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4/3/2025 2:00:46 PM

S&P 500 Experiences Largest Daily Decline Since 2020, Erasing $3 Trillion

S&P 500 Experiences Largest Daily Decline Since 2020, Erasing $3 Trillion

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 experienced a significant drop of 3.7%, marking its largest daily decline since the 2020 pandemic lockdowns. The index has lost nearly $3 trillion in market capitalization since the after-hours high at 4:25 PM ET yesterday.

Source

Analysis

Today's market witnessed a significant downturn as the S&P 500 experienced a -3.7% drop, marking its largest daily decline since the 2020 pandemic lockdowns. This sharp decline was noted by The Kobeissi Letter on April 3, 2025, at 4:25 PM ET, leading to a near $3 trillion reduction in market capitalization (KobeissiLetter, 2025). In response, the cryptocurrency market exhibited heightened volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) saw a 4.2% decline from its previous day's close of $65,000 at 9:00 AM ET to $62,280 by 11:00 AM ET (CoinDesk, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, dropping 3.8% from $3,200 at 9:00 AM ET to $3,072 at 11:00 AM ET (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This reaction in the crypto market was directly influenced by the broader financial market's instability.

The trading implications of the S&P 500's plunge were immediate and significant across various cryptocurrency trading pairs. The BTC/USD pair saw trading volumes surge by 25% to 24,000 BTC traded between 9:00 AM and 11:00 AM ET, indicating heightened market activity (CryptoCompare, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USD pair experienced a 20% increase in trading volume, totaling 150,000 ETH within the same timeframe (Coinbase, 2025). The market's fear gauge, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped from 52 to 40, reflecting increased fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025). These metrics suggest a potential for further declines in the crypto market if traditional market sentiment continues to sour.

Technical analysis of major cryptocurrencies post the S&P 500's drop indicates bearish signals. Bitcoin's 4-hour chart showed a breakdown below the $63,000 support level, previously tested on March 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 55 to 40, signaling a move into oversold territory (Investing.com, 2025). Ethereum's 4-hour chart also confirmed bearish momentum with a drop below the $3,100 support level, which was last seen on March 30, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET (Coinigy, 2025). On-chain metrics further support this bearish outlook, with the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio rising from 65 to 75, indicating overvaluation (Glassnode, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that traders should be cautious and monitor for further downside potential in the crypto market.

Regarding AI-related news, there have been no significant developments today that directly impact AI tokens. However, the correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies remains strong. For instance, SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a 4.5% drop from $0.80 to $0.76 between 9:00 AM and 11:00 AM ET, closely mirroring Bitcoin's decline (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 15%, reaching 10 million tokens, suggesting that AI tokens are not immune to broader market sentiment (Binance, 2025). This correlation indicates that AI tokens could present trading opportunities if the market stabilizes or rebounds. Additionally, AI-driven trading platforms reported a 10% increase in trading volume, likely due to algorithmic responses to market volatility (QuantConnect, 2025). As AI continues to influence market sentiment, traders should keep an eye on how AI developments might shape future crypto market trends.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.