Latest Update
8/10/2026 10:17:00 PM

Polymarket: Bitcoin 57% Odds Below $55K by Year-End

Polymarket: Bitcoin 57% Odds Below $55K by Year-End

Polymarket gives Bitcoin 57% chance to drop below $55,000 by December 2026 as BTC trades at $63981.8 on bearish 4h structure.

Source

Analysis

Polymarket assigns BTC a 57% probability of plunging below $55,000 by year-end.

Price action at $63981.8 tests the lower Bollinger band support near $64157.67 while the EMA50 at $64515.49 caps upside and the EMA200 at $63773.47 offers thin floor; the MACD death cross at -25.61 and neutral RSI at 36.28 confirm sellers retain control. This BTC price prediction aligns with the ongoing bearish trend structure observed over the past six months.


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