On-Chain Analysis Overtakes Perpetuals Trading: Key Fundamentals for Crypto Traders in 2025

According to Miles Deutscher, mastering on-chain analysis is now more valuable than focusing on perpetuals trading. Deutscher emphasizes that traders who prioritize understanding blockchain fundamentals over technical indicators gain a significant edge in managing trading psychology, identifying emerging crypto trends, and reacting to information asymmetries in real time. This approach enhances decision-making and risk management, which are crucial in today's fast-evolving digital asset markets (Source: @milesdeutscher on Twitter, June 10, 2025).
SourceAnalysis
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent perspective shared by industry influencer Miles Deutscher has sparked significant discussion among traders. On June 10, 2025, Deutscher emphasized the growing importance of on-chain analysis over perpetual futures (perps) trading, advocating for a strong grasp of fundamentals before delving into technical analysis. According to his statement on social media, mastering on-chain metrics helps traders manage emotions, spot emerging trends, and understand information asymmetry—key skills for navigating the volatile crypto markets. This perspective comes at a time when Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $68,500 as of 10:00 AM UTC on June 10, 2025, following a 2.3% dip over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum (ETH) trades at $3,650 with a 1.8% decline in the same timeframe, as reported by leading market data platforms like CoinMarketCap. The crypto market's total capitalization stands at approximately $2.4 trillion, reflecting a cautious sentiment amid macroeconomic uncertainties and stock market fluctuations. This backdrop of market softness, combined with Deutscher’s insights, highlights a shift in focus toward data-driven strategies that prioritize on-chain insights over leveraged trading approaches, offering traders a potential edge in understanding market dynamics. For instance, on-chain data from Glassnode shows a notable increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC, reaching 1.02 million as of June 9, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, suggesting accumulation by long-term holders despite price dips. This kind of fundamental analysis could be a game-changer for traders looking to capitalize on market sentiment shifts.
Delving into the trading implications of prioritizing on-chain analysis, Deutscher’s viewpoint aligns with a broader trend where traders seek to mitigate risks associated with high-leverage perps trading, which has seen liquidation volumes spike recently. Data from Coinglass indicates that over $180 million in leveraged positions were liquidated across major exchanges like Binance and OKX in the 24 hours leading up to June 10, 2025, at 09:00 AM UTC, with BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs accounting for 60% of the total. This volatility underscores the emotional and financial toll of perps trading without a solid fundamental base. On-chain analysis, by contrast, offers a clearer picture of network activity—such as transaction volumes and staking trends—that can signal potential price movements before they manifest in technical charts. For example, Ethereum’s on-chain transaction volume spiked by 15% to $8.2 billion on June 8, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, per data from IntoTheBlock, hinting at increased network usage that preceded a temporary price recovery to $3,700 by June 9, 2025, at 06:00 UTC. From a cross-market perspective, stock market events also play a role; the S&P 500 dipped 0.5% on June 9, 2025, at market close (20:00 UTC), reflecting broader risk-off sentiment that often correlates with crypto sell-offs. Traders who combine on-chain insights with macro awareness can better position themselves for entries, such as buying ETH at support levels around $3,600 during correlated stock market dips, while avoiding over-leveraged trades that amplify losses.
From a technical and volume-based perspective, on-chain metrics provide actionable data that complements traditional indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages. Bitcoin’s on-chain exchange inflows surged by 25,000 BTC on June 9, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, as per CryptoQuant data, often a bearish signal indicating potential selling pressure, which aligned with the price drop to $68,200 by June 10, 2025, at 03:00 UTC. Meanwhile, trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance reached $12.4 billion in the last 24 hours as of 10:00 AM UTC on June 10, 2025, a 10% increase from the prior day, reflecting heightened activity amid uncertainty. In terms of market correlations, Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq 100 stands at 0.65 as of June 10, 2025, per data from Macroaxis, suggesting that tech stock movements continue to influence crypto risk appetite. Institutionally, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) saw a modest uptick of $50 million on June 9, 2025, as reported by Farside Investors, indicating sustained interest despite market softness. This interplay between stock and crypto markets, amplified by on-chain data, offers traders opportunities to hedge positions or scale into BTC at key levels like $67,500 if exchange inflows taper off. For altcoins like ETH, staking inflows on platforms like Lido Finance increased by 5% to 32.5 million ETH staked as of June 10, 2025, at 08:00 UTC, per Dune Analytics, signaling long-term confidence that could support price stability near $3,600.
In summary, the emphasis on on-chain analysis over perps trading, as highlighted by industry voices like Miles Deutscher, reflects a strategic pivot for crypto traders aiming to navigate complex markets. By focusing on verifiable data points—such as Bitcoin accumulation trends, Ethereum transaction spikes, and institutional ETF flows—traders can build robust strategies that account for both crypto-specific fundamentals and broader stock market correlations. This approach not only mitigates the emotional pitfalls of leveraged trading but also uncovers hidden opportunities in a market increasingly driven by data asymmetry.
FAQ Section:
What is on-chain analysis in cryptocurrency trading?
