According to @AltcoinDaily, the account posted a paid promotion urging users to start trading on Polymarket via the affiliate link polymarket.com?via=altcoin-daily and disclosed #partner, indicating a commercial relationship; source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998547589294444829. The post contains no market data, asset tickers, odds, pricing, or strategy details, so no direct trading signal can be derived from the content itself; source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 10, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1998547589294444829.

According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket has overtaken FanDuel and DraftKings, signaling rising adoption of on-chain prediction markets and crypto-native betting (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 10, 2025). Polymarket operates on Polygon and settles markets in USDC, so increased activity can drive higher on-chain transactions and utility for MATIC as gas on the network (sources: Polymarket Help Center; Polygon Docs). To validate the claim and gauge flow, traders should monitor Polymarket volume, open interest, and unique traders via public analytics, and compare web traffic trends for FanDuel and DraftKings (sources: Dune Analytics public Polymarket dashboards; Similarweb domain traffic data). Pricing and spreads on Polymarket are determined by an LMSR market maker, meaning liquidity parameter changes can widen or tighten spreads and directly affect slippage for speculators (source: Polymarket Documentation).

According to @WatcherGuru, prediction market Polymarket is pricing a 95% chance that the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 bps tomorrow (source: Polymarket). The FOMC policy decision and press conference are scheduled for tomorrow on the Federal Reserve’s official calendar, defining a clear macro event window for markets (source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System calendar). With odds heavily skewed to a 25 bps cut, the primary trading focus shifts to any unexpected language or guidance relative to market pricing into the announcement and Q&A (source: Polymarket; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System calendar).

According to @AltcoinDaily, top traders are moving attention from Uniswap and Pumpfun to Polymarket to trade event outcomes and extract earlier signals, positioning prediction markets as a new edge in crypto trading, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025. According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket is described as predicting elections more accurately than polls and surfacing world events before journalists, turning speculation into actionable information for traders, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025. According to @AltcoinDaily, prediction markets are framed as the next wealth-creation arena in crypto, likened to altcoins in 2017, NFTs in 2021, and AI and creator tokens in 2024, with Polymarket called the number one prediction market and a crypto-native company, source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 8, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket pricing shows a 94% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates on Wednesday, indicating the decision is heavily priced by prediction markets, source: @KobeissiLetter citing Polymarket, Dec 8, 2025. The post also states this would be the third rate cut of 2025, underscoring an ongoing easing trajectory, source: @KobeissiLetter, Dec 8, 2025. BTC and ETH volatility has historically risen around FOMC policy decisions, so if a cut is already priced, trader focus shifts to the statement and press conference for guidance on the pace of easing, source: Kaiko research on FOMC-day crypto volatility, 2023–2024. Event risk is concentrated in forward guidance and balance-of-risks language, which has been a key driver of crypto price action during prior rate announcements, source: Kaiko research on macro sensitivity of crypto, 2023–2024.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket currently prices just a 33% probability that the US enters a recession by 2027, with odds down about 11 percentage points since October 2025 and at their lowest level to date (source: Polymarket via @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, this market reading indicates the economy is not in or near a recession based on current prediction-market pricing (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to Polymarket, these probabilities are set by live on-chain trading, giving traders a real-time macro gauge that can be monitored alongside crypto positioning in BTC and ETH (source: Polymarket).

According to @milesdeutscher, traders should be doing everything possible to leverage AI right now for an edge in fast-moving markets (source: @milesdeutscher on X). According to Polymarket, U.S. layoffs are set to surpass Great Recession levels and are on track to be the worst since the Great Depression, signaling elevated macro risk headlines to watch (source: Polymarket on X). According to @milesdeutscher and Polymarket, the pairing of urgent AI adoption with worsening layoff signals underscores a risk-sensitive backdrop that crypto traders should monitor using AI tools for real-time news ingestion and execution (sources: @milesdeutscher on X; Polymarket on X).

According to @simplykashif, Polymarket markets are pricing a 93% probability of a 25 bps Federal Reserve rate cut, signaling a strong dovish consensus among traders, according to Polymarket. Historically, Bitcoin (BTC) has moved more in sync with U.S. equities since 2020, indicating heightened sensitivity to monetary conditions, according to International Monetary Fund research from 2022 on crypto–stock co-movements. Lower policy rates are associated with declining yields and a softer U.S. dollar, which have historically supported risk assets including BTC and ETH, according to Federal Reserve explanations of monetary policy transmission and Kaiko Research (2023) analysis on BTC sensitivity to real yields.

According to @AltcoinDaily, a Polymarket trader grew an account from $12 to $12,000 and then to $30,000 by accurately calling 11 short-term Bitcoin (BTC) moves, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 6, 2025. The post highlights a sequence of 11 successful BTC trades executed on Polymarket, source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 6, 2025.

