According to @rovercrc, Polymarket pricing shows the market-implied probability of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in September has dropped to 57%, based on active prediction market contracts where prices reflect odds (source: Polymarket; @rovercrc). For traders, this 57% benchmark offers a real-time macro gauge to calibrate exposure and hedges in liquidity-sensitive crypto assets such as BTC and ETH around upcoming FOMC communications and data releases (source: Polymarket; @rovercrc).

According to @rovercrc, Polymarket traders are pricing a 70% probability of a September US Federal Reserve rate cut, indicating strong market expectations for policy easing. Source: @rovercrc. Traders may monitor this 70% odds level as a macro input when sizing BTC and ETH exposure into September policy risk. Source: @rovercrc.

According to @rovercrc, data from Polymarket indicates there is now a 53% chance that Bitcoin (BTC) will fall below $100,000 before 2026. This development reflects shifting trader sentiment in the crypto derivatives market and highlights increased uncertainty around Bitcoin's long-term price trajectory. Market participants should monitor this trend as it could influence short-term trading strategies and overall market volatility (Source: @rovercrc).

According to @AggrNews, the crypto prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly considering the launch of its own stablecoin. This development could significantly impact the platform's ecosystem by potentially improving capital efficiency, creating new yield opportunities, and reducing its dependence on third-party stablecoins like USDC. For traders, the introduction of a native stablecoin could be a precursor to further platform developments, including a potential future token airdrop, which is a highly watched catalyst.

According to André Dragosch, PhD, prediction market odds on Polymarket for the removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have surged to their highest level year-to-date. This development signals growing political uncertainty surrounding the Fed's leadership, which could have significant implications for traders. A potential change at the helm of the U.S. central bank could lead to shifts in monetary policy and interest rate outlooks, directly impacting the valuation of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader digital asset market.

According to dydxfoundation, the Solana-based decentralized exchange (DEX) Jupiter is pausing all DAO votes until the end of 2025, citing a "breakdown in trust" and an inefficient governance structure. Jupiter executive Kash Dhanda stated the protocol is in a "critical period" and this pause will allow them to return in 2026 with a new approach. For traders, while active staking rewards (ASR) of 50 million JUP per quarter will continue, no new DAO-funded work groups will be created, preventing additional token emissions. The JUP token has lost 21.8% of its value over the past 30 days, trading around $0.40, though this announcement did not cause immediate significant volatility. In separate news highlighting governance risks, the crypto prediction market Polymarket is embroiled in a $160 million controversy over a disputed market outcome, with accusations of manipulation against UMA oracle validators. The underlying asset, Solana (SOL), was trading at approximately $152.37, showing a 1.688% increase over 24 hours.

According to @WhiteHouse, U.S. Senator Tim Scott has set a new deadline of September 30 for completing the crypto market structure legislation, a timeline he described as a "realistic expectation." This development provides a clearer path for regulatory clarity in the United States, a key factor for institutional and retail traders. White House crypto adviser Bo Hines endorsed the timeline and urged the House to quickly pass the Senate's GENIUS Act for stablecoins. Concurrently, investor sentiment is improving as the odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket have fallen to 22%, a sharp drop from a high of 66% in April. This reduced economic fear, also supported by Goldman Sachs lowering its recession odds to 30%, may increase risk appetite for assets like cryptocurrencies. Amid these developments, Ethereum (ETH) is trading around the $2,550-$2,560 range.

According to @WhiteHouse, a new deadline for the U.S. crypto market structure bill has been set for September 30, a timeline confirmed by Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott. This development provides traders with a clearer timeframe for potential regulatory clarity, although disagreements with the House over a separate stablecoin bill could still introduce delays. In parallel, macroeconomic sentiment is improving, with the odds of a 2025 U.S. recession on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket falling to 22%, the lowest since February. This drop from a high of 66% in April, as cited in the report, reflects easing trade tensions and a more optimistic outlook from firms like Goldman Sachs, suggesting an increased risk appetite that could be favorable for assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

