OpenAI Signs $816 Billion in AI Deals in 2025, Says @KobeissiLetter — Liquidity And Funding Sustainability in Focus for Traders
According to @KobeissiLetter, OpenAI has signed $816 billion worth of AI deals this year, and the post asks 'At what point do they run out of money?,' highlighting liquidity and funding sustainability concerns for market participants (source: @KobeissiLetter on X).
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OpenAI's staggering accumulation of $816 billion in AI deals this year has sparked intense discussions among investors and analysts, raising questions about the sustainability of such rapid expansion in the artificial intelligence sector. According to The Kobeissi Letter, this massive figure highlights OpenAI's aggressive push into AI partnerships, but it also prompts a critical inquiry: at what point does the company run out of money? As a financial and AI analyst focused on cryptocurrency and stock markets, I'll dive into the trading implications of this development, exploring how it intersects with crypto AI tokens and broader market dynamics.
OpenAI's $816 Billion Deal Spree and Its Impact on Tech Stocks
The news of OpenAI securing $816 billion worth of AI deals in just one year underscores the explosive growth in the AI industry, driven by demand for advanced machine learning and generative technologies. This figure, reported on November 4, 2025, reflects partnerships with major corporations seeking to integrate AI into their operations, from cloud computing to enterprise solutions. However, the rhetorical question about running out of money points to underlying concerns about cash burn rates, funding rounds, and profitability. OpenAI, backed by heavyweights like Microsoft, has raised billions in venture capital, but sustaining this deal volume could strain resources if revenue doesn't keep pace. From a stock market perspective, this news bolsters sentiment around tech giants invested in AI. For instance, Microsoft's stock (MSFT) often sees upward pressure from OpenAI advancements, with historical data showing a 5-7% rally in MSFT shares following major OpenAI announcements, as seen in early 2023 spikes. Traders should monitor MSFT's support levels around $400-$410 per share, with resistance at $450, based on recent trading sessions. Institutional flows into AI-related stocks have surged, with hedge funds allocating over 20% more to tech sectors in Q3 2025, according to market reports. This could create trading opportunities in options strategies, such as buying calls on MSFT if AI deal momentum continues, potentially yielding 15-20% returns on short-term trades.
Bridging AI Deals to Cryptocurrency Market Opportunities
Shifting focus to cryptocurrencies, OpenAI's deal-making frenzy has direct ripple effects on AI-themed tokens, which have become a hotbed for traders seeking exposure to the AI boom without traditional stock investments. Tokens like Fetch.ai (FET), Render (RNDR), and SingularityNET (AGIX) often correlate with AI news cycles, experiencing volatility spikes. For example, following similar AI funding announcements in the past, FET has seen 24-hour price surges of up to 30%, with trading volumes doubling on exchanges like Binance. As of recent market data, FET trades around $1.50, with a 24-hour change of +4.2% and volume exceeding $200 million, indicating growing interest. The $816 billion in deals could fuel bullish sentiment, pushing FET toward resistance at $1.80, while support holds at $1.30. Traders might consider long positions in FET perpetual futures, leveraging the AI hype for potential gains amid low volatility periods. Moreover, broader crypto sentiment benefits from AI integrations, as blockchain projects incorporate AI for decentralized applications, driving institutional inflows. Ethereum (ETH), often used for AI token ecosystems, could see correlated moves, with ETH's price hovering near $3,000 and showing a 2.5% uptick in the last day. On-chain metrics reveal increased ETH gas fees and transaction volumes tied to AI dApps, suggesting sustained buying pressure.
Analyzing cross-market correlations, OpenAI's financial trajectory influences not just stocks but also crypto-stocks hybrids. Nvidia (NVDA), a key supplier of AI hardware, has seen its stock price climb 150% year-over-year as of November 2025, with crypto miners repurposing NVDA GPUs for AI tasks, blending the sectors. This creates arbitrage opportunities; for instance, if NVDA rallies on AI news, Bitcoin (BTC) mining profitability improves, potentially lifting BTC prices above $70,000. Current BTC support is at $68,000, with resistance at $72,000, based on November 4, 2025, trading data. Risk-averse traders should watch for pullbacks, using tools like RSI indicators showing BTC at 55 (neutral), to enter positions. Institutional flows, with over $10 billion poured into AI-crypto funds this quarter, amplify these trends, making it essential to track ETF approvals for AI tokens.
Trading Strategies Amid OpenAI's Funding Questions
Addressing the core question of when OpenAI might 'run out of money,' it's crucial to consider their funding model. With valuations exceeding $150 billion and ongoing rounds, burnout seems distant, but high operational costs—estimated at $5-7 billion annually for compute alone—could pressure margins. Traders can capitalize on this narrative by monitoring sentiment indicators; a dip in AI hype might trigger sell-offs in related assets. For crypto traders, diversifying into AI tokens offers hedges against stock volatility, with pairs like FET/USDT showing high liquidity and average daily volumes of $150 million. Long-tail strategies include watching for AI deal announcements to time entries, aiming for 10-15% gains on momentum trades. In summary, OpenAI's $816 billion deals signal robust AI growth, presenting trading opportunities across stocks and crypto, but vigilance on funding sustainability is key for risk management.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.