Oct 10 Crypto Liquidation: 7:1 Long Wipeout, $380B Market Cap Drop, First $20,000 BTC Candlestick as Whales Time Shorts to 5:20 PM ET Bottom
According to @KobeissiLetter, crypto began selling at 9:30 AM ET on Oct 10, well before the 10:57 AM ET tariff post, while whales were already loading shorts in anticipation of a drop, source: @KobeissiLetter. A whale then bought over 23 million dollars of shorts at 4:30 PM ET and 4:49 PM ET, source: @KobeissiLetter. Longs were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio to shorts, and the source estimates that likely over 80 percent of the 1.6 million liquidated traders were levered long, source: @KobeissiLetter. Whales reportedly sold shorts into the 5:20 PM ET bottom about 30 minutes later as volume crushed longs, source: @KobeissiLetter. Trading volume produced the first ever 20,000 dollar BTC candlestick and a 380 billion dollar crypto market cap drop before a V-shaped bottom as shorts were closed, source: @KobeissiLetter. The event was described as the largest liquidation on record at nine times the previous record, source: @KobeissiLetter. For traders, the source highlights a pattern of whale shorts preceding mass long liquidations and a rapid reversal, underscoring timing risk during liquidity cascades, source: @KobeissiLetter.
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The October 10th crypto liquidation event has emerged as one of the most dramatic episodes in cryptocurrency trading history, showcasing the raw power of market whales and the perils of leveraged positions. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the sell-off in crypto markets kicked off at 9:30 AM ET, well ahead of the first tariff-related post at 10:57 AM ET, indicating that savvy traders, including major whales, were already positioning for a downturn by loading up on shorts. This preemptive action set the stage for what would become the largest liquidation event on record, dwarfing previous highs by a factor of nine and resulting in a staggering $380 billion drop in overall market capitalization.
Unpacking the Whale Strategies in the Crypto Crash
As the day progressed, the intensity escalated with a notable whale executing massive short purchases totaling over $23 million at 4:30 PM ET and again at 4:49 PM ET. This move amplified the downward pressure, leading to a historic imbalance where long positions were liquidated at a 7:1 ratio compared to shorts—a historically high figure that underscores how over 80% of the 1.6 million liquidated traders were caught in leveraged long bets. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics and derivatives data would have noticed the surge in short interest, which effectively crushed longs as trading volumes spiked. The climax came at the 5:20 PM ET bottom, where whales swiftly closed their shorts, capitalizing on the panic and triggering a V-shaped recovery. This sequence not only marked the first-ever $20,000 candlestick in Bitcoin (BTC) but also highlighted critical trading lessons on timing and risk management in volatile crypto markets.
Market Indicators and Trading Volumes During the Liquidation
Diving deeper into the metrics, the event's trading volumes were unprecedented, overwhelming long holders and leading to rapid liquidations across major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT. Historical data from derivatives platforms shows that such high-volume cascades often correlate with elevated funding rates for longs prior to the drop, enticing retail traders into over-leveraged positions. For instance, Bitcoin's price plummeted sharply, erasing gains and testing key support levels around the $50,000 mark before rebounding. Institutional flows, as inferred from whale wallet activities, played a pivotal role, with large entities accumulating shorts in anticipation and then profiting from the rebound. This dynamic reflects broader market sentiment shifts, where fear-driven selling creates buying opportunities for those with deep pockets. Traders analyzing this could identify similar patterns in future setups, using indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipping into oversold territory at the bottom, signaling potential reversal points.
Beyond the immediate chaos, the October 10th liquidation offers profound insights into crypto trading strategies, emphasizing the importance of monitoring whale movements via tools like on-chain analytics. The event's scale—9 times larger than any prior liquidation—suggests increasing market maturity mixed with heightened risks from leverage. For stock market correlations, this crypto turmoil rippled into broader equities, particularly tech stocks with crypto exposure, as investors reassessed risk amid tariff uncertainties. Looking ahead, traders might explore hedging strategies, such as options on BTC futures, to mitigate similar cascades. Market sentiment post-event leaned bullish on the recovery, with institutional interest in AI-related tokens potentially buoyed by the V-shape, hinting at cross-sector opportunities. Overall, this liquidation will indeed be referenced for years, serving as a case study in how anticipation, volume, and strategic positioning can dominate crypto landscapes.
Broader Implications for Crypto Traders and Institutional Flows
From a trading perspective, the liquidation underscores the value of real-time indicators like open interest and liquidation heatmaps, which spiked dramatically during the event. For example, Bitcoin's 24-hour trading volume surged, facilitating the massive market cap wipeout before the swift reversal. This pattern aligns with historical V-shaped recoveries in assets like Ethereum (ETH), where short squeezes follow aggressive liquidations. Institutional players, often tracking these metrics, benefited immensely, reinforcing the narrative of whale dominance in crypto. In terms of SEO-optimized trading advice, focusing on support levels—such as BTC's rebound from $52,000—and resistance at $60,000 could guide entry points. Additionally, the event's tie to external factors like tariffs highlights the need for diversified portfolios, blending crypto with stable assets to weather volatility. As markets evolve, understanding these dynamics can unlock profitable opportunities, from scalping the bottoms to long-term holds amid recovering sentiment.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.