According to @KobeissiLetter, net VIX futures positioning among asset managers has dropped to roughly negative $1.0 billion, marking the lowest level in at least 10 years. According to @KobeissiLetter, short volatility exposure has now surpassed the August 2024 peak that preceded a 280 percent surge in the VIX to 65. According to @KobeissiLetter, this positioning signals extreme bullishness from asset managers and echoes the buildup that came before the prior volatility spike.

According to @GreeksLive, market sentiment is split with a bearish undertone, and traders are watching BTC 105k, 102k, 97k and ETH 3650, 3400 while debating further downside versus choppy consolidation. Source: @GreeksLive, Nov 4, 2025. According to @GreeksLive, option flow is dominated by short volatility with aggressive selling in ETH 3650P, 3400P, and 3800C strikes. Source: @GreeksLive, Nov 4, 2025. According to @GreeksLive, one trader argues downside is overestimated and continues adding short puts despite losses while also selling calls to position for a range. Source: @GreeksLive, Nov 4, 2025. According to @GreeksLive, the consensus behavior of doubling down on short vol despite warnings that the cycle may be over is flagged as dangerous and is typically seen before major market moves, elevating positioning risk for short-vol books. Source: @GreeksLive, Nov 4, 2025.