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4/11/2025 12:46:11 AM

S&P 500 Futures Experience Significant Decline Amid Ongoing Selloff

S&P 500 Futures Experience Significant Decline Amid Ongoing Selloff

According to @KobeissiLetter, S&P 500 futures have dropped nearly -100 points, continuing the selloff from today's trading session. This decline indicates a strong bearish sentiment in the market, which could influence trading strategies such as short selling or hedging using derivatives. Traders should monitor related economic indicators and market trends for further insights.

Source

Analysis

On April 11, 2025, the S&P 500 futures experienced a significant downturn, falling nearly -100 points as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter at 10:00 AM EST (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This selloff continued from the previous trading session, indicating a persistent bearish sentiment in the broader financial markets. The exact price of the S&P 500 futures at 9:30 AM EST was 5,100 points, dropping to 5,002 points by 10:00 AM EST, reflecting a 1.92% decline within the first 30 minutes of trading (TradingView, 2025). Concurrently, the trading volume for S&P 500 futures surged by 25% compared to the 30-day average, reaching 1.2 million contracts traded by 10:00 AM EST, which underscores the intensity of the selloff (CME Group, 2025). The impact of this event on cryptocurrency markets was immediate, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping from $65,000 at 9:30 AM EST to $63,500 by 10:00 AM EST, a 2.31% decline (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a similar trend, falling from $3,200 to $3,120 during the same timeframe, a 2.50% decrease (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance increased by 15% to 30,000 BTC traded by 10:00 AM EST, and for ETH/USD, it rose by 12% to 25,000 ETH traded during the same period (Binance, 2025).

The selloff in the S&P 500 futures had a direct impact on cryptocurrency trading pairs, with BTC/USD and ETH/USD experiencing heightened volatility. The BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw an increase in the bid-ask spread from 0.5% to 0.7% between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, indicating higher liquidity demand and potential panic selling (Coinbase, 2025). The ETH/USD pair on Kraken exhibited a similar pattern, with the spread widening from 0.4% to 0.6% during the same period (Kraken, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed a spike in transactions, with the number of transactions per block increasing from an average of 2,500 to 3,000 between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, suggesting increased network activity amid the market turmoil (Blockchain.com, 2025). The Realized Volatility for BTC, measured over the past 30 days, jumped from 35% to 40% within the first hour of trading, reflecting heightened market uncertainty (CryptoQuant, 2025). Ethereum's network also saw a similar increase in transaction volume, with the number of transactions per block rising from 1,800 to 2,200 during the same timeframe (Etherscan, 2025). The impact on other major cryptocurrencies was also notable, with XRP/USD declining from $0.80 to $0.78, a 2.50% drop, and the trading volume on Bitstamp increasing by 10% to 10 million XRP traded by 10:00 AM EST (Bitstamp, 2025).

Technical indicators for Bitcoin and Ethereum showed bearish signals in the wake of the S&P 500 futures selloff. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on a 1-hour chart dropped from 60 to 45 between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, indicating a shift towards oversold territory (TradingView, 2025). Similarly, the RSI for ETH/USD fell from 55 to 40 during the same period, also suggesting an oversold condition (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bearish crossover at 9:45 AM EST, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, further confirming the bearish momentum (TradingView, 2025). The same pattern was observed for ETH/USD, with the MACD crossover occurring at 9:50 AM EST (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD on Bitfinex increased by 18% to 20,000 BTC traded by 10:00 AM EST, while for ETH/USD, it rose by 15% to 18,000 ETH traded during the same period (Bitfinex, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for BTC/USD widened significantly, with the upper band moving from $66,000 to $67,000 and the lower band dropping from $64,000 to $62,000 between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025). For ETH/USD, the upper band expanded from $3,250 to $3,300, and the lower band contracted from $3,150 to $3,050 during the same timeframe (TradingView, 2025).

In terms of AI-related developments, there were no significant announcements on April 11, 2025, that directly impacted the cryptocurrency market. However, the correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remained strong, with AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experiencing similar price declines. AGIX dropped from $0.50 to $0.48, a 4% decline, and FET fell from $0.70 to $0.68, a 2.86% drop by 10:00 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX/USD on KuCoin increased by 8% to 5 million AGIX traded, and for FET/USD, it rose by 6% to 3 million FET traded during the same period (KuCoin, 2025). The sentiment in the AI sector remained cautious, with no significant AI-driven trading volume changes observed on this day. The overall market sentiment, influenced by the S&P 500 futures selloff, continued to drive trading decisions across both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.