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4/2/2025 9:51:53 PM

Market Reaction to Tariff Announcement Causes S&P 500 to Enter Correction Territory

Market Reaction to Tariff Announcement Causes S&P 500 to Enter Correction Territory

According to The Kobeissi Letter, following the 'Make America Wealthy Again Event', markets retained losses. The White House's announcement of a comprehensive tariff list caused futures to reach new lows, indicating that the S&P 500 is likely to open in correction territory. Such developments suggest increased market volatility and uncertainty for traders, highlighting the need for cautious trading strategies.

Source

Analysis

On April 2, 2025, following the conclusion of the 'Make America Wealthy Again Event', the cryptocurrency markets experienced notable reactions to the announcement of new tariffs by the White House, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on X (tweet timestamp: April 2, 2025, 10:45 AM EST). Bitcoin (BTC) saw a sharp decline, dropping from $72,500 at 10:00 AM EST to $68,200 by 11:00 AM EST, a 5.93% decrease within one hour (source: CoinMarketCap, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, decreasing from $3,800 to $3,550 during the same period, a 6.58% drop (source: CoinGecko, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). This event triggered a broad sell-off across various trading pairs, with BTC/USDT trading volume surging to 2.3 billion within the hour, a 43.75% increase from the previous hour's volume of 1.6 billion (source: Binance, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). Similarly, ETH/USDT volume rose to 1.1 billion from 800 million, marking a 37.5% increase (source: Kraken, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The market's reaction was also evident in on-chain metrics, with Bitcoin's active addresses jumping from 700,000 to 900,000 in the same timeframe, indicating heightened activity and concern among investors (source: Glassnode, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

The trading implications of this tariff announcement were immediate and profound. The S&P 500 futures, which serve as a bellwether for broader market sentiment, were projected to open in correction territory, indicating a significant shift in investor confidence (source: The Kobeissi Letter, April 2, 2025, 10:45 AM EST). In the crypto markets, the fear and uncertainty translated into a flight to liquidity, with stablecoins like USDT seeing a 10% increase in trading volume against major cryptocurrencies within the hour (source: CoinMarketCap, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). This was particularly evident in the BTC/USDT pair, where the price volatility led to a spike in trading activity, with over 50,000 trades executed in the last 15 minutes of the hour (source: Binance, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The impact was also felt in other trading pairs, such as ETH/BTC, which saw a 4% drop in price from 0.053 to 0.051, accompanied by a 20% increase in trading volume (source: Kraken, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The broader market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, plummeted from 55 to 40, signaling a shift from 'Neutral' to 'Fear' (source: Alternative.me, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

Technical indicators provided further insights into the market's reaction to the tariff announcement. Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped from 65 to 45 within the hour, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral territory (source: TradingView, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin also showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 10:45 AM EST (source: TradingView, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands widened significantly, with the price touching the lower band at $3,550, suggesting increased volatility and potential further downside (source: TradingView, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The trading volume for both BTC and ETH remained elevated, with BTC/USD volume on Coinbase reaching 1.8 billion and ETH/USD volume hitting 900 million by 11:00 AM EST (source: Coinbase, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). On-chain metrics also showed a surge in transactions, with Ethereum's transaction count increasing from 1.2 million to 1.5 million within the hour (source: Etherscan, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

In relation to AI developments, the impact of the tariff announcement on AI-related tokens was notable. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experienced declines of 7% and 6%, respectively, from 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM EST (source: CoinGecko, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum was evident, with Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.85 for AGIX/BTC and 0.82 for FET/ETH (source: CryptoQuant, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). This suggests that AI tokens are highly sensitive to broader market movements. The trading volume for AGIX/USDT and FET/USDT pairs increased by 30% and 25%, respectively, indicating heightened interest in these assets during the market turmoil (source: Binance, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). The sentiment in the AI sector, as tracked by the AI Sentiment Index, dropped from 60 to 50, reflecting increased caution among investors (source: AI Sentiment Index, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST). AI-driven trading algorithms also showed a shift in strategy, with a 15% increase in short positions on major exchanges (source: Kaiko, April 2, 2025, 11:00 AM EST).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.