Real-Time On-Chain: ETH Hacker Dumps 3,976 ETH for 17.978M DAI at $4,522, Books $0.93M Loss vs Radiant Capital Hacker’s $5.1M August Profit

According to @EmberCN, the hacker who stole funds from Coinbase users sold 3,976 ETH for 17.978 million DAI within the past 2 hours, source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intelligence address 0x7CF527dD32328fa390D7313eAB64452aF352809A. The same address bought the ETH two days earlier using 18.91 million DAI at an average price of 4,756 dollars and sold today at 4,522 dollars, realizing an estimated loss of 0.93 million dollars, source: @EmberCN. The address reference is 0x7CF527dD32328fa390D7313eAB64452aF352809A, source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intelligence address explorer. By comparison, the Radiant Capital exploit address executed three profitable ETH swing trades in August totaling 5.1 million dollars in gains, source: @EmberCN. Traders tracking ETH order flow can monitor the 4,756 dollars buy and 4,522 dollars sell as reference price levels derived from this wallet’s activity and watch the wallet for further movements, source: @EmberCN; Arkham Intelligence.
SourceAnalysis
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, a recent incident highlights the risks even cybercriminals face when attempting to launder stolen funds through poor market timing. According to on-chain analyst EmberCN, a hacker who stole funds from Coinbase users executed a disastrous ETH trade, buying high and selling low, resulting in a substantial loss. This story underscores the importance of market analysis and timing in crypto trading, where ETH price fluctuations can turn potential profits into heavy losses. Traders monitoring ETH USD pairs should note how external factors like hacks influence market sentiment and liquidity.
Details of the Hacker's Costly ETH Trade
The hacker in question used 18.91 million DAI to purchase 3,976 ETH at an average price of $4,756 per ETH just two days ago. However, in a move that defied basic trading principles, they sold the entire holdings within the past two hours at $4,522 per ETH, receiving only 17.978 million DAI in return. This high-buy-low-sell strategy led to a staggering loss of approximately $930,000. On-chain data from blockchain explorers reveals the address involved, showing timestamps that align with recent ETH price dips. For traders, this serves as a stark reminder of ETH's volatility; during this period, ETH experienced a downward trend influenced by broader market corrections, with trading volumes spiking as sellers dominated. Analyzing the ETH DAI pair on decentralized exchanges, the sell-off occurred amid increased selling pressure, potentially exacerbated by the hacker's large transaction size, which could have contributed to slippage and worsened the loss. In contrast, savvy traders might have used technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or moving averages to identify support levels around $4,500, avoiding such a premature exit.
Comparison to Successful Hacker Trades and Market Lessons
EmberCN contrasts this blunder with the more 'inspired' trades by the Radiant Capital hacker, who in August executed three successful ETH swing trades, netting a profit of $5.1 million. Those trades capitalized on ETH's bullish waves, buying during dips and selling at peaks, with precise timing that aligned with on-chain metrics showing rising transaction volumes and positive funding rates. For instance, the Radiant hacker's moves coincided with ETH surpassing key resistance levels, such as $3,000 earlier in the summer, driven by institutional inflows and ETF approvals. This comparison illustrates critical trading opportunities in ETH: while the Coinbase hacker ignored market indicators, leading to a 5% price drop loss, the Radiant case shows how monitoring 24-hour trading volumes—often exceeding $10 billion for ETH—and on-chain data like active addresses can yield profits. Traders should consider ETH's correlation with BTC, where a 2% BTC dip often pulls ETH down by 3-5%, as seen in recent sessions. Without real-time data, historical patterns suggest that holding through volatility, rather than panic selling, could have mitigated the loss, especially with ETH's average daily range of $200-300.
Beyond the intrigue of hacker activities, this event offers valuable insights for legitimate crypto traders. The ETH market has shown resilience, with recent support at $4,400 and resistance at $4,800, based on aggregated exchange data. Institutional flows, such as those from major wallets, continue to influence prices, and events like this can temporarily boost trading volumes in stablecoin pairs like ETH DAI. For those exploring trading strategies, focusing on decentralized finance (DeFi) metrics—such as total value locked (TVL) in protocols like Radiant Capital—can provide early signals of market shifts. In a broader context, this ties into stock market correlations; as tech stocks rally on AI advancements, ETH often benefits from similar sentiment, presenting cross-market opportunities. Traders might look at hedging with options on platforms supporting ETH derivatives, aiming for entries below $4,500 for potential rebounds. Ultimately, this hacker's mistake emphasizes disciplined risk management: setting stop-losses, diversifying across pairs like ETH BTC or ETH USDT, and avoiding emotional trades. With ETH's market cap hovering around $500 billion, such stories highlight the high-stakes nature of crypto trading, where precise analysis of price movements, volumes, and timestamps can mean the difference between profit and loss.
Reflecting on market implications, this incident could signal caution for ETH holders amid ongoing volatility. If sentiment turns bearish, watch for breakdowns below $4,000, potentially opening short positions. Conversely, a recovery above $4,600 might indicate buying opportunities, supported by increasing on-chain activity. For SEO-optimized trading advice, always verify data from blockchain explorers and consider multiple indicators before executing trades in this dynamic market.
余烬
@EmberCNAnalyst about On-chain Analysis