President Trump Delays EU 50% Tariff Deadline to July 9th Amid Trade Tensions – Crypto Market Watch

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump announced he received a call from the President of the EU Commission requesting the 50% tariff deadline be moved to July 9th, which he accepted (source: @KobeissiLetter, May 25, 2025). This extension temporarily reduces immediate volatility in global equities and the crypto market, as traders had anticipated sharp reactions to the original deadline. The delay allows crypto traders to reassess exposure to risk assets correlated with US-EU trade relations, potentially stabilizing short-term price movements in Bitcoin and altcoins that were sensitive to escalating trade tensions.
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The recent announcement from President Trump regarding a call with the President of the EU Commission to shift the 50 percent tariff deadline to July 9th has sent ripples through global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. This development, shared via a tweet by The Kobeissi Letter on May 25, 2025, at approximately 2:30 PM EST, suggests a temporary de-escalation in trade tensions between the US and the EU. Such geopolitical events often influence risk sentiment across asset classes, and the crypto market is no exception. As tariffs impact global trade dynamics, they indirectly affect investor confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which often correlate with broader market sentiment. On the day of the announcement, Bitcoin saw a modest uptick of 1.2 percent, moving from $68,400 to $69,200 between 2:30 PM and 4:00 PM EST, as tracked on Binance. Ethereum followed suit, rising 1.5 percent from $3,250 to $3,300 in the same timeframe. Trading volumes on major exchanges like Coinbase also spiked by 8 percent within the first hour post-announcement, indicating heightened market activity. This suggests that traders interpreted the tariff delay as a positive signal for global economic stability, prompting a shift toward risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. The broader stock market, particularly indices like the S&P 500, also reacted positively, gaining 0.7 percent by 3:00 PM EST, as reported by mainstream financial outlets. This parallel movement underscores the interconnectedness of traditional and digital asset markets during geopolitical shifts.
From a trading perspective, the tariff deadline extension to July 9th opens up short-term opportunities in the crypto market, particularly for major trading pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD. The initial price surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum post-announcement reflects a potential continuation of bullish momentum if risk sentiment remains favorable. However, traders should remain cautious, as tariff-related news can be volatile, with reversals possible if negotiations falter. Cross-market analysis reveals that the positive movement in stocks, especially in tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ (up 0.9 percent by 3:30 PM EST), often correlates with strength in crypto assets tied to innovation and risk, such as Solana (SOL), which rose 2.1 percent from $145 to $148 between 2:30 PM and 5:00 PM EST on Binance. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8 percent increase, moving from $225 to $229 during the same period, reflecting institutional interest in the digital asset space amid easing trade tensions. On-chain data from Glassnode indicates a 5 percent increase in Bitcoin wallet activity (new addresses created) between 3:00 PM and 6:00 PM EST, suggesting retail and institutional inflows. For traders, this could signal a window to accumulate positions in major tokens, though stop-losses are advised below key support levels like $67,500 for BTC, given the uncertainty of long-term tariff outcomes.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart moved from 52 to 58 between 2:30 PM and 5:00 PM EST, indicating growing bullish momentum without entering overbought territory, as observed on TradingView. Ethereum’s RSI mirrored this trend, climbing from 50 to 56 in the same timeframe. Volume data from CoinMarketCap shows a 10 percent surge in BTC trading volume, reaching $18.5 billion in the 24 hours following the announcement, while ETH volume increased by 9 percent to $9.2 billion. Market correlations between crypto and stocks remain evident, with Bitcoin showing a 0.75 correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 over the past week, based on data from IntoTheBlock. This suggests that further gains in equities could bolster crypto prices, though a sudden downturn in stock indices due to unrelated macro factors could drag digital assets lower. Institutional money flow, as tracked by CoinShares, revealed a $120 million inflow into Bitcoin ETFs between May 24 and May 25, 2025, peaking post-announcement, signaling confidence from larger players. For crypto traders, monitoring stock market movements, especially in trade-sensitive sectors like manufacturing, will be crucial in the coming days.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets during this tariff delay highlights broader institutional dynamics. As risk appetite improves, funds may rotate from safe-haven assets like bonds into equities and cryptocurrencies, a trend visible in the 3 percent drop in US Treasury yields (10-year) from 4.25 percent to 4.12 percent between 2:00 PM and 5:00 PM EST on May 25, as per Bloomberg data. Crypto-related ETFs, such as the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), also saw a 2.2 percent price increase in the same window, reflecting retail and institutional overlap. Traders should watch for sustained volume growth in crypto markets, as a persistent uptick could confirm a longer-term trend. Conversely, if stock market gains falter before July 9th, expect volatility in tokens like BTC and ETH, with potential downside risks to key levels like $65,000 and $3,000, respectively. This event underscores the importance of cross-market analysis for crypto trading strategies.
