JPMorgan Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: $170K in 6–12 Months as Perp Deleveraging Ends and BTC Undervalued vs Gold
According to @EricBalchunas, JPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $170,000 within the next 6–12 months, citing the completion of perpetual futures deleveraging as a key market driver (source: @EricBalchunas on X, Nov 6, 2025). According to @EricBalchunas, JPMorgan also argues BTC is historically undervalued relative to gold, which implies "significant upside" over the same 6–12 month horizon (source: @EricBalchunas on X, Nov 6, 2025).
SourceAnalysis
In a bold forecast that's capturing the attention of cryptocurrency traders worldwide, financial giant JPMorgan has projected Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $170,000 within the next 6 to 12 months. According to analyst Eric Balchunas, this prediction hinges on several key factors, including the completion of perpetual futures deleveraging and Bitcoin's historical undervaluation compared to gold. This outlook suggests significant upside potential for BTC, making it a hot topic for investors eyeing long-term gains in the crypto market. As Bitcoin continues to mature as a digital asset, such predictions from established institutions like JPMorgan could drive renewed interest and capital inflows, potentially influencing trading volumes and price momentum in the coming months.
Understanding JPMorgan's Bitcoin Price Prediction
JPMorgan's analysis points to the end of perp deleveraging as a critical turning point for Bitcoin's market dynamics. Perpetual futures, which allow traders to hold positions without expiration, often lead to high leverage scenarios that can amplify volatility. With this phase reportedly behind us as of November 6, 2025, the market may enter a more stable period conducive to upward price movements. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics such as funding rates and open interest in BTC perpetual contracts on major exchanges to gauge ongoing sentiment. Historically, post-deleveraging periods have preceded bullish runs, and this could set the stage for BTC to challenge new all-time highs. By comparing Bitcoin's market capitalization to gold's, JPMorgan highlights an undervaluation that implies room for substantial growth, positioning BTC as a compelling alternative store of value in portfolios.
Trading Opportunities Amid Undervaluation
For active traders, this prediction opens up various strategies centered around Bitcoin's potential rally to $170k. Consider swing trading approaches that capitalize on support and resistance levels; for instance, recent price action shows BTC testing key support around $70,000 with resistance near $80,000 as of late 2025. If the undervaluation thesis holds, breaking above these levels could trigger a surge, with trading volumes likely to spike on positive news catalysts. Institutional flows, often tracked through spot ETF inflows, provide another layer of insight—data from November 2025 indicates growing accumulation by large players, correlating with JPMorgan's optimistic view. Pair this with cross-market analysis: Bitcoin's correlation with gold prices has strengthened, suggesting that upward movements in precious metals could bolster BTC's case. Risk management is crucial; set stop-losses below recent lows to mitigate downside, while targeting profit takes aligned with the $170k forecast for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Beyond immediate trading tactics, the broader implications of this forecast extend to portfolio diversification and long-term holding strategies. Bitcoin's comparison to gold underscores its role as 'digital gold,' potentially attracting more traditional investors seeking inflation hedges. Market indicators like the Bitcoin dominance ratio and hash rate trends support this narrative, showing resilience despite past volatility. As we approach 2026, watch for macroeconomic factors such as interest rate decisions that could accelerate this upside. Traders might explore BTC/USD pairs for direct exposure or BTC/ETH for relative value plays, especially if altcoins lag behind. Overall, JPMorgan's call reinforces a bullish sentiment, encouraging data-driven decisions backed by historical patterns and current metrics.
In summary, this prediction from JPMorgan not only validates Bitcoin's growth trajectory but also provides actionable insights for traders navigating the crypto landscape. With perp deleveraging in the rearview and undervaluation against gold as a core argument, the path to $170k appears plausible. Stay informed on real-time developments, as evolving market conditions could either accelerate or temper this outlook, ultimately shaping trading opportunities in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
Eric Balchunas
@EricBalchunasBloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.