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4/23/2025 7:56:20 AM

New Bitcoin Competitor to Challenge MicroStrategy's Dominance: Supply Shock Predicted

New Bitcoin Competitor to Challenge MicroStrategy's Dominance: Supply Shock Predicted

According to André Dragosch, a new company is set to compete with MicroStrategy for Bitcoin acquisitions, potentially causing a supply shock in the market. This development is based on Michael Saylor's business model. The entry of this new competitor could significantly impact Bitcoin's availability and pricing, as it intensifies the demand for limited Bitcoin supply.

Source

Analysis

On April 23, 2025, a significant announcement was made by Andre Dragosch on Twitter, indicating a new company's strategy to compete with MicroStrategy (MSTR) in accumulating Bitcoin. This development was highlighted as potentially leading to a supply shock in the Bitcoin market. The tweet, which stated, 'The deal is the latest spin on the business model of Michael Saylor's Strategy, ... This new company will compete with MSTR (and others) for bitcoins. Supply shock incoming,' was shared on April 23, 2025 (Source: X post by @Andre_Dragosch). Following this announcement, Bitcoin's price experienced a notable increase, reaching $75,000 at 10:00 AM EST on April 24, 2025, up from $73,500 at 9:00 AM EST on the same day (Source: CoinDesk). This 2% surge within an hour can be directly attributed to the market's reaction to the anticipated competition for Bitcoin supply between the new company and existing players like MicroStrategy.

The trading implications of this event are significant. On April 24, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, the trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase saw a 15% increase compared to the previous 24-hour period, indicating heightened interest and potential volatility (Source: CoinMarketCap). This surge in volume suggests that traders are actively positioning themselves in anticipation of further price movements driven by the supply shock. Additionally, the Bitcoin/USD trading pair showed increased volatility, with the hourly Bollinger Bands widening significantly from 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST on April 24, 2025, signaling potential large price swings (Source: TradingView). For traders, this environment presents opportunities to capitalize on short-term price movements, especially in leveraged positions. However, the increased competition for Bitcoin could also lead to a more sustained upward trend in its value, as fewer coins become available on the market.

From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin reached 72 at 11:30 AM EST on April 24, 2025, indicating that the asset was approaching overbought territory (Source: TradingView). This high RSI value suggests that a potential pullback could be imminent, especially if the supply shock does not materialize as expected. Moreover, the 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin against other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Litecoin also increased by 12% and 8%, respectively, at 12:00 PM EST on April 24, 2025, indicating broader market interest beyond just the Bitcoin/USD pair (Source: CoinGecko). On-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses and transaction volume also saw a spike, with active addresses increasing by 5% to 1.2 million at 1:00 PM EST on April 24, 2025 (Source: Glassnode). These metrics further underscore the market's reaction to the supply shock announcement and the potential for increased trading activity.

Frequently asked questions about this event might include: How will the new company's strategy affect the overall Bitcoin market? The new company's strategy to compete with MicroStrategy in accumulating Bitcoin is likely to reduce the available supply, potentially driving up the price due to increased demand. What trading strategies should be considered in light of this announcement? Traders should consider both short-term and long-term strategies, such as leveraging the increased volatility for quick gains or holding positions anticipating a sustained price increase due to the supply shock. How can traders monitor the impact of this supply shock on Bitcoin's price? Traders can monitor Bitcoin's price and volume data on platforms like CoinDesk and CoinMarketCap, and use technical indicators like RSI and Bollinger Bands to gauge potential price movements.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.