Latest Update
2026-11-04 08:20 UTC

Kalshi: Markets Forecast 98% of Midterm Winners

Kalshi: Markets Forecast 98% of Midterm Winners

Kalshi prediction markets correctly identified winners in 479 of 487 midterm races for 98 percent accuracy, with all forecasts set before any votes were counted and ahead of polls plus models.

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Analysis

Kalshi prediction markets correctly identified winners in 479 of 487 midterm races, a 98 percent accuracy rate set before any votes were counted and ahead of both polls and models.

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Kalshi

@Kalshi

Trade on anything in all 50 states: politics, sports, entertainment, crypto, weather, and so much more.