According to @WhiteHouse, the Administration highlighted a powerhouse week including a FIFA task force, a jobs report said to have doubled expectations, a McDonald’s summit, mention of Cristiano Ronaldo, a $1 trillion Saudi investment, freed hostages in Israel, a Department of Education closing, and six months of zero illegal crossings, offering headline signals but no figures or documents in the post for validation, which frames this as event-risk rather than tradeable data until confirmed (source: @WhiteHouse). For positioning, traders should validate each item with primary issuers before making moves: nonfarm payrolls and unemployment from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, any Saudi capital program details from the Saudi Ministry of Investment, border statistics from U.S. Customs and Border Protection, and agency status updates from the U.S. Department of Education (sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Saudi Ministry of Investment; U.S. Customs and Border Protection; U.S. Department of Education). To map potential market impact, monitor rate-cut probabilities via CME FedWatch and USD momentum via the ICE U.S. Dollar Index, while tracking crypto risk via BTC options implied volatility on Deribit and spot liquidity on major exchanges to gauge risk-on/off spillovers around any confirmed releases (sources: CME FedWatch; ICE U.S. Dollar Index; Deribit; major exchange order books). Historical patterns show upside payroll surprises coincide with higher short-end Treasury yields and a stronger dollar, conditions that have pressured high-beta assets including crypto during tightening phases; watch UST 2Y yield reaction and BTC performance around jobs releases to manage delta and optionality (sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Federal Reserve H.15; Macrohistory Database). If details of the cited $1 trillion Saudi investment are confirmed, track sovereign flow channels via the Public Investment Fund disclosures and Saudi Ministry of Investment reports, alongside oil-linked FX and global liquidity gauges that can influence cross-asset beta correlations relevant to crypto (sources: Public Investment Fund; Saudi Ministry of Investment; Bank for International Settlements).

According to the source, a federal shutdown halts or delays key U.S. data releases, reducing the macro information flow traders use to price Bitcoin (BTC), as documented when the September 2013 Employment Situation was postponed until October 22 due to the shutdown, source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2013 shutdown notice. When shutdowns end, agencies reschedule backlogged releases such as retail sales and GDP in tight clusters, compressing event risk into a short window, source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis October 2013 rescheduling communications. BTC has shown heightened sensitivity to U.S. macro and monetary news, with stronger co-movement with equities since 2020, implying that clustered releases can amplify volatility and correlation risk, source: Bank for International Settlements research on crypto responses to U.S. monetary news and IMF analysis on rising crypto–equity correlations. Crypto markets have exhibited higher realized and implied volatility around major macro prints, so traders often adjust position sizing and options exposure into rescheduled releases to manage uncertainty premia, source: Kaiko Research on BTC volatility around CPI releases and BIS findings on risk-asset behavior.

According to @santimentfeed, 2025 crypto price swings have been dominated by macro topics such as interest rate cuts, tariffs, and jobs reports, underscoring a strong link between economic data and market volatility. Source: Santiment tweet on Sep 12, 2025 - https://twitter.com/santimentfeed/status/1966297769255096491 Santiment’s latest insight presents an easy method to quantify social chatter around these macro themes so traders can time risk exposure and improve profitability using sentiment and discussion-volume signals. Source: Santiment insight - https://app.santiment.net/insights/read/key-macro-topics-that-will-continue-impacting-crypto-for-the-foreseeable-future-8900?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=post&utm_campaign=twitter_key_macro_events_insight_b_091125/&fpr=twitter Traders can monitor spikes in conversation around rate cuts, tariffs, and job reports as a leading indicator for crypto volatility to refine entries, exits, and position sizing. Source: Santiment insight - https://app.santiment.net/insights/read/key-macro-topics-that-will-continue-impacting-crypto-for-the-foreseeable-future-8900?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=post&utm_campaign=twitter_key_macro_events_insight_b_091125/&fpr=twitter

