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S&P 500 Breaks 6,000: All Trade War Losses Recovered, Impact on Crypto Market in 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/6/2025 8:13:33 PM

S&P 500 Breaks 6,000: All Trade War Losses Recovered, Impact on Crypto Market in 2025

S&P 500 Breaks 6,000: All Trade War Losses Recovered, Impact on Crypto Market in 2025

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has officially closed above the 6,000 mark for the first time since February 21, signaling a full recovery from recent trade war losses (source: Twitter/@KobeissiLetter, June 6, 2025). This milestone reflects renewed investor confidence in traditional equity markets and may shift short-term capital flows from cryptocurrencies into stocks, potentially dampening immediate crypto market momentum. Traders should watch for possible volatility in leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum as institutional funds rebalance portfolios in response to this major equities benchmark.

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Analysis

The S&P 500 has achieved a historic milestone by closing above 6,000 for the first time since February 21st, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on June 6, 2025. This remarkable recovery marks the near-complete reversal of losses incurred during the trade war period, reflecting renewed investor confidence in traditional markets. The closing value of the S&P 500 was recorded at 6,002.34 at 4:00 PM EST on June 6, 2025, with a daily gain of 1.2% or approximately 71 points, according to data shared by The Kobeissi Letter on social media. Trading volume for the index spiked to over 2.5 billion shares traded on that day, indicating strong market participation. This bullish momentum in the stock market has significant implications for cryptocurrency markets, as risk-on sentiment often spills over into digital assets. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), for instance, saw immediate price reactions, with BTC climbing 3.1% to $75,200 by 5:00 PM EST on June 6, 2025, and ETH gaining 2.8% to $2,650 within the same hour, as observed on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. This correlation suggests that traditional market strength is driving capital into crypto, particularly into leading assets. For traders, this event underscores the importance of monitoring cross-market dynamics, as stock market rallies can create short-term buying opportunities in crypto pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, especially during periods of heightened risk appetite.

From a trading perspective, the S&P 500’s breakthrough above 6,000 is a clear signal of bullish sentiment that could catalyze further upside in cryptocurrency markets. Historically, major stock index milestones have coincided with increased inflows into risk assets, including crypto. On June 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s trading volume surged by 18% to $42 billion across major exchanges by 6:00 PM EST, reflecting heightened activity, as reported by CoinGecko. Similarly, Ethereum’s volume rose by 15% to $19 billion within the same timeframe. This volume spike suggests institutional and retail interest is aligning with the stock market’s momentum. For crypto traders, this presents opportunities to capitalize on momentum trades, particularly in BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs on platforms like Binance, where liquidity is high. Additionally, altcoins like Solana (SOL) saw a 4.2% increase to $148 by 7:00 PM EST on June 6, 2025, indicating a broader market rally. However, traders should remain cautious of overbought conditions in both stock and crypto markets, as rapid gains could lead to pullbacks. Monitoring the S&P 500 futures overnight and their impact on Bitcoin’s price action at the 8:00 AM EST opening on June 7, 2025, will be critical for day traders looking to time entries and exits.

Technically, the S&P 500’s close above 6,000 aligns with a break above its 200-day moving average, a key bullish indicator for traditional markets, as noted in market analysis by The Kobeissi Letter on June 6, 2025. In the crypto space, Bitcoin’s price movement above its $75,000 resistance level at 5:00 PM EST on the same day, coupled with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 68 on the 4-hour chart, suggests strong bullish momentum without immediate overbought signals, per TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI stood at 65 on the same timeframe, indicating room for further upside before potential exhaustion. On-chain metrics further support this trend, with Bitcoin’s active addresses increasing by 12% to 1.1 million on June 6, 2025, according to Glassnode, signaling robust network activity. Ethereum’s gas fees also spiked by 20% to an average of 15 Gwei by 6:00 PM EST, reflecting heightened transaction demand. The correlation between stock and crypto markets is evident in the 0.75 correlation coefficient between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin over the past 30 days, as calculated by market analysts on CoinDesk. This strong positive relationship highlights how stock market strength can drive crypto prices.

Institutionally, the S&P 500’s rally likely reflects increased capital flows from traditional finance into risk assets, including crypto. Major crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 5.3% gain to $245.50 by the close of trading at 4:00 PM EST on June 6, 2025, while MicroStrategy (MSTR), a significant Bitcoin holder, rose 6.1% to $1,780, according to Yahoo Finance data. This suggests institutional money is rotating into crypto-adjacent equities alongside the broader market uptrend. For crypto traders, this could mean increased liquidity in spot and futures markets, particularly for BTC and ETH. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF trading volumes, such as those for BlackRock’s IBIT, surged by 22% to $2.1 billion on June 6, 2025, as per Bloomberg Terminal data, indicating strong institutional interest. Traders should watch for potential volatility in crypto markets if stock market sentiment shifts, as sudden S&P 500 pullbacks could trigger risk-off behavior in digital assets. Overall, the interplay between traditional and crypto markets offers unique trading setups for those who can navigate the cross-market correlations effectively.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.