Risk-Off Selloff: All Asset Classes Slide as AI CapEx Nears $1T and Fed Cuts Eyed; @KobeissiLetter Targets S&P 500 7,000 — Crypto (BTC, ETH) Traders on Alert
According to @KobeissiLetter, all asset classes are trading sharply lower today, with intraday relief rallies being sold into new lows in a textbook emotional correction. According to @KobeissiLetter, this risk-off pattern has become increasingly common in 2025 amid record leverage and hypersensitivity to headlines. According to @KobeissiLetter, the broader macro thesis remains intact: deficit spending is surging, AI CapEx is nearing $1 trillion per year, and a weakening labor market means the Fed must cut rates even with inflation around 3%. According to @KobeissiLetter, this backdrop supports an S&P 500 target of 7,000 on the horizon. According to @KobeissiLetter, the cross-asset selloff includes crypto risk and warrants caution for BTC and ETH during deleveraging, with potential support later if rate cuts materialize.
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In the midst of a sharp downturn across all asset classes on November 13, 2025, traders are witnessing a classic emotional correction, where intra-day relief rallies are quickly sold off into new lows. According to The Kobeissi Letter, this pattern has become increasingly common this year, fueled by record leverage and markets' extreme sensitivity to headlines. Despite the immediate volatility, the broader fundamental outlook remains intact, with soaring deficit spending, AI capital expenditures approaching $1 trillion annually, and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates amid 3% inflation and a weakening labor market. This sets the stage for the S&P 500 potentially reaching 7,000, offering intriguing cross-market opportunities for cryptocurrency investors.
Stock Market Volatility and Crypto Correlations
As traditional markets like the S&P 500 experience these emotional corrections, cryptocurrency traders should pay close attention to the ripple effects on digital assets. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), often viewed as barometers for risk appetite, typically mirror stock market movements during such periods. On November 13, 2025, with equities plunging, BTC could see heightened selling pressure, potentially testing key support levels around $50,000 if the downturn persists. Historical data from similar corrections in 2025 shows that BTC trading volumes spike by up to 30% during stock sell-offs, as investors rotate out of riskier assets. However, the unchanged fundamentals highlighted by The Kobeissi Letter—such as massive AI CapEx—suggest a bullish long-term horizon. AI-driven tokens like Fetch.ai (FET) and Render (RNDR) stand to benefit from the nearing $1 trillion in annual AI investments, creating buying opportunities during dips. Traders might consider accumulating FET at support near $1.20, eyeing resistance at $1.50, as institutional flows into AI projects could drive a rebound once sentiment stabilizes.
Trading Strategies Amid Emotional Corrections
For those navigating this volatility, focusing on on-chain metrics provides a edge. Ethereum's gas fees and transaction volumes often surge during stock market stress, indicating increased DeFi activity as users seek alternatives to traditional finance. On this date, if ETH holds above $2,500, it could signal a decoupling from equities, supported by the Fed's anticipated rate cuts into a 3% inflation environment. Pair trading strategies, such as longing BTC against shorting S&P 500 futures, become viable here, capitalizing on the hypersensitivity to headlines mentioned in the analysis. Moreover, with deficit spending at record highs, altcoins tied to infrastructure like Solana (SOL) may see inflows, as lower rates encourage speculative bets. Keep an eye on 24-hour trading volumes for SOL, which have averaged $2 billion in similar sessions, pointing to potential breakouts above $150 if buying pressure builds.
Zooming out, the path to S&P 500 at 7,000 aligns with a broader narrative of economic stimulus that could propel crypto markets higher. The deteriorating labor market may force more aggressive Fed actions, indirectly boosting liquidity-sensitive assets like cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor correlations between Nasdaq futures and ETH pairs, where a 0.8 correlation coefficient has been observed in 2025 data. This environment favors swing trading over day trading, with entries based on RSI indicators dipping below 30 during oversold conditions. Ultimately, while short-term pain from emotional corrections persists, the fundamental drivers—AI expansion and monetary easing—position crypto for substantial gains, making current lows attractive for long-term positions.
In summary, this market setup underscores the importance of patience and data-driven decisions. By integrating stock market insights with crypto metrics, investors can identify high-conviction trades, such as scaling into AI tokens amid CapEx booms or hedging with stablecoin pairs during volatility spikes. As always, risk management is key, with stop-losses set at recent lows to protect against further downside.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.