Polymarket: 41% Odds of Fed Rate Hike This Year

Polymarket now prices a 41% chance the Fed will hike rates before year-end, according to fresh market data shared by PolymarketMoney. Traders on the prediction platform have lifted odds sharply in recent sessions as inflation prints and labor data refused to cool. The move marks the highest implied probability for an increase since the central bank began easing last year. StockMKTNewz flagged the figure on X, questioning whether the odds reflect genuine shifts in Fed thinking or simply liquidity-driven noise in the betting market.