Kalshi: 10% Odds Bitcoin Hits $50K Before $100K

Kalshi assigns just 10% odds that Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before $100,000. BTC currently trades at $84,309 inside its Bollinger band with upper resistance at $87,382. Price holds above the EMA50 support at $82,623 and the EMA200 at $77,456 yet the MACD death cross at 488.39 warns of fading momentum while RSI at 52.52 stays neutral. Traders watching BTC price prediction models note this setup often precedes a test of the lower band at $83,170 before any sustained push higher. The market odds reflect Bitcoin dominance in a year of range-bound action after the 2025 highs.