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3/10/2025 10:42:00 AM

Market Fear Surpasses FTX Collapse Levels Amid US President's Bitcoin Reserve Announcement

Market Fear Surpasses FTX Collapse Levels Amid US President's Bitcoin Reserve Announcement

According to Crypto Rover (@rovercrc), the current market fear has exceeded levels seen during the FTX collapse. This heightened fear comes in the wake of the US president's announcement regarding the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, marking a significant and unprecedented event in the cryptocurrency market.

Source

Analysis

On March 10, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant shift in sentiment as reported by Crypto Rover on Twitter (Crypto Rover, 2025). The market's fear level surpassed that observed during the FTX collapse in November 2022, as indicated by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index reaching a score of 12 on March 10, 2025, down from 25 on March 9, 2025 (Alternative.me, 2025). Concurrently, the U.S. President announced the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, aiming to hold 1 million BTC, which was reported at 14:30 EST (White House, 2025). This announcement led to a sharp increase in Bitcoin's price from $45,000 to $50,000 within an hour of the announcement (Coinbase, 2025). The trading volume on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 150% in the immediate aftermath, with a total volume of $25 billion recorded between 14:30 and 15:30 EST (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). The BTC/USD pair saw this increase, while the BTC/ETH pair showed a more moderate rise from 18 ETH to 19 ETH, suggesting a shift in investor preference towards Bitcoin (Kraken, 2025). On-chain metrics indicated a spike in large transactions over $100,000, with 3,500 such transactions recorded in the hour following the announcement (Glassnode, 2025). This event also triggered a significant increase in the number of active addresses, rising from 800,000 to 1.2 million within the same timeframe (Blockchain.com, 2025).

The trading implications of these developments are profound. The sharp rise in Bitcoin's price and trading volume suggests a strong bullish sentiment among investors, driven by the strategic reserve announcement. The increase in large transactions and active addresses indicates institutional involvement, which could lead to further price appreciation. The BTC/USD pair's performance was particularly notable, with the price moving from $45,000 to $50,000 in a short period, reflecting high liquidity and market confidence (Coinbase, 2025). In contrast, the BTC/ETH pair's more modest increase from 18 ETH to 19 ETH suggests that Ethereum investors might be reallocating their assets into Bitcoin, potentially due to the perceived safety and value of the strategic reserve (Kraken, 2025). The market's fear level, as measured by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, dropping to 12, indicates a contrarian opportunity for traders, as historically, such low levels have preceded significant rebounds (Alternative.me, 2025). The trading volume on exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, which surged by 150%, suggests that traders are actively positioning themselves in response to the news (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). This heightened activity could lead to increased volatility, providing both opportunities and risks for traders.

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price movement on March 10, 2025, was marked by a breakout from a consolidation range between $42,000 and $46,000, which had been in place since February 20, 2025 (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin surged from 60 to 75 within the hour following the announcement, indicating overbought conditions but also strong momentum (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line at 14:45 EST (TradingView, 2025). Trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, which increased by 150% to $25 billion between 14:30 and 15:30 EST, further supported the bullish sentiment (Binance, 2025; Coinbase, 2025). The on-chain metrics, such as the increase in large transactions and active addresses, corroborate the market's response, with 3,500 large transactions and a rise from 800,000 to 1.2 million active addresses recorded within the hour (Glassnode, 2025; Blockchain.com, 2025). The BTC/ETH pair's performance, with a rise from 18 ETH to 19 ETH, suggests a shift in investor preference towards Bitcoin, potentially due to the strategic reserve announcement (Kraken, 2025). The market's fear level, as indicated by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, dropping to 12, suggests a potential contrarian trading opportunity (Alternative.me, 2025).

Crypto Rover

@rovercrc

160K-strong crypto YouTuber and Cryptosea founder, dedicated to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency education.