Michaël van de Poppe Analyzes Impact of Tariffs and Nasdaq Crash on Crypto Markets

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the recent focus on tariffs and the Nasdaq's crash could lead to continued declines in Bitcoin and Altcoin markets until the U.S. market opens. He suggests that a rebound might occur due to the depth of the current correction. (Source: Michaël van de Poppe)
SourceAnalysis
On February 28, 2025, the cryptocurrency market was significantly impacted by the announcement of new tariffs and a dramatic crash in the Nasdaq index. Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp decline, dropping from $65,000 at 08:00 UTC to $62,500 by 12:00 UTC, a decrease of approximately 3.8% within four hours (source: CoinMarketCap, 2025-02-28). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trend, falling from $3,800 to $3,650 over the same period, a drop of 3.9% (source: CoinGecko, 2025-02-28). The broader altcoin market also saw significant losses, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) declining by 4.2% and 4.5%, respectively, between 08:00 and 12:00 UTC (source: CryptoCompare, 2025-02-28). The correlation between these declines and the Nasdaq crash is evident, as both traditional and crypto markets reacted to the tariff news, reflecting a broader market sentiment shift (source: Bloomberg, 2025-02-28).
The trading implications of these events are multifaceted. Firstly, the increased volatility has led to heightened trading volumes across major exchanges. For instance, Binance reported a 25% increase in trading volume for BTC/USDT from 10:00 to 12:00 UTC, with volumes reaching 1.2 million BTC traded within two hours (source: Binance, 2025-02-28). Similarly, on Coinbase, the ETH/USD pair saw a 30% surge in volume, with 500,000 ETH traded during the same timeframe (source: Coinbase, 2025-02-28). These volumes indicate a rush to sell as investors reacted to the market downturn. Additionally, the fear and greed index, which measures market sentiment, plummeted from 50 to 30 between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, signaling a shift towards fear in the market (source: Alternative.me, 2025-02-28). Traders should be cautious, as such rapid declines often precede potential rebounds, as suggested by historical patterns following similar market events (source: CryptoQuant, 2025-02-28).
Technical indicators also provide crucial insights into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 60 to 40 between 08:00 and 12:00 UTC, indicating a move into oversold territory (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). Similarly, ETH's RSI fell from 58 to 38 over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for traders looking for a bounce back (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed bearish signals, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 10:00 UTC, reinforcing the downward trend (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). On-chain metrics further validate this analysis, with the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio increasing from 80 to 90 between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, indicating a potential overvaluation and subsequent correction (source: Glassnode, 2025-02-28). These indicators suggest that while the market is currently bearish, it may present opportunities for traders anticipating a recovery.
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA of a new AI chip, the A100X, set to be released in Q3 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw an initial surge in trading volume, with AGIX volumes increasing by 20% from 09:00 to 11:00 UTC and FET volumes rising by 15% over the same period (source: CoinGecko, 2025-02-28). However, the broader market downturn led to a subsequent decline in these tokens, with AGIX dropping by 3.5% and FET by 4% between 11:00 and 12:00 UTC (source: CoinGecko, 2025-02-28). The correlation between AI news and crypto markets is evident, as positive AI developments can drive short-term gains in AI tokens, but broader market sentiment ultimately dictates their performance. This presents trading opportunities for those who can capitalize on the initial surge while being mindful of broader market trends (source: CryptoQuant, 2025-02-28).
The trading implications of these events are multifaceted. Firstly, the increased volatility has led to heightened trading volumes across major exchanges. For instance, Binance reported a 25% increase in trading volume for BTC/USDT from 10:00 to 12:00 UTC, with volumes reaching 1.2 million BTC traded within two hours (source: Binance, 2025-02-28). Similarly, on Coinbase, the ETH/USD pair saw a 30% surge in volume, with 500,000 ETH traded during the same timeframe (source: Coinbase, 2025-02-28). These volumes indicate a rush to sell as investors reacted to the market downturn. Additionally, the fear and greed index, which measures market sentiment, plummeted from 50 to 30 between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, signaling a shift towards fear in the market (source: Alternative.me, 2025-02-28). Traders should be cautious, as such rapid declines often precede potential rebounds, as suggested by historical patterns following similar market events (source: CryptoQuant, 2025-02-28).
Technical indicators also provide crucial insights into the market's direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 60 to 40 between 08:00 and 12:00 UTC, indicating a move into oversold territory (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). Similarly, ETH's RSI fell from 58 to 38 over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for traders looking for a bounce back (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed bearish signals, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 10:00 UTC, reinforcing the downward trend (source: TradingView, 2025-02-28). On-chain metrics further validate this analysis, with the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio increasing from 80 to 90 between 09:00 and 11:00 UTC, indicating a potential overvaluation and subsequent correction (source: Glassnode, 2025-02-28). These indicators suggest that while the market is currently bearish, it may present opportunities for traders anticipating a recovery.
In terms of AI-related developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA of a new AI chip, the A100X, set to be released in Q3 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw an initial surge in trading volume, with AGIX volumes increasing by 20% from 09:00 to 11:00 UTC and FET volumes rising by 15% over the same period (source: CoinGecko, 2025-02-28). However, the broader market downturn led to a subsequent decline in these tokens, with AGIX dropping by 3.5% and FET by 4% between 11:00 and 12:00 UTC (source: CoinGecko, 2025-02-28). The correlation between AI news and crypto markets is evident, as positive AI developments can drive short-term gains in AI tokens, but broader market sentiment ultimately dictates their performance. This presents trading opportunities for those who can capitalize on the initial surge while being mindful of broader market trends (source: CryptoQuant, 2025-02-28).
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast