Kalshi: Bitcoin 2026 $200K Odds Fall to 2%

Kalshi assigns Bitcoin a 2% probability of reaching $200,000 in 2026, the lowest odds ever recorded on the platform. Bitcoin sits at $82640.34 on the 4h chart inside a bearish structure where the EMA50 at $83732.32 caps upside while the EMA200 at $82219.65 offers the next layer of support. RSI at 43.39 remains neutral and MACD has printed a golden cross at -552.38, yet price remains boxed between the Bollinger upper band at $84398.18 and lower band at $81247.69, suggesting any push toward resistance will likely meet selling before a test of the 50-EMA.