Kalshi: Traders Price Over 50% Odds on Fed Rate Hike
Kalshi traders now see greater than 50% odds the Fed will hike rates this year, shifting 2026 monetary policy forecasts.
SourceAnalysis
Kalshi traders now assign greater than 50% odds that the Fed will hike rates before year-end, per CNBC data. The move highlights fresh bets on persistent inflation and tighter labor conditions through 2026. Market participants tracking Fed rate hike odds and Kalshi prediction market flows expect knock-on effects for BTC and broader risk assets under any monetary policy tightening scenario.
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