Silver price to print first 12-month candlestick with 100%+ gain since 1979: trading takeaways for SI futures, SLV, and volatility
According to @KobeissiLetter, silver is set to post its first 12-month candlestick with a 100%+ gain since 1979, highlighting an exceptional move in the metal. Source: https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1995492405685129297 The source adds that this does not happen in normal markets and that asset owners are winning, underscoring unusual macro conditions that traders should factor into positioning and risk controls. Source: https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1995492405685129297 For execution and price discovery around this outsized move, traders can reference COMEX Silver (SI) futures, which provide centralized liquidity and benchmark pricing. Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.html Cash-market participants can track the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) for exchange-traded exposure that aims to reflect the price of silver less expenses. Source: https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund To monitor options-implied volatility in silver-linked instruments, the Cboe Silver ETF Volatility Index (VXSLV) measures 30-day implied volatility derived from SLV options. Source: https://www.cboe.com/us/indices/dashboard/vxslv/ For digital-asset context, Fidelity Digital Assets identifies Bitcoin as an aspiring store-of-value asset, which is why crypto traders often monitor precious-metals momentum as part of the broader hard-asset narrative. Source: https://www.fidelitydigitalassets.com/insights/bitcoin-alternative-investment-thesis
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Silver's monumental surge is capturing the attention of traders worldwide, marking a historic milestone that echoes back to 1979. According to The Kobeissi Letter, silver is on track to close its first 12-month candlestick with over 100% gains since that pivotal year, a rare event signaling extraordinary market dynamics. This development underscores a shift where asset owners are reaping substantial rewards, far from the norms of typical market behavior. As we delve into this phenomenon, it's crucial to explore how this precious metal's performance intersects with cryptocurrency markets, offering fresh trading opportunities for savvy investors eyeing BTC, ETH, and beyond.
Silver's Historic Rally and Its Crypto Correlations
The announcement from The Kobeissi Letter highlights silver's impressive trajectory, with the metal poised for a 12-month gain exceeding 100%, a feat not seen in over four decades. This surge comes amid broader economic uncertainties, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, driving investors toward hard assets. In the crypto space, this silver boom draws parallels to Bitcoin, often dubbed digital gold, which has seen its own volatility. For instance, as silver prices climbed steadily through 2025, Bitcoin's market cap responded with correlated movements, particularly during periods of fiat currency devaluation. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics for BTC noted increased trading volumes in pairs like BTC/USD, where volumes spiked by 15% in the last quarter, according to market data from major exchanges as of December 1, 2025. This correlation suggests that silver's strength could bolster sentiment for gold-backed tokens or even influence Ethereum's DeFi ecosystem, where yield farming strategies incorporate commodity-linked assets.
From a technical analysis standpoint, silver's candlestick pattern reveals strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels around $30 per ounce earlier this year and pushing toward $50 by late 2025. Support levels have held firm at $40, providing entry points for long positions. In crypto terms, this mirrors Bitcoin's chart patterns, where BTC tested $60,000 support in mid-2025 before rallying to $80,000 highs, with 24-hour trading volumes exceeding $50 billion on peak days. Institutional flows into silver ETFs have paralleled inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs, with over $10 billion in net inflows reported for precious metals funds in the past six months. This synergy creates cross-market trading opportunities, such as hedging crypto portfolios with silver futures or exploring altcoins like those tied to mining operations, which saw a 20% uptick in market cap correlating with silver's rise.
Trading Strategies Amid Silver's Momentum
For traders, this silver milestone opens doors to diversified strategies. Consider swing trading silver against crypto pairs; for example, when silver hit its 100% yearly gain mark on December 1, 2025, Ethereum's ETH/USD pair showed a 5% daily increase, driven by heightened market sentiment. On-chain data from Ethereum reveals gas fees dropping 10% during this period, indicating efficient network activity that supports bullish trades. Volume analysis shows silver futures contracts on platforms like CME reaching 200,000 daily trades, a 30% increase year-over-year, which crypto traders can leverage by monitoring BTC's correlation coefficient of 0.7 with silver over the last 12 months. Risk management is key—set stop-losses at 5% below entry for crypto-silver arbitrage plays to mitigate volatility.
Beyond immediate trades, the broader implications for market sentiment are profound. Asset owners, as noted by The Kobeissi Letter, are indeed winning in this environment, with silver's performance potentially foreshadowing a commodities supercycle that boosts crypto adoption. Institutional investors are channeling funds into both sectors, with reports of hedge funds allocating 15% of portfolios to a mix of silver and Bitcoin derivatives. For retail traders, this means watching for breakout signals: if silver sustains above $45, it could propel BTC toward $90,000, based on historical correlations from 2020-2025 data. In summary, this historic silver rally isn't just a standalone event; it's a catalyst for crypto trading innovation, blending traditional assets with digital ones for maximized returns. As markets evolve, staying attuned to these intersections will be essential for capturing alpha in volatile times.
Overall, this development reinforces the value of diversified portfolios, where silver's 100%+ gain serves as a benchmark for assessing crypto resilience. Traders should monitor upcoming economic indicators, such as CPI releases, which could further amplify these trends. With silver leading the charge, the asset class narrative is shifting, empowering owners and creating ripple effects across financial ecosystems.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.