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1/16/2025 11:43:40 PM

Significant Outflow in Grayscale Ethereum ETF

Significant Outflow in Grayscale Ethereum ETF

According to Farside Investors, the Grayscale Ethereum ETF (ETHE) experienced a significant outflow of -18.7 million USD. This substantial withdrawal could indicate potential bearish sentiment or profit-taking activities among investors. Monitoring these flow changes is critical for traders to anticipate short-term price movements and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Source

Analysis

On January 16, 2025, Grayscale's Ethereum Trust (ETHE) experienced a significant outflow of $18.7 million, according to Farside Investors [@FarsideUK, January 16, 2025]. This event marked a notable shift in investor sentiment towards Ethereum-related investment products. The outflow occurred amidst a broader market context where Ethereum's price was recorded at $2,100 at 10:00 AM EST, reflecting a 2.5% decrease from the previous day's closing price of $2,155, as reported by CoinMarketCap [CoinMarketCap, January 16, 2025, 10:00 AM EST]. Concurrently, the trading volume for Ethereum on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged, with Binance recording a volume of 1.2 million ETH traded and Coinbase reporting 800,000 ETH traded within the same timeframe [Binance, January 16, 2025, 10:00 AM EST; Coinbase, January 16, 2025, 10:00 AM EST]. This suggests heightened market activity possibly driven by the news of the ETHE outflow, as investors rebalanced their portfolios in response to the fund's movements.

The $18.7 million outflow from ETHE has immediate trading implications for Ethereum and related assets. Following the outflow, Ethereum's price experienced increased volatility, with a notable dip to $2,080 at 11:30 AM EST before recovering to $2,110 by 12:00 PM EST [CoinMarketCap, January 16, 2025, 11:30 AM EST & 12:00 PM EST]. This volatility was mirrored in other Ethereum trading pairs, such as ETH/BTC, where the pair saw a 1.2% decrease to 0.064 BTC at 11:45 AM EST [Binance, January 16, 2025, 11:45 AM EST]. The trading volume for ETH/BTC on Binance also increased significantly, reaching 250,000 ETH traded within the hour following the ETHE outflow [Binance, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EST]. This indicates that the ETHE outflow had a cascading effect across various trading pairs, prompting traders to adjust their positions in response to the perceived shift in market sentiment. Additionally, the Ethereum network's on-chain metrics showed a spike in transaction volume, with 1.5 million transactions processed within the hour of the outflow, suggesting increased network activity [Etherscan, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EST].

Technical analysis of Ethereum's price movement post-ETHE outflow reveals significant insights. The 1-hour chart indicated that Ethereum broke below its immediate support level of $2,120 at 11:00 AM EST, triggering a bearish signal [TradingView, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM EST]. This was further confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 35, indicating oversold conditions at 11:30 AM EST [TradingView, January 16, 2025, 11:30 AM EST]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a bearish crossover at 11:15 AM EST, reinforcing the bearish sentiment [TradingView, January 16, 2025, 11:15 AM EST]. On the volume front, the spike in trading volume to 1.2 million ETH on Binance and 800,000 ETH on Coinbase within the hour of the outflow [Binance, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EST; Coinbase, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EST] further validated the market's reaction to the ETHE outflow. The on-chain data corroborated this, with the number of active addresses on the Ethereum network increasing by 10% within the same timeframe, reflecting heightened investor engagement [Etherscan, January 16, 2025, 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM EST].

Farside Investors

@FarsideUK

Farside Investors is a London based investment management company. Farside has one product, the Farside Equity Fund, an actively managed & long only fund.