According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket now prices a 53% probability that the Fed makes no rate cut at its December 2025 meeting, placing no change above the odds of a 25 bps cut for the first time; source: The Kobeissi Letter on X citing Polymarket. The post states that markets are worried about inflation, highlighting why no-change odds have overtaken cut odds; source: The Kobeissi Letter on X. For trading, crypto market participants can reference the Polymarket contract as a real-time gauge of rate-cut expectations when managing BTC and ETH exposure around Fed communications and macro data; source: Polymarket data referenced by The Kobeissi Letter.

According to @boldleonidas, he alleged that Pasternak spent 40,000 per night on a hotel while working on the Believe project, contrasting it with Shayne’s lean approach in building Polymarket and flagging potential reputational overhang for Believe among crypto traders, source: https://twitter.com/boldleonidas/status/1989461829119255035. No token details, market data, or on-chain metrics were provided in the post and the claim remains an allegation rather than independently verified information, source: https://twitter.com/boldleonidas/status/1989461829119255035.

According to @AltcoinDaily, the UFC has chosen Polymarket and labeled it crypto's number one prediction market in an X post dated Nov 13, 2025, with a link to further commentary by @shayne_coplan, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 13, 2025. The source does not provide official partnership terms, timelines, or a press release, and it does not mention any tradable ticker related to Polymarket, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 13, 2025. From a trading perspective, the post highlights the event but identifies no direct instrument to trade, so immediate setups hinge on subsequent confirmations or details from UFC or Polymarket, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 13, 2025.

According to the source, Polymarket signed a multi-year agreement to power official prediction markets and fan engagement features for the UFC and Zuffa Boxing, confirming the markets’ official status under league partnerships; source: public announcement on Nov 13, 2025.

According to the source, the UFC has announced an exclusive partnership with crypto prediction platform Polymarket. Based on the source report, traders can monitor UFC-related prediction markets on Polymarket and track shifts in trading volumes and odds around fight-week news to gauge short-term sentiment and potential volatility in the broader prediction-market ecosystem.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Polymarket has become Yahoo Finance’s exclusive prediction market partner, bringing its probability data to over 150 million monthly visitors (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025). @CoinMarketCap also states the platform is tracking toward record monthly volumes, indicating elevated trading activity within Polymarket’s markets (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025).

According to the source, Polymarket stated that its prediction market data will be integrated into Yahoo Finance, expanding access to its product for a broader audience (source: Polymarket statement on Nov 12, 2025).

According to @CoinMarketCap via Twitter on Nov 12, 2025, fantasy sports platform PrizePicks has partnered with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into its app, adding entertainment and cultural event contracts and signaling Polymarket’s preparation to reenter the US. According to the same source, this expands the range of tradable markets available to users within the PrizePicks app and indicates forthcoming accessibility for US users upon Polymarket’s reentry.

According to Michael Burry Stock Tracker (@burrytracker), the account posted on X on Nov 11, 2025, sharing a link to a Polymarket post at x.com/Polymarket/status/1988250469978821037. Source: x.com/burrytracker/status/1988255564812480842 and x.com/Polymarket/status/1988250469978821037. The post provides no additional context beyond the link; traders should review the referenced market's odds and liquidity directly to assess risk. Source: x.com/Polymarket/status/1988250469978821037.

According to @cas_abbe, prediction market Polymarket is pricing an 84% probability that the U.S. government shutdown ends this week, reducing near-term policy risk for risk assets (source: Polymarket; source: @cas_abbe). @cas_abbe also notes that Stephen Miran is calling for a 50 bps rate cut in December, signaling potential policy easing and returning liquidity that @cas_abbe frames as bullish for BTC and ETH (source: @cas_abbe). For trading, monitoring Polymarket odds and any December rate-cut signaling is key as catalysts for crypto beta and funding conditions in the coming sessions (source: Polymarket; source: @cas_abbe).

According to the source, a Weekly Crypto Forecast live broadcast on X dated Nov 10, 2025 covers BTC, macro, and Polymarket for traders; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025. The agenda centers on Bitcoin price outlook (BTC), macroeconomic drivers, and prediction-market sentiment relevant to trade setup planning; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025. Traders can access the X broadcast to incorporate real-time insights into BTC risk management and positioning; source: official X broadcast post dated Nov 10, 2025.

