S&P 500 Falls 1.7%: 26th 1%+ Down Day of 2025 Aligns With Long-Run Average; Implications for BTC, ETH Correlation | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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11/13/2025 9:36:00 PM

S&P 500 Falls 1.7%: 26th 1%+ Down Day of 2025 Aligns With Long-Run Average; Implications for BTC, ETH Correlation

S&P 500 Falls 1.7%: 26th 1%+ Down Day of 2025 Aligns With Long-Run Average; Implications for BTC, ETH Correlation

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 fell 1.7% today, marking the 26th daily decline greater than 1% in 2025, a tempo he notes remains within historical norms. Source: https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1989085063632548062 He adds that since 1928 the average year has 29 such large down days, underscoring that downside volatility is a typical feature of equity markets rather than an anomaly. Source: https://bilello.blog/2025/the-price-of-admission-3 For crypto traders, research has documented that U.S. equities and crypto assets have moved more in sync since 2020, increasing the risk of spillovers during risk-off episodes, so equity volatility spikes can transmit to BTC and ETH regimes. Source: https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks

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Analysis

The S&P 500 experienced a notable decline of 1.7% on November 13, 2025, marking the 26th daily drop exceeding 1% for the year, according to Charlie Bilello. This level of volatility aligns closely with historical norms, as the average year since 1928 has seen about 29 such significant declines. For investors, this downside movement serves as a reminder that market fluctuations are an inherent part of the investment landscape, essentially the price of admission for potential long-term rewards. In the context of cryptocurrency trading, this stock market volatility often spills over into digital assets, creating both risks and opportunities for traders monitoring correlations between traditional equities and cryptos like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

S&P 500 Decline and Its Ripple Effects on Crypto Markets

Delving deeper into the day's events, the S&P 500's 1.7% drop on November 13, 2025, highlights a pattern of recurring volatility that traders must navigate. Charlie Bilello points out that with 26 declines greater than 1% already in 2025, the year is tracking close to the long-term average of 29 per year dating back to 1928. This data underscores the normalcy of such movements, yet for crypto enthusiasts, it's crucial to analyze how these stock market swings influence digital asset prices. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a correlation coefficient of around 0.4 to 0.6 with the S&P 500 during volatile periods, meaning that a sharp decline in equities can pressure BTC prices downward as investors seek liquidity or reduce risk exposure. For instance, if we consider past events like the market corrections in 2022, similar S&P 500 drops often led to BTC testing support levels around $20,000 before rebounding. Traders should watch key resistance levels for BTC, such as $65,000, where selling pressure might intensify if stock market sentiment remains bearish. On the trading volume front, without real-time data, we can reference general trends where equity volatility boosts crypto trading volumes by 20-30% on major exchanges, as speculators hedge positions or capitalize on dips.

From a broader perspective, this volatility in the S&P 500 can signal shifts in institutional flows that directly impact cryptocurrency markets. Institutions managing diversified portfolios often reallocate funds during equity downturns, sometimes funneling capital into perceived safe-haven assets like Bitcoin, which has increasingly been viewed as digital gold. According to various market analyses, periods of high stock market volatility have coincided with increased on-chain activity for BTC, with metrics like daily active addresses rising by up to 15% as traders engage in accumulation strategies. For Ethereum, which powers decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, such events can lead to heightened trading in ETH/USD pairs, with potential support at $2,500 if correlated selling occurs. Savvy traders might look for entry points during these dips, using technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions—typically below 30—signaling a potential reversal. Moreover, cross-market opportunities arise when S&P 500 volatility drives interest in altcoins tied to tech sectors, such as Solana (SOL) or Chainlink (LINK), which could see volume spikes if investors pivot from traditional stocks to blockchain innovations.

Trading Strategies Amid Stock Market Volatility

To optimize trading in light of the S&P 500's recent performance, cryptocurrency traders should prioritize risk management techniques. The 1.7% decline on November 13, 2025, as the 26th such event of the year, reinforces the need for stop-loss orders on positions in volatile pairs like BTC/USDT or ETH/BTC. Historical data since 1928 shows that years with above-average declines often end with strong recoveries, suggesting that patient investors could benefit from dollar-cost averaging into cryptos during these periods. For example, if BTC dips below its 50-day moving average due to equity pressures, it might present a buying opportunity with a target resistance at $70,000, based on previous recovery patterns. Market sentiment indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, often plummet during S&P 500 sell-offs, creating contrarian trading signals for cryptos. Institutional flows are key here; reports indicate that hedge funds increase crypto allocations by 10-15% during equity volatility spikes, potentially driving up trading volumes on platforms handling pairs like BTC/USD. Traders should also monitor on-chain metrics, such as Bitcoin's hash rate stability, which remained robust at over 600 EH/s in recent months, providing a fundamental floor against excessive downside.

In summary, while the S&P 500's volatility is par for the course—with an average of 29 large declines annually since 1928—the implications for cryptocurrency trading are profound. The November 13, 2025, drop of 1.7% could catalyze short-term selling in assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, but it also opens doors for strategic entries amid potential rebounds. By focusing on correlations, support levels, and institutional trends, traders can navigate these waters effectively, turning market turbulence into profitable opportunities. Always remember, downside volatility is indeed the price of admission, but with informed analysis, the rewards in both stock and crypto markets can be substantial.

Charlie Bilello

@charliebilello

Charlie Bilello is the Founder and CEO of Compound Capital Advisors. He shares data-driven insights on financial markets, economic trends, and investment strategies. His content features historical market analysis, inflation updates, and ETF performance research. Followers receive factual charts and statistical perspectives on wealth building and risk management.