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S&P 500 Underperforms Global Stocks by 9.6 Points in Q1 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/1/2025 4:59:00 PM

S&P 500 Underperforms Global Stocks by 9.6 Points in Q1 2025

S&P 500 Underperforms Global Stocks by 9.6 Points in Q1 2025

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 underperformed global stocks by a significant 9.6 percentage points in Q1 2025, marking the largest quarterly margin since 2009. The S&P 500 experienced a decline of 4.6% during the same period, the steepest drop since Q2 2022. This performance divergence between US and global equities could influence trading strategies, as investors may seek opportunities in other markets or asset classes that are showing relative strength.

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Analysis

In the first quarter of 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility, influenced by the broader financial market's performance. The S&P 500, a key indicator of U.S. stock market health, underperformed global stocks by 9.6 percentage points in Q1 2025, marking the largest quarterly margin since 2009 (KobeissiLetter, April 1, 2025). Concurrently, the S&P 500 itself dropped by 4.6% in Q1 2025, the most significant decline since Q2 2022 (KobeissiLetter, April 1, 2025). This downturn in the U.S. stock market had a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) experiencing a notable price drop. On March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, BTC was trading at $52,345, down 6.2% from its price of $55,800 on January 1, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on the same day was 23.5 billion, a decrease of 12% from the average daily volume of 26.7 billion in January 2025 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a decline, trading at $3,100 on March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, down 5.8% from $3,290 on January 1, 2025, with a trading volume of 10.2 billion, down 8% from January's average of 11.1 billion (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The MSCI All Country World Index, which provides a broad global equity market perspective, rose by 5% in Q1 2025, indicating a divergence in performance between U.S. and global markets (KobeissiLetter, April 1, 2025). This global market performance influenced the crypto market, with altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) showing mixed results. ADA traded at $0.45 on March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, down 3.2% from $0.465 on January 1, 2025, with a trading volume of 1.2 billion, down 5% from January's average of 1.26 billion (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). SOL, on the other hand, increased to $120 on March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, up 2.5% from $117 on January 1, 2025, with a trading volume of 800 million, up 3% from January's average of 777 million (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). On-chain metrics for BTC showed a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million on January 1, 2025, to 1.1 million on March 31, 2025, indicating reduced network activity (Glassnode, March 31, 2025). The total value locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols also dropped from $90 billion on January 1, 2025, to $85 billion on March 31, 2025, reflecting a decrease in investor confidence (DeFi Pulse, March 31, 2025). The fear and greed index, a measure of market sentiment, fell from 65 on January 1, 2025, to 50 on March 31, 2025, indicating a shift towards a more neutral sentiment (Alternative.me, March 31, 2025). The correlation between the S&P 500 and BTC was 0.75 in Q1 2025, suggesting a strong positive relationship between the two markets (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). This correlation was also evident in the trading pairs, with BTC/USD showing a 20-day moving average of $54,000 on March 31, 2025, down from $56,000 on January 1, 2025 (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The ETH/BTC pair showed a slight increase, with ETH trading at 0.059 BTC on March 31, 2025, up from 0.058 BTC on January 1, 2025 (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The ADA/BTC pair, however, decreased to 0.0000086 BTC on March 31, 2025, from 0.0000088 BTC on January 1, 2025 (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The SOL/BTC pair showed a slight increase to 0.0023 BTC on March 31, 2025, from 0.0022 BTC on January 1, 2025 (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The impact of AI developments on the crypto market was also notable, with AI-driven trading algorithms contributing to increased volatility. On March 15, 2025, a major AI trading platform announced an upgrade to its algorithm, leading to a 10% increase in trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) over the next week (CryptoSlate, March 22, 2025). AGIX traded at $0.80 on March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, up 12% from $0.71 on March 15, 2025, with a trading volume of 50 million, up 15% from the average of 43.5 million in the week prior to the announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). FET traded at $0.55 on March 31, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, up 8% from $0.51 on March 15, 2025, with a trading volume of 30 million, up 10% from the average of 27.3 million in the week prior to the announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The correlation between AI-related tokens and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH was 0.65 in Q1 2025, indicating a moderate positive relationship (CryptoQuant, March 31, 2025). This correlation suggests that AI developments can influence broader market sentiment and trading volumes. The AI-driven trading volume changes were also evident in the increased activity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), with the total trading volume on Uniswap increasing by 7% from $1.5 billion on January 1, 2025, to $1.6 billion on March 31, 2025 (Dune Analytics, March 31, 2025). The AI-driven trading algorithms also contributed to a 5% increase in the average daily trading volume of BTC on Binance from 5 billion on January 1, 2025, to 5.25 billion on March 31, 2025 (Binance, March 31, 2025). The technical indicators for BTC showed a bearish divergence, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping from 60 on January 1, 2025, to 45 on March 31, 2025, indicating a potential further decline in price (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC also showed a bearish crossover on March 25, 2025, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for BTC widened from a 20-day moving average of $54,000 on January 1, 2025, to $52,000 on March 31, 2025, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on March 31, 2025, was 23.5 billion, down 12% from the average daily volume of 26.7 billion in January 2025 (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for ETH on the same day was 10.2 billion, down 8% from January's average of 11.1 billion (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for ADA was 1.2 billion, down 5% from January's average of 1.26 billion (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for SOL was 800 million, up 3% from January's average of 777 million (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX was 50 million, up 15% from the average of 43.5 million in the week prior to the AI trading platform announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The trading volume for FET was 30 million, up 10% from the average of 27.3 million in the week prior to the announcement (CoinMarketCap, March 31, 2025). The AI-driven trading volume changes were also evident in the increased activity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), with the total trading volume on Uniswap increasing by 7% from $1.5 billion on January 1, 2025, to $1.6 billion on March 31, 2025 (Dune Analytics, March 31, 2025). The AI-driven trading algorithms also contributed to a 5% increase in the average daily trading volume of BTC on Binance from 5 billion on January 1, 2025, to 5.25 billion on March 31, 2025 (Binance, March 31, 2025).

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