According to @EricBalchunas, the U.S. jobs report is delayed and any outcome will be both bad and good for markets, framing a trade-off between an improving economy and the appeal of rate cuts. Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 5, 2025, https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1963939724977930676 Traders should structure scenarios around this trade-off: if markets prefer signs of improving growth, the implication is reduced urgency for rate cuts; if markets prefer rate cuts, the path of yields becomes the dominant driver of risk appetite. Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 5, 2025, https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1963939724977930676 For crypto, this means monitoring rates expectations and Treasury yields as key inputs for beta exposure in BTC and ETH around the release and immediate aftermath. Source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 5, 2025, https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1963939724977930676

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but signaled a more hawkish stance for the future. The Fed's updated projections indicate fewer rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, coupled with forecasts for weaker GDP growth at 1.4% and higher PCE inflation at 3.0% for the current year. Following this announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) showed little immediate change, trading around $104,200. Subsequently, a surprisingly strong June jobs report, which showed 147,000 new payrolls against a 110,000 forecast and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, further dampened expectations for imminent rate cuts. This robust economic data caused a modest dip in Bitcoin's price to just under $109,000. In response to the strong employment figures, traders on the CME FedWatch tool increased the probability of the Fed holding rates steady in July to 95%, while the likelihood of a rate cut by September decreased.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, aligning with market expectations. The Fed's updated projections indicate fewer rate cuts in the coming years than previously anticipated, with rates now expected to be 3.6% in 2026. This hawkish revision is supported by a surprisingly strong June jobs report, which saw the creation of 147,000 nonfarm payrolls, far exceeding the forecast of 110,000. Following the robust employment data, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a modest dip to just under $109,000. The strong labor market signals that the Fed can remain patient before easing monetary policy, which led traders to significantly lower their odds for a July rate cut from 25% to just 5%, according to CME FedWatch data.

According to @rovercrc, the U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, significantly surpassing the forecast of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This strong economic data reinforces the Federal Reserve's patient stance on monetary policy, reducing trader expectations for an imminent interest rate cut. Consequently, the cryptocurrency market faced a selloff, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping over 2.5% to below $105,900. The decline was more pronounced in altcoins, where Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP experienced losses between 5% and 7%. The source also notes that heightened geopolitical tensions, including U.S. tariff threats and potential conflict in the Middle East, contributed to the negative sentiment for risk assets, even as U.S. stocks managed to close with modest gains.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, S&P 500 futures surged by as much as +40 points following a jobs report that was almost directly in-line with expectations. This reaction underscores the market's heightened emotional state and elevated levels of fear, suggesting that traders are reacting more to sentiment than to fundamental data. Such conditions may present unique trading opportunities for those who can navigate the market's emotional swings.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, S&P 500 futures surged by as much as +40 points following a jobs report that was almost directly in-line with expectations. This reaction highlights the market's increasingly emotional state, driven by elevated levels of fear, suggesting that even neutral news can trigger significant market movements.

According to @WhiteHouse, the job report figures dated January 12th, during Joe Biden's presidency, reflect economic conditions that could influence cryptocurrency trading. Market participants should consider these employment numbers as they may affect overall economic confidence and liquidity, thus impacting crypto market volatility. The connection between traditional economic indicators and cryptocurrency markets lies in investor sentiment and risk appetite, which can drive price movements. Source: @WhiteHouse.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the December jobs report has been revised to show a significant increase with 307,000 jobs added, up from the previously reported 256,000. This marks the strongest jobs number since March 2024. This robust job growth could positively impact market sentiment, potentially influencing cryptocurrency markets as investors gain confidence in the economy's strength.

According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction markets are anticipating that 238,000 jobs were added to the US economy in January. Moreover, there's a 28% chance that the number of jobs added could exceed 300,000, which is considerably higher than Wall Street's forecasts. This could have significant implications for trading strategies, as a higher-than-expected jobs report may influence market volatility and investor sentiment.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, prediction markets suggest the addition of 238,000 jobs to the U.S. economy in January, with a 28% probability of exceeding 300,000 jobs. This forecast significantly surpasses Wall Street's expectations, indicating potential market volatility and trading opportunities based on employment data.