Kalshi: 20% Odds Bitcoin Crosses $100k by Dec 2026

Kalshi assigns a 20% chance that Bitcoin crosses $100,000 before December 2026.

Bitcoin trades at $82781.92 inside its Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart, with the upper band at $84056.71 capping near-term upside and the lower band at $82207.15 marking short-term support. The EMA50 at $83562.11 continues to act as resistance while the EMA200 at $82296.31 provides the deeper floor in the prevailing bearish structure. Momentum shows a MACD golden cross at -5.08 even as RSI(14) sits neutral at 43.72, indicating that any push toward the upper band will likely meet selling before a retest of the 50-EMA support.