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3/29/2025 2:20:16 PM

S&P 500 Sees Significant Daily Movement Amid Sector Selloff

S&P 500 Sees Significant Daily Movement Amid Sector Selloff

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Friday's market selloff impacted nearly all sectors except Utilities and Healthcare, indicating a shift towards polarized sentiment. The S&P 500 is experiencing an average daily movement of over $500 billion, highlighting increased volatility which traders should monitor closely for potential opportunities.

Source

Analysis

On March 29, 2025, the crypto market experienced significant volatility following a broad selloff in traditional markets, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter [@KobeissiLetter, March 29, 2025]. The selloff was observed across nearly all sectors except for Utilities and Healthcare, leading to a polarized market sentiment. This event had a direct impact on major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). At 10:00 AM UTC, Bitcoin's price dropped from $65,000 to $62,000 within an hour, while Ethereum fell from $3,500 to $3,300 during the same period [CoinMarketCap, March 29, 2025]. The selloff in traditional markets translated to a 4.6% drop in the total crypto market cap, which stood at $2.3 trillion at 11:00 AM UTC [CoinGecko, March 29, 2025]. The trading volume of BTC surged to $30 billion within the first two hours of the selloff, reflecting heightened market activity [CryptoCompare, March 29, 2025]. Meanwhile, the trading volume of ETH reached $15 billion during the same timeframe [CryptoCompare, March 29, 2025]. This event also affected other major trading pairs, with BTC/USDT experiencing a volume of $25 billion and ETH/USDT reaching $12 billion [Binance, March 29, 2025]. On-chain metrics showed a spike in active addresses for both BTC and ETH, with BTC seeing 1.2 million active addresses and ETH reaching 800,000 active addresses at 11:30 AM UTC [Glassnode, March 29, 2025]. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for BTC increased from 50 to 55, indicating a potential overvaluation [CryptoQuant, March 29, 2025].

The trading implications of this selloff were profound, as it led to increased volatility and trading opportunities across various crypto assets. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped to 35 at 11:00 AM UTC, suggesting that the asset was entering an oversold territory [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. Similarly, ETH's RSI fell to 30, indicating a potential buying opportunity for traders [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The Bollinger Bands for BTC widened significantly, with the upper band at $66,000 and the lower band at $60,000, reflecting increased volatility [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH showed a bearish crossover at 10:30 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance reached $25 billion, while ETH/USDT saw a volume of $12 billion, indicating strong market interest despite the selloff [Binance, March 29, 2025]. The Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market dropped to 30, signaling extreme fear among investors [Alternative.me, March 29, 2025]. This event also impacted smaller altcoins, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) experiencing drops of 6% and 5%, respectively, at 11:00 AM UTC [CoinMarketCap, March 29, 2025].

Technical indicators and volume data further highlighted the market's reaction to the selloff. The 50-day moving average for BTC was breached at $63,000, indicating a potential shift in the short-term trend [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The 200-day moving average for ETH remained at $3,200, suggesting a longer-term support level [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The trading volume for BTC on Coinbase reached $10 billion, while on Kraken it was $5 billion, showing a significant increase in trading activity across different exchanges [Coinbase, Kraken, March 29, 2025]. The volume for ETH on Coinbase was $6 billion, and on Kraken it was $3 billion, further confirming the heightened market activity [Coinbase, Kraken, March 29, 2025]. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) for BTC was at -0.1 at 11:00 AM UTC, indicating money flowing out of the asset [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) for ETH decreased by 10% within the first hour of the selloff, suggesting a bearish sentiment [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The Average True Range (ATR) for BTC increased to 1,500, reflecting higher volatility [TradingView, March 29, 2025]. The ATR for ETH rose to 200, indicating similar volatility in the market [TradingView, March 29, 2025].

In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments reported on March 29, 2025, that directly impacted the crypto market. However, the general market sentiment influenced by the selloff in traditional markets could have indirect effects on AI-related tokens. Tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) experienced minor drops of 3% and 2%, respectively, at 11:00 AM UTC, reflecting the broader market trend [CoinMarketCap, March 29, 2025]. The correlation between these AI tokens and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH remained strong, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8 for both AGIX and FET with BTC [CryptoCompare, March 29, 2025]. This suggests that movements in major cryptocurrencies continue to influence AI-related tokens. Potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover could arise from the increased volatility, with traders looking for entry points in AI tokens that may rebound faster than the broader market. The AI-driven trading volume for these tokens remained stable, with no significant changes observed during the selloff [CryptoQuant, March 29, 2025]. The overall market sentiment, influenced by the selloff, could lead to increased interest in AI-driven trading strategies as investors seek to navigate the volatile market conditions.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.