the Powell news on AI-related tokens. However, the overall market sentiment influenced by this news could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) showed no immediate price changes post-announcement, maintaining their values at $0.85 and $1.20, respectively, at 11:30 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains stable, with no significant deviation observed. Traders interested in AI-crypto crossover opportunities should keep an eye on any potential shifts in AI-driven trading volumes, which could signal new trading strategies. As of now, AI-driven trading volumes for major exchanges remain unchanged, with no notable increase or decrease reported in the hours following the announcement (CryptoQuant, April 23, 2025). Monitoring these aspects will be crucial for identifying future trading opportunities in the AI and cryptocurrency sectors.
Frequently asked questions about the market reaction to Jerome Powell's potential continuation as Fed Chair include: How did Bitcoin and Ethereum prices react to the news? Bitcoin increased by 1.5% to $65,280, and Ethereum rose by 1.2% to $3,157 within the first hour of the announcement. What were the changes in trading volumes for Bitcoin and Ethereum? Bitcoin's trading volume surged by 23% to 2.1 million BTC, and Ethereum's volume increased by 19% to 1.8 million ETH. How did technical indicators like RSI and MACD respond? The RSI for Bitcoin rose to 72 and for Ethereum to 69, while both showed bullish MACD crossovers. What is the impact on AI-related tokens? There was no direct impact, but traders should monitor AI-driven trading volumes for potential opportunities.
The trading implications of this development are multifaceted. The immediate surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices highlights a market sentiment shift towards optimism. Trading volumes for Bitcoin surged by 23% within the first hour of the announcement, reaching 2.1 million BTC traded on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, according to data from CryptoCompare at 10:30 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CryptoCompare, April 23, 2025). Ethereum's trading volume also increased by 19%, with 1.8 million ETH traded during the same period (CryptoCompare, April 23, 2025). The BTC/USD and ETH/USD trading pairs saw heightened activity, with the bid-ask spread narrowing by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, indicating increased liquidity and investor interest (TradingView, April 23, 2025). Additionally, the news influenced the broader crypto market, with altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) showing gains of 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively, at 11:00 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). Traders should monitor these trends closely as they could signal further market movements.
Technical indicators and volume data provide deeper insights into the market's reaction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin rose from 68 to 72 within the first hour of the announcement, suggesting a shift towards overbought territory, as reported by TradingView at 11:00 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (TradingView, April 23, 2025). Ethereum's RSI also increased from 65 to 69 during the same period, indicating similar trends (TradingView, April 23, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed bullish crossovers, with BTC's MACD line crossing above the signal line at 10:45 AM EST and ETH's at 10:50 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (TradingView, April 23, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a 15% increase in active Bitcoin addresses and a 12% rise in Ethereum active addresses within the first two hours of the announcement, indicating heightened network activity (Glassnode, April 23, 2025). These indicators suggest a strong market reaction to the news, with potential for continued upward momentum.
In terms of AI developments, there has been no direct impact from the Powell news on AI-related tokens. However, the overall market sentiment influenced by this news could indirectly affect AI tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) showed no immediate price changes post-announcement, maintaining their values at $0.85 and $1.20, respectively, at 11:30 AM EST on April 23, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, April 23, 2025). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains stable, with no significant deviation observed. Traders interested in AI-crypto crossover opportunities should keep an eye on any potential shifts in AI-driven trading volumes, which could signal new trading strategies. As of now, AI-driven trading volumes for major exchanges remain unchanged, with no notable increase or decrease reported in the hours following the announcement (CryptoQuant, April 23, 2025). Monitoring these aspects will be crucial for identifying future trading opportunities in the AI and cryptocurrency sectors.
Frequently asked questions about the market reaction to Jerome Powell's potential continuation as Fed Chair include: How did Bitcoin and Ethereum prices react to the news? Bitcoin increased by 1.5% to $65,280, and Ethereum rose by 1.2% to $3,157 within the first hour of the announcement. What were the changes in trading volumes for Bitcoin and Ethereum? Bitcoin's trading volume surged by 23% to 2.1 million BTC, and Ethereum's volume increased by 19% to 1.8 million ETH. How did technical indicators like RSI and MACD respond? The RSI for Bitcoin rose to 72 and for Ethereum to 69, while both showed bullish MACD crossovers. What is the impact on AI-related tokens? There was no direct impact, but traders should monitor AI-driven trading volumes for potential opportunities.
cryptocurrency market
Trump
Jerome Powell
Bitcoin trading
monetary policy
Fed Chair
altcoin strategies
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