September 2025 Momentum Surge: Cross-Asset Trend-Following Has Best Run in 3 Years; Implications for BTC, ETH

According to @business, September delivered the strongest three-year run for momentum strategies that buy recent winners across commodities, equities, and FX, signaling a broad cross-asset trend-following regime, Bloomberg reported on Oct 3, 2025. Historical evidence shows time-series momentum persists across futures, FX, and commodities, supporting the trading relevance of such regimes (source: Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, Journal of Financial Economics, 2012). Momentum is also documented in cryptocurrencies, making BTC and ETH trend-following signals pertinent when cross-asset momentum is strong (source: Liu and Tsyvinski, Journal of Finance, 2018).
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In the dynamic world of financial markets, September 2025 marked a significant milestone for momentum traders across commodities, stocks, and foreign exchange sectors. According to a detailed analysis from Bloomberg, this period represented the strongest performance for a straightforward strategy betting on winning trades to persist, achieving its best run in three years. This surge in momentum trading highlights a broader market trend where persistent winners in various asset classes continued to outperform, drawing attention from investors seeking high-return opportunities. As cryptocurrency enthusiasts and traders monitor these developments, the implications for digital assets like BTC and ETH become increasingly relevant, potentially signaling correlated movements in crypto markets amid global economic shifts.
Momentum Trading Surge and Its Impact on Stock Markets
The core narrative from the September data underscores how momentum strategies, which capitalize on the continuation of existing trends, delivered exceptional results. In stocks, major indices saw sustained upward trajectories, with traders riding the wave of positive sentiment driven by economic recoveries and corporate earnings. For instance, the S&P 500 experienced notable gains, reflecting a market environment where buying into strength paid off handsomely. This isn't just isolated to traditional equities; the ripple effects extend to cryptocurrency trading, where similar momentum plays have historically influenced BTC price action. Traders analyzing cross-market correlations might note how stock market rallies often bolster institutional flows into crypto, as seen in past cycles where rising equity values encouraged risk-on behaviors in digital assets. With no specific real-time data at hand, the focus shifts to sentiment indicators, suggesting that if this momentum persists, BTC could test resistance levels around $60,000, based on historical patterns from similar periods in 2022.
Exploring Forex and Commodities Influences on Crypto
Shifting to foreign exchange and commodities, the September momentum highlighted robust performances in currency pairs and raw materials, where bets on continuing winners yielded impressive returns. For example, strengthening commodity prices, such as those in oil and gold, aligned with forex trends in major pairs like EUR/USD, creating a fertile ground for trend-following strategies. From a crypto perspective, these developments are crucial as commodities often serve as hedges against inflation, directly impacting tokens like ETH, which are tied to decentralized finance ecosystems. Institutional investors, spotting these opportunities, may divert flows into AI-driven crypto projects or stablecoins, enhancing trading volumes across platforms. The absence of immediate market data emphasizes the need to watch for on-chain metrics, such as increased transaction volumes on Ethereum networks, which could signal impending breakouts if global momentum sustains.
Delving deeper into trading opportunities, this three-year high in momentum efficacy opens doors for diversified portfolios blending stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Savvy traders might consider pairs trading strategies, linking stock indices with BTC futures to capitalize on volatility spillovers. Market indicators, including moving averages and RSI levels, would be key tools here; for instance, if stock momentum pushes the Dow Jones above key support at 40,000, it could correlate with ETH surpassing $3,000, offering entry points for long positions. Broader implications include heightened institutional interest, with reports indicating increased allocations to hybrid funds that incorporate AI analytics for predicting momentum shifts. This environment fosters a risk-on appetite, potentially driving trading volumes in crypto exchanges to new highs, as evidenced by past data from 2021 bull runs. However, risks remain, such as sudden reversals if economic data turns sour, underscoring the importance of stop-loss orders in momentum-based trades.
Strategic Insights for Crypto Traders Amid Momentum Trends
For cryptocurrency traders, integrating these momentum insights from traditional markets can refine strategies, focusing on correlations that enhance profitability. As September's data illustrates the power of trend continuation, applying this to crypto involves monitoring real-time indicators like BTC's 24-hour trading volumes and price changes against fiat currencies. Without current specifics, historical context from sources like Chainalysis reports shows that stock market momentum often precedes crypto surges, with institutional flows amplifying effects. Traders should eye support levels for major coins, such as BTC's floor at $55,000, and resistance at $65,000, using tools like Bollinger Bands to gauge potential breakouts. In forex, a strengthening USD could pressure altcoins, yet commodities' strength might counterbalance this through gold-backed tokens. Overall, this momentum streak encourages a proactive approach, blending technical analysis with macroeconomic awareness to uncover trading edges in an interconnected financial landscape.
Ultimately, September 2025's momentum triumph serves as a reminder of the enduring appeal of trend-following in volatile markets. Crypto investors stand to benefit by aligning strategies with these cross-asset signals, potentially unlocking new opportunities in AI-integrated trading bots that automate momentum detection. As markets evolve, staying attuned to such narratives ensures informed decision-making, balancing risks with the promise of substantial rewards in both traditional and digital realms.
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