Potential Firing of Fed Chair Jerome Powell: Impact on U.S. Economy, Stock Market, and Crypto Market (BTC, ETH) in 2025

According to Brad Freeman (@StockMarketNerd), there are circulating concerns about the potential firing of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which could trigger significant volatility in the U.S. economy and financial markets. This scenario, if confirmed, would likely increase uncertainty in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets, especially for major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Market participants should monitor official news sources closely, as leadership changes at the Fed historically influence risk sentiment, monetary policy outlook, and liquidity conditions, all of which impact crypto trading volumes and price action (Source: Brad Freeman on Twitter, June 21, 2025).
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From a trading perspective, the uncertainty around Powell’s position creates both risks and opportunities across markets. A potential firing could signal a shift toward more unpredictable monetary policies, prompting institutional investors to reduce exposure to risk assets like cryptocurrencies and tech stocks. By 12:00 PM EST on June 21, 2025, Bitcoin’s trading volume surged by 18% compared to the previous day, reaching $28 billion on major exchanges, as reported by CoinGecko. This spike indicates panic selling and profit-taking among retail traders. Conversely, stablecoins like USDT saw inflows increase by 9% on-chain, per data from Glassnode at 1:00 PM EST, suggesting a flight to safety. For crypto traders, this environment could present short-term shorting opportunities on BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, especially if U.S. equity indices continue to slide. Meanwhile, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) dropped 5.2% in pre-market trading by 9:00 AM EST, reflecting broader sector fears. Monitoring the correlation between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, which currently stands at 0.75 based on 30-day rolling data from TradingView, will be crucial for cross-market strategies.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart fell to 38 as of 2:00 PM EST on June 21, 2025, signaling oversold conditions that might attract bargain hunters if sentiment stabilizes. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains bearish, with a negative histogram expansion indicating sustained downward momentum. Ethereum’s on-chain metrics show a 12% increase in exchange inflows by 3:00 PM EST, per CryptoQuant data, hinting at potential further selling pressure. In the stock market, the VIX index, often called the 'fear gauge,' spiked to 18.5 by 11:30 AM EST, up from 14.2 the previous day, reflecting heightened volatility. This stock market unrest directly impacts crypto, as institutional money often flows between these asset classes. For instance, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw outflows of $120 million in the last 24 hours as of 4:00 PM EST, according to their official filings, signaling reduced institutional confidence. Traders should watch key BTC support levels at $58,000, with resistance at $61,000, for potential breakout or breakdown signals.
The correlation between stock market movements and crypto assets remains evident in this scenario. A destabilizing event like Powell’s potential dismissal could push risk-averse capital out of both equities and cryptocurrencies, further tightening liquidity. If U.S. monetary policy uncertainty persists, we might see increased hedging into gold and stablecoins, impacting crypto market depth. Institutional flows, already cautious due to recent rate hike expectations, could slow further, as evidenced by a 7% drop in crypto ETF inflows reported by CoinShares at 5:00 PM EST on June 21, 2025. For traders, this cross-market dynamic offers a chance to pivot toward defensive plays, such as longing USDT pairs or exploring inverse ETFs tied to crypto stocks. Keeping an eye on Federal Reserve communications and equity index performance will be essential to navigating this turbulent period.
FAQ:
What could Powell’s potential dismissal mean for Bitcoin prices?
If Jerome Powell were to be dismissed, it could introduce significant uncertainty into U.S. monetary policy, likely triggering a risk-off sentiment. As seen on June 21, 2025, Bitcoin already dropped 3.5% to $59,800 by 11:00 AM EST. This could intensify if equity markets continue to falter, potentially pushing BTC toward lower support levels like $58,000.
How should traders position themselves during this uncertainty?
Traders might consider short-term short positions on BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs given the bearish momentum as of 2:00 PM EST on June 21, 2025. Alternatively, increasing exposure to stablecoins or monitoring oversold conditions via RSI could provide entry points for contrarian plays if sentiment shifts.
Brad Freeman
@StockMarketNerdWrite Stock Market Nerd Newsletter for Readers in 173 Countries