According to @milesdeutscher, a newly highlighted X thread compiles a complete set of reliable AI tools to help traders navigate Polymarket and make more money in prediction market bets, aimed at practical trading use. Source: X post by @milesdeutscher on Dec 5, 2025. The referenced thread by @aiedge_ presents 10 Polymarket x AI tools that expert traders are using, positioned as a concrete toolkit for on-chain prediction market execution. Source: X thread by @aiedge_ at https://x.com/aiedge_/status/1996987968113004556. The thread claims traders are consistently hitting 50%+ returns with minimal manual input when applying these AI workflows, framing a clear, tool-driven edge for Polymarket positioning. Source: X thread by @aiedge_ at https://x.com/aiedge_/status/1996987968113004556.

According to the source, Polymarket is reportedly hiring an in-house team to trade against customer order flow, creating a venue-as-principal setup that can affect execution quality (source: @OKnightCrypto social post on Dec 5, 2025). The source characterizes this as a risk, highlighting potential conflicts of interest and information asymmetry that can widen spreads and increase slippage for traders (source: @OKnightCrypto social post on Dec 5, 2025). Traders should closely monitor changes in spreads, order book depth, and fill quality on Polymarket, and consider tighter slippage and position limits until clear controls and disclosures are provided (source: @OKnightCrypto social post on Dec 5, 2025). Diversifying execution across venues with transparent market-making policies can mitigate venue-specific risk highlighted by the source (source: @OKnightCrypto social post on Dec 5, 2025).

According to Altcoin Daily, Polymarket has launched within the MetaMask mobile app, a move described as bullish and providing direct mobile access to the prediction market via MetaMask (source: Altcoin Daily on X, Dec 4, 2025).

According to the source, crypto prediction platform Polymarket has officially begun rolling out its US app. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. The announcement does not specify supported states, launch timeline, product features, or compliance details for US users. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. No token information, trading volume metrics, or liquidity data are included in the notice, leaving traders without quantifiable catalysts from this announcement alone. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025.

According to @ai_9684xtpa on X (Dec 3, 2025), UnifAI ($UAI) has joined Polymarket’s 1M Builders Program and is listed as a Top 10 project on the Builders leaderboard (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to @ai_9684xtpa and the UnifaiNetwork official announcement on X, UnifAI is running an AI agent trading competition on Polymarket with 60,000 UAI in prizes, featuring individual ROI ranking and team trading-volume ranking, with final winners sharing all UnifAI revenue from the Polymarket Builders program (sources: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976; https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981). According to @ai_9684xtpa, more projects are shifting campaigns to Polymarket as prediction markets heat up to tap dense capital flows and mature infrastructure, highlighting venue liquidity and incentive alignment for active traders (source: https://twitter.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1996200078403657976). According to the UnifaiNetwork announcement on X, content creators can also participate under the event’s detailed rules provided in the official post (source: https://x.com/UnifaiNetwork/status/1995501928739188981).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Polymarket implies an 81% probability that White House Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett will be named the next Fed Chair (source: Polymarket via @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, President Trump stated he has selected the next Fed Chair and will announce it "soon," elevating near-term announcement risk (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, this prediction-market pricing reflects market positioning into the decision and can be used as a real-time gauge of policy expectations (source: Polymarket odds cited by @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, a "new era of monetary policy" is coming, and traders tracking BTC and ETH can monitor the Polymarket contract as a live indicator ahead of the announcement (source: @KobeissiLetter and Polymarket).

According to the source, Kalshi has launched tokenized versions of thousands of its prediction markets on Solana to attract crypto-native users and access deeper liquidity pools (source: the source). This move intensifies competition with Polymarket in the on-chain prediction market segment (source: the source).

According to @Nick_van_Eck, prediction markets have siphoned attention from altcoins this cycle, with non-crypto friends discussing Kalshi and Polymarket rather than alts, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He frames prediction markets and perpetual DEXs as the current primetime conduits for speculation, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He asks what other net-new or newly mainstream venues are serving as speculation channels this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. For trading strategy, this observation points to monitoring prediction markets and perp DEXs for retail-driven flow over traditional altcoin narratives this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025.

According to @Polymarket, Nasry Tito Asfura has taken the lead in the Honduras presidential election, with the market showing a 67% chance he wins, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025. This 67% figure is the current Polymarket-implied probability that traders can reference for event-driven positioning as odds update in real time, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to the source, Shayne Coplan stated that "Polymarket is the most accurate thing we have as mankind right now" in an X post dated Dec 1, 2025, underscoring strong confidence in prediction market accuracy (source: X post, Dec 1, 2025). For trading, academic evidence shows prediction markets efficiently aggregate dispersed information, so incorporating Polymarket odds as probability inputs can inform position sizing, hedging, and volatility strategies in crypto markets such as BTC and ETH without implying direction (source: Wolfers and Zitzewitz, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Polymarket is described as a decentralized crypto network that processes collective thinking like a supercomputer, with a US app launch coming soon and rapid US traction highlighted as a key point (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1995205215558213855). The post references an official Polymarket update indicating an imminent US app release (source: Polymarket on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1995166252923519071). For traders, the cited US launch timeline is a near-term headline to monitor for sentiment and activity around crypto prediction markets (source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Nov 30, 2025, https://twitter.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1995205215558213855).