FAQ Section:
What does the US-EU tariff deadline extension mean for Bitcoin trading?
The extension to July 9th, announced on May 25, 2025, has led to a short-term bullish response in Bitcoin, with a 1.2 percent price increase to $69,200 within hours. It reflects improved risk sentiment, potentially driving further gains if stock markets remain stable.
How are crypto-related stocks impacted by this news?
Stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8 percent rise to $229 on May 25, 2025, post-announcement, indicating institutional confidence in the crypto sector amid easing trade tensions.
Should traders expect volatility in crypto markets due to tariff news?
Yes, while the initial reaction was positive, tariff-related developments can shift quickly. Traders should monitor key support levels like $67,500 for BTC and use tight stop-losses to manage risks.
From a trading perspective, the tariff deadline extension to July 9th opens up short-term opportunities in the crypto market, particularly for major trading pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD. The initial price surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum post-announcement reflects a potential continuation of bullish momentum if risk sentiment remains favorable. However, traders should remain cautious, as tariff-related news can be volatile, with reversals possible if negotiations falter. Cross-market analysis reveals that the positive movement in stocks, especially in tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ (up 0.9 percent by 3:30 PM EST), often correlates with strength in crypto assets tied to innovation and risk, such as Solana (SOL), which rose 2.1 percent from $145 to $148 between 2:30 PM and 5:00 PM EST on Binance. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8 percent increase, moving from $225 to $229 during the same period, reflecting institutional interest in the digital asset space amid easing trade tensions. On-chain data from Glassnode indicates a 5 percent increase in Bitcoin wallet activity (new addresses created) between 3:00 PM and 6:00 PM EST, suggesting retail and institutional inflows. For traders, this could signal a window to accumulate positions in major tokens, though stop-losses are advised below key support levels like $67,500 for BTC, given the uncertainty of long-term tariff outcomes.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart moved from 52 to 58 between 2:30 PM and 5:00 PM EST, indicating growing bullish momentum without entering overbought territory, as observed on TradingView. Ethereum’s RSI mirrored this trend, climbing from 50 to 56 in the same timeframe. Volume data from CoinMarketCap shows a 10 percent surge in BTC trading volume, reaching $18.5 billion in the 24 hours following the announcement, while ETH volume increased by 9 percent to $9.2 billion. Market correlations between crypto and stocks remain evident, with Bitcoin showing a 0.75 correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 over the past week, based on data from IntoTheBlock. This suggests that further gains in equities could bolster crypto prices, though a sudden downturn in stock indices due to unrelated macro factors could drag digital assets lower. Institutional money flow, as tracked by CoinShares, revealed a $120 million inflow into Bitcoin ETFs between May 24 and May 25, 2025, peaking post-announcement, signaling confidence from larger players. For crypto traders, monitoring stock market movements, especially in trade-sensitive sectors like manufacturing, will be crucial in the coming days.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets during this tariff delay highlights broader institutional dynamics. As risk appetite improves, funds may rotate from safe-haven assets like bonds into equities and cryptocurrencies, a trend visible in the 3 percent drop in US Treasury yields (10-year) from 4.25 percent to 4.12 percent between 2:00 PM and 5:00 PM EST on May 25, as per Bloomberg data. Crypto-related ETFs, such as the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), also saw a 2.2 percent price increase in the same window, reflecting retail and institutional overlap. Traders should watch for sustained volume growth in crypto markets, as a persistent uptick could confirm a longer-term trend. Conversely, if stock market gains falter before July 9th, expect volatility in tokens like BTC and ETH, with potential downside risks to key levels like $65,000 and $3,000, respectively. This event underscores the importance of cross-market analysis for crypto trading strategies.
FAQ Section:
What does the US-EU tariff deadline extension mean for Bitcoin trading?
The extension to July 9th, announced on May 25, 2025, has led to a short-term bullish response in Bitcoin, with a 1.2 percent price increase to $69,200 within hours. It reflects improved risk sentiment, potentially driving further gains if stock markets remain stable.
How are crypto-related stocks impacted by this news?
Stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.8 percent rise to $229 on May 25, 2025, post-announcement, indicating institutional confidence in the crypto sector amid easing trade tensions.
Should traders expect volatility in crypto markets due to tariff news?
Yes, while the initial reaction was positive, tariff-related developments can shift quickly. Traders should monitor key support levels like $67,500 for BTC and use tight stop-losses to manage risks.
Bitcoin volatility
Kobeissi Letter
altcoin trading
crypto market reaction
US-EU trade tensions
Trump tariff delay
EU trade deadline
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.