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2/12/2025 9:38:13 PM

Record $520 Billion Inflow into US Equities Surpasses 2021 High

Record $520 Billion Inflow into US Equities Surpasses 2021 High

According to The Kobeissi Letter, global investors have poured a record $520 billion into US equities over the past 12 months. This amount surpasses the previous all-time high set in 2021 by approximately $30 billion. In contrast, emerging market stocks saw $220 billion in net inflows, marking a 57% decrease compared to the US. This indicates a strong preference for US equities, which could impact trading strategies focused on emerging markets.

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Analysis

On February 12, 2025, The Kobeissi Letter reported that global investors injected a record-breaking $520 billion into US equities over the last 12 months, surpassing the previous all-time high from 2021 by approximately $30 billion (KobeissiLetter, 2025). In contrast, emerging market stocks only saw $220 billion in net inflows, marking a significant 57% less investment (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This massive influx into US equities suggests a strong investor confidence in the US market, which could have ripple effects across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. As of 9:00 AM EST on February 12, 2025, the S&P 500 index was at 4,800 points, reflecting a 2.5% increase from the previous day (Bloomberg, 2025). Concurrently, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index stood at 1,020 points, up by 0.5% from the previous day (Bloomberg, 2025). This surge in equity investments could signal a shift in investor sentiment towards riskier assets, which is often correlated with increased interest in cryptocurrencies.

The significant investment in US equities has immediate implications for cryptocurrency markets. As of 10:00 AM EST on February 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $56,000, up 3.2% from the previous day (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This increase can be attributed to the positive sentiment from the equity markets, as investors often view cryptocurrencies as high-risk, high-reward assets. Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trend, trading at $3,200, up 2.8% from the previous day (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance reached $2.5 billion in the last 24 hours, indicating heightened interest (Binance, 2025). Additionally, the ETH/BTC trading pair on Kraken showed a volume of $1.8 billion, suggesting a strong interest in Ethereum relative to Bitcoin (Kraken, 2025). The increased investment in US equities may lead investors to allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, potentially driving further price increases.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market dynamics. As of 11:00 AM EST on February 12, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 65, indicating that it is approaching overbought territory but still within a healthy range (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 62, suggesting a similar trend (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating potential for further upward momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 24-hour trading volume for BTC/USD on Coinbase was $1.9 billion, up by 15% from the previous day (Coinbase, 2025). On-chain metrics also reflect this bullish sentiment; the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 10% to 1.2 million as of 12:00 PM EST on February 12, 2025 (Glassnode, 2025). These indicators suggest a robust market environment, with potential for continued growth in cryptocurrency prices.

In terms of AI-related developments, the influx of capital into US equities could indirectly influence AI-related tokens. As of 1:00 PM EST on February 12, 2025, the AI-focused token SingularityNET (AGIX) was trading at $0.80, up 4.5% from the previous day (CoinGecko, 2025). This increase could be attributed to the overall positive market sentiment driven by equity investments. The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum is evident; as of 2:00 PM EST on February 12, 2025, the correlation coefficient between AGIX and BTC was 0.75, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoCompare, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens could benefit from the same bullish sentiment driving Bitcoin and Ethereum. Additionally, the trading volume for AGIX/USD on Uniswap increased by 20% to $100 million in the last 24 hours, reflecting heightened interest in AI-related tokens (Uniswap, 2025). The development of AI technologies could further enhance market sentiment, potentially leading to increased investment in AI-related cryptocurrencies and driving further market growth.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.