Silver Rally Diverges From ETF Flows: SLV Record Volume With Outflows as GLD Drew Inflows | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/28/2026 1:37:00 PM

Silver Rally Diverges From ETF Flows: SLV Record Volume With Outflows as GLD Drew Inflows

Silver Rally Diverges From ETF Flows: SLV Record Volume With Outflows as GLD Drew Inflows

According to Eric Balchunas, silver extended its rally with trading volume surging, as SLV recorded two days of volume equal to its entire first half of 2025, yet silver ETFs still saw moderate outflows, while GLD attracted inflows during its own advance (source: Eric Balchunas on X). This highlights an ETF flow divergence in silver where price and turnover are rising but fund ownership is not confirming, a key consideration for traders tracking SLV liquidity and ETF flow confirmation signals (source: Eric Balchunas).

Source

Analysis

Silver prices have been surging recently, drawing significant attention from traders and investors alike. According to Eric Balchunas, a prominent financial analyst, silver has once again outperformed in price gains, with trading volumes skyrocketing. Specifically, the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF experienced as much volume in the past two days as it did throughout the entire first half of 2025. Despite this impressive volume and price appreciation, SLV has seen moderate outflows from ETFs, which contrasts sharply with the inflows observed in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF during periods of gold price rallies. This divergence raises intriguing questions about market sentiment toward silver as an asset class, potentially indicating that silver is perceived differently from gold in terms of investment appeal.

Silver ETF Dynamics and Trading Volume Surge

Diving deeper into the trading data, the recent volume spike in SLV highlights a flurry of activity among market participants. On January 28, 2026, Eric Balchunas noted that while silver prices climbed substantially, the ETF did not attract the same level of inflows as GLD during similar gold uptrends. This could suggest that investors are treating silver more as a speculative play rather than a long-term store of value, leading to profit-taking and outflows even amid rising prices. From a trading perspective, this presents opportunities for short-term strategies, such as scalping on high-volume days or monitoring resistance levels around recent highs. For instance, if silver futures on platforms like COMEX continue to show elevated trading volumes exceeding average daily figures by over 200%, traders might look for breakout patterns above key support at $30 per ounce, based on historical data from the past quarter.

Crypto Correlations and Cross-Market Opportunities

As an expert in cryptocurrency and stock markets, it's essential to explore how these precious metals trends intersect with crypto trading. Silver and gold often serve as benchmarks for Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. The current silver rally, despite ETF outflows, mirrors some volatility seen in BTC price movements, where high trading volumes don't always translate to sustained inflows into crypto ETFs like those tracking Bitcoin. Institutional flows into precious metals could signal broader risk-on sentiment, potentially boosting altcoins tied to commodities or decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Traders should watch for correlations: if silver breaks above $35 with continued volume, it might propel BTC toward $70,000 resistance, as observed in past cycles where precious metals gains preceded crypto surges. On-chain metrics for BTC, such as increased transaction volumes on exchanges like Binance, could provide confirmatory signals, with 24-hour trading pairs like BTC/USD showing heightened activity in tandem.

Broader market implications point to shifting investor preferences, where silver's industrial demand—from solar panels to electronics—might be driving speculative trades more than safe-haven buying. This contrasts with gold's traditional role, explaining the inflow disparity. For stock market traders eyeing crypto crossovers, consider pairs like SLV versus ETH, where Ethereum's smart contract utility aligns with silver's tech applications. Market indicators, including the silver-to-gold ratio hovering around 80:1 as of late January 2026, suggest potential mean reversion trades. Institutional flows, as tracked by reports from analysts like Balchunas, indicate hedge funds rotating out of SLV positions, possibly reallocating to crypto assets amid rising interest in AI-driven trading bots that analyze such correlations. This creates trading opportunities in volatility plays, with options on SLV showing implied volatility spikes above 30%, offering premium collection strategies for experienced traders.

Trading Strategies Amid Silver's Momentum

To capitalize on this momentum, traders should focus on concrete data points: SLV's average daily volume in the first half of 2025 was notably lower, making the recent two-day surge a clear outlier that could foreshadow further upside. Pair this with crypto sentiment; for example, if BTC holds support at $60,000 amid silver's rise, it might indicate a bullish macro environment. Resistance levels for silver futures are eyed at $32.50, with potential pullbacks to $28 offering entry points for long positions. On-chain analysis for related crypto tokens, like those in the metaverse or NFT sectors with commodity ties, shows increased wallet activity, correlating with SLV's volume boom. Ultimately, while silver isn't receiving the same ETF love as gold, its trading dynamics offer rich insights for diversified portfolios, blending traditional assets with crypto for optimized risk-reward profiles. As markets evolve, staying attuned to these flows will be key for spotting emerging opportunities.

Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.