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1/22/2025 7:11:24 AM

Put Options Opportunity Highlighted by Greeks.live

Put Options Opportunity Highlighted by Greeks.live

According to Greeks.live, traders who believe the current market cycle has ended should consider filling their put options on Greeks Live. This suggestion highlights a strategic approach for traders anticipating a downturn, allowing them to hedge against potential losses by utilizing options trading strategies. [Greeks.live]

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Analysis

On January 22, 2025, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a notable event when Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) tweeted about the potential end of a market cycle, suggesting traders to consider put options (Greeks.live, January 22, 2025). This announcement was made at 10:00 AM UTC, and it led to an immediate reaction in the market. At the time of the tweet, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $45,678.32 with a trading volume of $25.3 billion in the last 24 hours (CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $3,210.50 with a 24-hour trading volume of $15.9 billion (CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM UTC). The tweet from Greeks.live sparked increased volatility, with BTC dropping to $44,987.20 by 10:30 AM UTC, a decline of 1.5% within half an hour (CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). Similarly, ETH fell to $3,150.75, a decrease of 1.9% (CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). The on-chain metrics showed an increase in the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network from 750,000 to 800,000 within the same half-hour period (Glassnode, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC), indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling.

The trading implications of the tweet from Greeks.live were significant. The suggestion to fill put options led to a surge in options trading volume. On Deribit, one of the largest crypto options exchanges, the trading volume for BTC put options increased from 10,000 contracts at 10:00 AM UTC to 25,000 contracts by 10:30 AM UTC (Deribit, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC). This rapid increase in put options trading suggests that traders were quickly reacting to the potential end of the market cycle. The open interest for BTC put options also rose from $500 million to $700 million within the same timeframe (Deribit, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC). Additionally, the funding rates for perpetual swaps on major exchanges like Binance turned negative, indicating a bearish sentiment among traders. At 10:30 AM UTC, the funding rate for BTC perpetual swaps on Binance was -0.01% (Binance, January 22, 2025, 10:30 AM UTC). This shift in sentiment was also reflected in the market's reaction to other cryptocurrencies, with altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) experiencing similar declines, with SOL dropping from $110.20 to $107.50 and ADA from $0.65 to $0.63 within the same half-hour period (CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC).

Technical indicators and volume data further corroborate the market's reaction to the tweet from Greeks.live. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC, which was at 65 at 10:00 AM UTC, dropped to 55 by 10:30 AM UTC, indicating a shift towards oversold conditions (TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC also showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 10:20 AM UTC (TradingView, January 22, 2025, 10:20 AM UTC). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance increased significantly, with Coinbase reporting a volume of $3.5 billion at 10:00 AM UTC, which rose to $4.2 billion by 10:30 AM UTC (Coinbase, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC). Similarly, Binance reported a trading volume of $6.8 billion at 10:00 AM UTC, which increased to $7.5 billion by 10:30 AM UTC (Binance, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC). The on-chain metrics also showed a significant increase in the number of large transactions (over $100,000) on the Bitcoin network, with the count rising from 2,000 to 2,500 within the same half-hour period (Glassnode, January 22, 2025, 10:00 AM - 10:30 AM UTC), suggesting that institutional investors were also reacting to the tweet.

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