According to @WhiteHouse, a clearer timeline for U.S. crypto regulation has emerged, potentially boosting market sentiment for assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). U.S. Senator Tim Scott has set a new deadline of September 30 for passing a comprehensive crypto market structure bill, a timeline he described as a "realistic expectation." This development provides a key date for traders to watch, although potential delays remain as the House of Representatives has not committed to the Senate's pace, particularly on a separate stablecoin bill. Complementing this regulatory news, macroeconomic optimism is growing as the odds of a 2025 U.S. recession on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket have plunged to 22%, the lowest since February and down from a high of 66% in April. This improved economic outlook, driven by easing trade tensions, is historically bullish for risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market.

According to @WhiteHouse, a key U.S. Senator has committed to a September 30 deadline for finalizing the crucial crypto market structure bill, providing a clearer timeline for regulatory clarity. Senator Tim Scott confirmed this accelerated schedule to a White House crypto adviser, a move supported by the administration which is also pushing for the House to quickly pass the Senate's stablecoin legislation. This potential for regulatory progress comes as macroeconomic fears subside, with recession odds for 2025 on the prediction market Polymarket dropping to a multi-month low of 22%. The combination of clearer legislative timelines and diminishing economic concerns may reduce uncertainty and create a more favorable environment for digital assets like Ethereum (ETH), which is currently trading around $2,557 amidst minor daily fluctuations.

According to @WhiteHouse, two significant developments are influencing the cryptocurrency market. Firstly, U.S. Senator Tim Scott announced a new target deadline of September 30 for completing the U.S. crypto market structure bill, signaling a push for regulatory clarity sooner than some lawmakers had predicted. This accelerated timeline could potentially resolve long-standing uncertainty for crypto investors. Secondly, macroeconomic fears are subsiding, as evidenced by odds on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket for a 2025 U.S. recession dropping to just 22%, the lowest since February. This marks a sharp reversal from a peak of 66% in April, a sentiment shift also reflected by Goldman Sachs lowering its recession probability. These factors create a more favorable backdrop for digital assets, occurring as Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $2,563, having seen modest volatility over the past day.

According to @WhiteHouse, U.S. Senator Tim Scott has set a new target deadline of September 30 for completing a comprehensive crypto market structure bill, a move that could provide significant regulatory clarity for the digital asset space. This timeline was confirmed to a White House crypto adviser, although it faces potential hurdles from disagreements with the House on a separate stablecoin bill and a lack of matching urgency from the Senate Agriculture Committee, as per the source. Simultaneously, the macroeconomic outlook is improving for risk assets like cryptocurrencies, with betting odds on a 2025 U.S. recession plunging to 22% on the prediction market Polymarket, their lowest point since February. This decline in recession fears, down from a high of 66% in April, is attributed to easing trade tensions. In the current market, Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $2,557, down 0.24% over 24 hours, while its ratio against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) has decreased by 1.14%, indicating slight underperformance against the leading cryptocurrency.

According to @StockMKTNewz, bets on a 2025 U.S. recession have fallen sharply, with odds on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket dropping to 22%, the lowest since late February. This decline from a high of 66% in April is attributed to easing trade tensions, particularly after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted at finalizing trade deals before the July 9 tariff deadline, as reported by Reuters. The improved macroeconomic outlook has fueled a rally in cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) gaining over 1% to briefly top $109,000. Other major assets also rose, with XRP and Solana (SOL) gaining over 2% each, and Dogecoin (DOGE) increasing by 3%, indicating a renewed risk-on sentiment among traders.

According to @FoxNews, Trump Media and Technology Group (DJT) has announced a $400 million share buyback that will be funded separately from its Bitcoin (BTC) treasury strategy, signaling a continued commitment to its corporate crypto holdings. The company, which holds approximately $3 billion on its balance sheet, saw its stock rise over 3.8% on the news. This corporate development coincides with improving macroeconomic sentiment, as odds for a 2025 U.S. recession on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket have dropped to 22%, the lowest since late February. This decrease in recession fears, attributed to easing trade tensions, is generally considered a bullish signal for risk-on assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market, as it suggests stronger investor confidence.

