Latest Update
9/3/2026 7:01:00 PM

Polymarket: OpenAI AGI Odds Rise to 19% After GPT-6

Polymarket: OpenAI AGI Odds Rise to 19% After GPT-6

Polymarket shows 19% odds OpenAI announces AGI by year-end after GPT-6 Astra, aligning with OpenAI AGI announcement criteria shifts.

Source

Analysis

Polymarket traders now price a 19% chance OpenAI declares AGI achieved by December following GPT-6 Astra, a direct read on OpenAI AGI announcement criteria and GPT model timeline that matches Polymarket historical accuracy on AI milestone predictions over the past year.


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