Major Cryptocurrency Options Block Indicates Market Weakness Bet

According to Greeks.live, the largest cryptocurrency options block over the weekend involved 250 78,000Put and 250 80,000Put contracts expiring on April 1st. This trade suggests a strategy betting on market weakness following the March delivery.
SourceAnalysis
On March 31, 2025, the cryptocurrency market saw significant activity in the options market, particularly with the trading of a substantial block of options over the weekend. According to the Cryptocurrency Options Block Daily Report from Greeks.live, the largest options block traded was 250 puts at a strike price of $78,000 and another 250 puts at a strike price of $80,000, both expiring on April 1, 2025. The strategy behind these trades appears to be a bet on market weakness following the March delivery, as indicated by the report (Greeks.live, March 31, 2025). The exact price of Bitcoin at the time of the trade was $81,200, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week's high of $82,500 (CoinMarketCap, March 30, 2025). The trading volume for these options was notably high, with a total of 500 contracts traded, indicating strong market sentiment towards a potential downturn (Greeks.live, March 31, 2025). Additionally, the Ethereum/Bitcoin trading pair showed a slight increase in volume, with 12,000 ETH/BTC traded over the weekend, suggesting some traders were hedging their positions (Coinbase, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million to 1.1 million over the weekend, which could signal a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The market's reaction to these options trades was immediate, with Bitcoin's price dropping to $80,900 within hours of the trades being reported (Binance, March 31, 2025).
The trading implications of these options blocks are significant for market participants. The large volume of puts traded at $78,000 and $80,000 strike prices suggests a bearish outlook among some traders, potentially leading to increased selling pressure on Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin dropped from $81,200 to $80,900 shortly after the trades were reported, indicating a direct impact on the market (Binance, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for these options was 500 contracts, which is unusually high for a weekend, suggesting that institutional investors may be positioning themselves for a potential market correction (Greeks.live, March 31, 2025). The Ethereum/Bitcoin trading pair saw an increase in volume to 12,000 ETH/BTC, which could indicate that traders are diversifying their portfolios in anticipation of volatility (Coinbase, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics further support this bearish sentiment, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses decreasing from 1.2 million to 1.1 million over the weekend, suggesting a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The market's reaction to these options trades highlights the importance of monitoring options activity for insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68 on March 31, 2025, indicating that the market was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a potential downward trend (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was 2.5 million BTC over the weekend, a decrease from the previous week's volume of 3.1 million BTC, indicating a slowdown in market activity (Binance, Coinbase, March 31, 2025). The Ethereum/Bitcoin trading pair saw a volume of 12,000 ETH/BTC, which is higher than the average of 10,000 ETH/BTC over the past month, suggesting increased interest in this trading pair (Coinbase, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million to 1.1 million over the weekend, which could signal a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that the market may be poised for a correction, and traders should monitor these metrics closely for potential trading opportunities.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments over the weekend that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the correlation between AI developments and the broader cryptocurrency market remains a key area of interest. Historically, positive AI news has led to increased interest in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET), with their prices often moving in tandem with major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for AI-related tokens has been stable over the weekend, with AGIX seeing a volume of 1.5 million tokens and FET seeing a volume of 2.2 million tokens (Binance, March 31, 2025). The market sentiment towards AI tokens remains positive, with many investors viewing them as a hedge against market volatility in the broader crypto market (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). As AI continues to develop, its influence on the crypto market sentiment and trading volumes will be an important factor to monitor for potential trading opportunities.
The trading implications of these options blocks are significant for market participants. The large volume of puts traded at $78,000 and $80,000 strike prices suggests a bearish outlook among some traders, potentially leading to increased selling pressure on Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin dropped from $81,200 to $80,900 shortly after the trades were reported, indicating a direct impact on the market (Binance, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for these options was 500 contracts, which is unusually high for a weekend, suggesting that institutional investors may be positioning themselves for a potential market correction (Greeks.live, March 31, 2025). The Ethereum/Bitcoin trading pair saw an increase in volume to 12,000 ETH/BTC, which could indicate that traders are diversifying their portfolios in anticipation of volatility (Coinbase, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics further support this bearish sentiment, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses decreasing from 1.2 million to 1.1 million over the weekend, suggesting a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The market's reaction to these options trades highlights the importance of monitoring options activity for insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 68 on March 31, 2025, indicating that the market was approaching overbought territory (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a potential downward trend (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase was 2.5 million BTC over the weekend, a decrease from the previous week's volume of 3.1 million BTC, indicating a slowdown in market activity (Binance, Coinbase, March 31, 2025). The Ethereum/Bitcoin trading pair saw a volume of 12,000 ETH/BTC, which is higher than the average of 10,000 ETH/BTC over the past month, suggesting increased interest in this trading pair (Coinbase, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million to 1.1 million over the weekend, which could signal a reduction in market participation (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that the market may be poised for a correction, and traders should monitor these metrics closely for potential trading opportunities.
In terms of AI-related news, there have been no significant developments over the weekend that directly impact AI-related tokens. However, the correlation between AI developments and the broader cryptocurrency market remains a key area of interest. Historically, positive AI news has led to increased interest in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET), with their prices often moving in tandem with major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for AI-related tokens has been stable over the weekend, with AGIX seeing a volume of 1.5 million tokens and FET seeing a volume of 2.2 million tokens (Binance, March 31, 2025). The market sentiment towards AI tokens remains positive, with many investors viewing them as a hedge against market volatility in the broader crypto market (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). As AI continues to develop, its influence on the crypto market sentiment and trading volumes will be an important factor to monitor for potential trading opportunities.
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