According to @FoxNews, major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced a rally following comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinting at new trade deals before the July 9 tariff deadline. The source reports that Bitcoin gained over 1%, briefly surpassing $109,000, while XRP and Solana (SOL) each rose over 2%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) saw a 3% increase. This positive market sentiment is linked to Bessent's statement that a failure to secure deals by July 9 would result in higher tariffs being reinstated on August 1, per a Reuters report of his CNN interview. The easing of trade tensions has also led to a significant drop in U.S. recession odds for 2025 on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, which have fallen to 22%, the lowest since late February. This marks a reversal from April when recession fears peaked after President Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariff announcement caused BTC to drop to $75,000.

According to @FoxNews, NBA legend Shaquille O’Neal has agreed to a $1.8 million settlement in the class-action lawsuit concerning his promotion of the collapsed crypto exchange FTX. This development highlights the continuing legal consequences of the FTX failure, potentially affecting crypto market sentiment. In the DeFi space, prediction market Polymarket is embroiled in a significant controversy over a $160 million bet, with the outcome being disputed by validators of the UMA oracle protocol. This incident raises critical concerns for traders about the integrity and potential for manipulation in decentralized oracles by large token holders, a fundamental risk in DeFi governance. Amidst these events, the crypto market shows minor bearish signals, with Ethereum (ETH) trading at approximately $2,544.13 and Solana (SOL) at $149.94, both experiencing slight 24-hour declines.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 has dropped to 22% on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, its lowest level since late February, as trade tensions cool and financial conditions ease. This marks a sharp reversal from April when odds reached as high as 66% on Polymarket and Goldman Sachs estimated a 45% chance (source: Polymarket, Goldman Sachs). In a significant development for crypto adoption, prominent financial advisor Ric Edelman told CNBC he now recommends investors consider allocating up to 40% of their wealth to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) (source: Ric Edelman). Edelman cited a "massive change" in the industry, including growing political support and regulatory clarity, which he believes has transformed digital assets into a "mainstream asset" and the "best investment opportunity of the decade" (source: Ric Edelman). The combination of reduced macroeconomic risk and a strong endorsement from a mainstream financial figure managing nearly $300 billion could serve as a powerful catalyst for the crypto market.

According to @StockMKTNewz, odds for a U.S. recession in 2025 have fallen sharply to just 22% on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, marking the lowest level since late February. This decline in recession fears is attributed to easing U.S. trade tensions, particularly after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted at finalizing trade deals before the July 9 tariff deadline. The improved macroeconomic outlook has fueled a rally in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) gaining over 1% to trade above $108,000. Other major cryptocurrencies also saw gains, with XRP and Solana (SOL) rising over 2%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) increasing by 3%. This represents a significant reversal from earlier this year when recession odds on Polymarket peaked at 66% following tariff announcements and warnings from financial institutions.

According to @PolynomialFi, Coinbase analysts have identified stablecoins as the 'quiet winners' of Polymarket's recent growth surge. The prediction market, which settles all trades in Circle's USDC on the Polygon network, has processed over $14 billion in lifetime volume, creating significant, high-velocity demand for the stablecoin, as noted in the Coinbase report. This development comes as Polygon itself undergoes a major strategic overhaul. Citing a team press release, co-founder Sandeep Nailwal is now CEO of the Polygon Foundation, which will focus on its AggLayer cross-chain protocol and retire the zkEVM network to reclaim its Web3 leadership. Amid these ecosystem shifts, market data shows Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $108,000 and Ethereum (ETH) near $2,530, while Solana (SOL) hovers around $150.

According to @StockMKTNewz, major cryptocurrencies are rallying on positive sentiment after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted at forthcoming trade deals before the July 9 tariff deadline. The report notes that Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 1% to trade above $109,000, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose 3%, and both XRP and Solana (SOL) saw gains of over 2%. This market optimism is mirrored by macroeconomic indicators, as the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 has dropped to a low of 22% on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket, reflecting renewed confidence as trade tensions appear to cool.