On-chain analysis involves studying data directly from a blockchain, such as transaction volumes, wallet activity, and staking metrics, to gauge market sentiment and predict price movements. For instance, a surge in Bitcoin exchange inflows, like the 25,000 BTC recorded on June 9, 2025, often signals potential selling pressure.
How does on-chain analysis differ from technical analysis?
While technical analysis relies on price charts and indicators like RSI, on-chain analysis focuses on blockchain-specific data. This provides a deeper look into network health and user behavior, such as Ethereum’s 15% transaction volume increase on June 8, 2025, which can precede price shifts.
Why is on-chain analysis becoming more important than perps trading?
On-chain analysis offers a fundamental understanding of market dynamics, helping traders manage emotions and avoid the high risks of leveraged perpetual futures trading, where liquidations reached $180 million on June 10, 2025, as per Coinglass data.
Delving into the trading implications of prioritizing on-chain analysis, Deutscher’s viewpoint aligns with a broader trend where traders seek to mitigate risks associated with high-leverage perps trading, which has seen liquidation volumes spike recently. Data from Coinglass indicates that over $180 million in leveraged positions were liquidated across major exchanges like Binance and OKX in the 24 hours leading up to June 10, 2025, at 09:00 AM UTC, with BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs accounting for 60% of the total. This volatility underscores the emotional and financial toll of perps trading without a solid fundamental base. On-chain analysis, by contrast, offers a clearer picture of network activity—such as transaction volumes and staking trends—that can signal potential price movements before they manifest in technical charts. For example, Ethereum’s on-chain transaction volume spiked by 15% to $8.2 billion on June 8, 2025, at 12:00 UTC, per data from IntoTheBlock, hinting at increased network usage that preceded a temporary price recovery to $3,700 by June 9, 2025, at 06:00 UTC. From a cross-market perspective, stock market events also play a role; the S&P 500 dipped 0.5% on June 9, 2025, at market close (20:00 UTC), reflecting broader risk-off sentiment that often correlates with crypto sell-offs. Traders who combine on-chain insights with macro awareness can better position themselves for entries, such as buying ETH at support levels around $3,600 during correlated stock market dips, while avoiding over-leveraged trades that amplify losses.
From a technical and volume-based perspective, on-chain metrics provide actionable data that complements traditional indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages. Bitcoin’s on-chain exchange inflows surged by 25,000 BTC on June 9, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, as per CryptoQuant data, often a bearish signal indicating potential selling pressure, which aligned with the price drop to $68,200 by June 10, 2025, at 03:00 UTC. Meanwhile, trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance reached $12.4 billion in the last 24 hours as of 10:00 AM UTC on June 10, 2025, a 10% increase from the prior day, reflecting heightened activity amid uncertainty. In terms of market correlations, Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq 100 stands at 0.65 as of June 10, 2025, per data from Macroaxis, suggesting that tech stock movements continue to influence crypto risk appetite. Institutionally, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) saw a modest uptick of $50 million on June 9, 2025, as reported by Farside Investors, indicating sustained interest despite market softness. This interplay between stock and crypto markets, amplified by on-chain data, offers traders opportunities to hedge positions or scale into BTC at key levels like $67,500 if exchange inflows taper off. For altcoins like ETH, staking inflows on platforms like Lido Finance increased by 5% to 32.5 million ETH staked as of June 10, 2025, at 08:00 UTC, per Dune Analytics, signaling long-term confidence that could support price stability near $3,600.
In summary, the emphasis on on-chain analysis over perps trading, as highlighted by industry voices like Miles Deutscher, reflects a strategic pivot for crypto traders aiming to navigate complex markets. By focusing on verifiable data points—such as Bitcoin accumulation trends, Ethereum transaction spikes, and institutional ETF flows—traders can build robust strategies that account for both crypto-specific fundamentals and broader stock market correlations. This approach not only mitigates the emotional pitfalls of leveraged trading but also uncovers hidden opportunities in a market increasingly driven by data asymmetry.
FAQ Section:
What is on-chain analysis in cryptocurrency trading?
On-chain analysis involves studying data directly from a blockchain, such as transaction volumes, wallet activity, and staking metrics, to gauge market sentiment and predict price movements. For instance, a surge in Bitcoin exchange inflows, like the 25,000 BTC recorded on June 9, 2025, often signals potential selling pressure.
How does on-chain analysis differ from technical analysis?
While technical analysis relies on price charts and indicators like RSI, on-chain analysis focuses on blockchain-specific data. This provides a deeper look into network health and user behavior, such as Ethereum’s 15% transaction volume increase on June 8, 2025, which can precede price shifts.
Why is on-chain analysis becoming more important than perps trading?
On-chain analysis offers a fundamental understanding of market dynamics, helping traders manage emotions and avoid the high risks of leveraged perpetual futures trading, where liquidations reached $180 million on June 10, 2025, as per Coinglass data.
on-chain analysis
crypto market psychology
blockchain trends
digital asset risk management
crypto trading fundamentals
perpetuals trading
information asymmetry
Miles Deutscher
@milesdeutscherCrypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.