S&P 500 Experiences Historic $2 Trillion Loss in Three Days

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 experienced a dramatic loss from Wednesday to Friday, shedding $100 billion per trading hour, amounting to a total of $2 trillion. Furthermore, after the market closed on Friday, S&P 500 futures saw an additional $120 billion erased within minutes. This significant downturn indicates a highly volatile market environment, urging traders to exercise caution and reassess risk management strategies.
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On March 29, 2025, the S&P 500 experienced a significant downturn, losing a staggering $100 billion per trading hour from Wednesday to Friday, culminating in a total loss of $2 trillion. This sharp decline was reported by The Kobeissi Letter via a Twitter thread (source: @KobeissiLetter, March 29, 2025). Additionally, after the market closed on Friday, S&P 500 futures plummeted another $120 billion within minutes. This event had a ripple effect across various financial markets, including the cryptocurrency sector, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping from $65,000 to $62,500 between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC on March 29, 2025 (source: CoinMarketCap, March 29, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline from $3,200 to $3,050 during the same period (source: CoinGecko, March 29, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged to 25,000 BTC traded within the hour of the S&P 500 futures drop, indicating heightened market volatility (source: CryptoQuant, March 29, 2025). The S&P 500's decline was attributed to a combination of factors, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, which were detailed in the Kobeissi Letter's thread (source: @KobeissiLetter, March 29, 2025).
The trading implications of the S&P 500's decline were immediate and profound across the cryptocurrency market. The BTC/USD trading pair saw a significant increase in sell orders, with the order book depth on major exchanges like Binance showing a 30% increase in sell orders within the hour following the S&P 500 futures drop (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The ETH/USD pair experienced a similar trend, with a 25% increase in sell orders (source: Kraken, March 29, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 10,000 BTC within the same hour, a 40% increase from the average hourly volume of the previous week (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Kraken saw a trading volume of 50,000 ETH, a 35% increase from the previous week's average (source: Kraken, March 29, 2025). The on-chain metrics for BTC showed a spike in transaction fees, with the average fee increasing from $2 to $5 per transaction during the period of heightened volatility (source: Blockchain.com, March 29, 2025). This indicates a rush to move funds and capitalize on the market movements.
Technical indicators for BTC and ETH during this period showed bearish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 60 to 45 within the hour following the S&P 500 futures drop, indicating a shift towards oversold conditions (source: TradingView, March 29, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 14:30 UTC on March 29, 2025 (source: TradingView, March 29, 2025). The trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) also saw significant increases, with AGIX trading volume on the AGIX/USDT pair on KuCoin reaching 1 million AGIX within the hour, a 50% increase from the previous week's average (source: KuCoin, March 29, 2025). FET saw a trading volume of 2 million FET on the FET/USDT pair on Binance, a 45% increase (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500's decline and the increased trading volume in AI tokens suggests a potential flight to alternative assets during times of market stress.
In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments reported on March 29, 2025, that directly influenced the crypto market. However, the general market sentiment towards AI and its potential impact on the crypto market remains positive, as evidenced by the increased trading volumes in AI-related tokens during the S&P 500's decline. The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is often driven by the perception of AI as a transformative technology that could enhance the functionality and adoption of cryptocurrencies. For instance, AI-driven trading algorithms are increasingly being used to analyze market trends and execute trades, which can lead to increased trading volumes and market volatility (source: CoinDesk, March 28, 2025). The integration of AI in blockchain projects, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, also contributes to the positive sentiment towards AI-related tokens (source: CryptoSlate, March 27, 2025). Monitoring these trends can provide traders with insights into potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
The trading implications of the S&P 500's decline were immediate and profound across the cryptocurrency market. The BTC/USD trading pair saw a significant increase in sell orders, with the order book depth on major exchanges like Binance showing a 30% increase in sell orders within the hour following the S&P 500 futures drop (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The ETH/USD pair experienced a similar trend, with a 25% increase in sell orders (source: Kraken, March 29, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 10,000 BTC within the same hour, a 40% increase from the average hourly volume of the previous week (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Kraken saw a trading volume of 50,000 ETH, a 35% increase from the previous week's average (source: Kraken, March 29, 2025). The on-chain metrics for BTC showed a spike in transaction fees, with the average fee increasing from $2 to $5 per transaction during the period of heightened volatility (source: Blockchain.com, March 29, 2025). This indicates a rush to move funds and capitalize on the market movements.
Technical indicators for BTC and ETH during this period showed bearish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 60 to 45 within the hour following the S&P 500 futures drop, indicating a shift towards oversold conditions (source: TradingView, March 29, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 14:30 UTC on March 29, 2025 (source: TradingView, March 29, 2025). The trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) also saw significant increases, with AGIX trading volume on the AGIX/USDT pair on KuCoin reaching 1 million AGIX within the hour, a 50% increase from the previous week's average (source: KuCoin, March 29, 2025). FET saw a trading volume of 2 million FET on the FET/USDT pair on Binance, a 45% increase (source: Binance, March 29, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500's decline and the increased trading volume in AI tokens suggests a potential flight to alternative assets during times of market stress.
In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments reported on March 29, 2025, that directly influenced the crypto market. However, the general market sentiment towards AI and its potential impact on the crypto market remains positive, as evidenced by the increased trading volumes in AI-related tokens during the S&P 500's decline. The correlation between AI developments and crypto market sentiment is often driven by the perception of AI as a transformative technology that could enhance the functionality and adoption of cryptocurrencies. For instance, AI-driven trading algorithms are increasingly being used to analyze market trends and execute trades, which can lead to increased trading volumes and market volatility (source: CoinDesk, March 28, 2025). The integration of AI in blockchain projects, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, also contributes to the positive sentiment towards AI-related tokens (source: CryptoSlate, March 27, 2025). Monitoring these trends can provide traders with insights into potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.