Polymarket: Bitcoin Crash Below $70K Odds Top $100K

Polymarket data shows Bitcoin now holds greater probability of crashing below $70,000 than reclaiming $100,000 this year.

At $82,985.95, price sits inside the Bollinger Bands with upper resistance at $83,746.58 and lower support at $81,515.73. The bearish EMA structure places the 50-period line at $83,603.57 as immediate resistance while the 200-period line at $82,236.81 offers the next downside magnet. Neutral RSI at 47.06 combined with the MACD golden cross leaves room for a quick test of the lower band before any sustained recovery attempt.