According to @EmberCN, T1 won the championship, triggering settlement on Polymarket for the T1 vs KT market with the outcome disclosed in the post source: X account @EmberCN. The top T1 backer @AnselFang turned $1.58 million into $2.40 million for $820,000 profit, a 51.9% return calculated from the figures shared source: X account @EmberCN and Polymarket user page @fengdubiying. The top KT backer bossoskil lost $1.41 million with the position marked to zero following resolution source: X account @EmberCN and Polymarket user page @bossoskil.

According to @EmberCN, the LOL S15 Grand Final BO5 is tied 2-2 and the deciding game will determine the champion, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, on Polymarket the largest T1 backer staked $1.58M for a potential $2.40M payout if T1 wins, implying an average entry of about $0.658 per $1 payout and a 52% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the largest KT backer staked $1.41M for a potential $3.44M payout if KT wins, implying an average entry of about $0.410 per $1 payout and a 144% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the referenced positions are visible at polymarket.com/@fengdubiying and polymarket.com/@bossoskil?tab=positions for verification, source: @EmberCN.

According to the source, Google Finance has added prediction data from Polymarket and Kalshi, bringing event-contract odds into a mainstream market dashboard used by traders; source: the source. Traders should verify the integration on Google Finance and monitor Polymarket 24h volume, Kalshi open interest and spreads, and cross-asset moves in crypto during major event windows to assess liquidity and sentiment transfer; source: the source.

According to @cryptorover, Polymarket traders now predict the U.S. government shutdown will extend until November 20, identifying Nov. 20 as the key date to monitor for event-risk timing in crypto markets (source: @cryptorover).

According to @burrytracker, the post shares a direct Polymarket market link without additional context, providing no stated odds, prices, or directionality in the tweet itself, source: @burrytracker on X, Nov 8, 2025. Traders should open the referenced Polymarket market to review live implied probabilities, 24h trading volume, liquidity depth, expiration date, and resolution criteria before taking any positions, source: Polymarket. Because the tweet does not disclose the market’s current price or bias, any trade setup should be driven by the market’s displayed price action, spreads, and order flow on Polymarket, source: @burrytracker on X; Polymarket.

According to the source, Columbia University researchers report that about 25% of Polymarket trading volume may be wash trading, indicating headline turnover can overstate true liquidity on the venue (source: Columbia University researchers). For trading, this implies using conservative slippage limits, emphasizing sustained order-book depth over raw volume, and adjusting backtests that rely on turnover to avoid inflated prints on Polymarket (source: Columbia University researchers).

According to PANewsCN, citing Bloomberg, Google will integrate prediction-market data from Kalshi and Polymarket into Google Finance to surface these markets’ pricing within the platform, source: Bloomberg via PANewsCN. When users search for future events such as GDP growth, Google Finance will display real-time odds to provide probability-based information, source: Bloomberg via PANewsCN. Google stated the goal is to leverage crowd wisdom to deliver more probabilistic context around future events, source: Bloomberg via PANewsCN.

According to the source, a Nov 6, 2025 social media post claims Google will display Polymarket and Kalshi prediction market data directly in search results, but this has not been independently verified. source: Twitter post on Nov 6, 2025 Traders should wait for official confirmation from Google, Polymarket, or Kalshi before making trade decisions, looking for statements via Google Search Central, Google SearchLiaison, or the companies’ press pages. source: Google Search Central; Google SearchLiaison; Polymarket official announcements; Kalshi press page If confirmed, monitor Polymarket market volume and on-chain liquidity, Kalshi open interest and market depth, and search interest trends to gauge potential flow shifts. source: Polymarket analytics pages; Kalshi metrics dashboard; Google Trends

According to @PANewsCN, Polymarket’s October monthly active users reached 477.9K, up 93.7% month over month, with trading volume rebounding to a $3.02B all-time high and 38.3K new markets added, nearly triple August levels, which is material for prediction market liquidity and trade execution. According to @PANewsCN, Polymarket plans a late-November U.S. relaunch and will introduce a native POLY token with an airdrop, creating a concrete near-term catalyst that traders may track for flow and listing events. According to @PANewsCN, U.S.-compliant Kalshi led the sector with $4.4B October volume and closed a $300M financing in early October at a $5B valuation, underscoring sustained investor and user demand that can influence capital rotation across event markets.