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@EvgenyGaevoycapitalism arc, Westham, e/acc, d&d & wh40k aficionado, founder and CEO @wintermute_t occasionally adversarial
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Kimi AI: Dean Ball Flags Open-Weight Risks
Kimi AI model matches Q1 2026 leaders in agentic coding while Chinese open-weight AI models policy collides with US export controls impact. (Source) 07-18-2026 19:13 |
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Wintermute: Executes First SpaceX Equity CFD
Wintermute executes first single-name equity CFD on SpaceX ($SPCX) Nasdaq debut, extending coverage with 24/7 equity trading. (Source) 06-12-2026 16:04 |
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EvgenyGaevoy: Weekend Perp Trades Trigger Health Domino Effect
EvgenyGaevoy reveals Hyperliquid xyz perp trading on weekends wrecked sleep, diet and gym routines for three days after Tesla trades despite no liquidation. (Source) 05-25-2026 14:27 |
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U.S. DOJ Indicts Crypto Executives for Wash Trading Scandal
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the U.S. Department of Justice has indicted ten executives and employees from four cryptocurrency market-making firms—Gotbit, Vortex, Antier, and Contrarian—for allegedly engaging in wash trading to manipulate token trading volumes and prices. This development highlights increasing regulatory scrutiny on market manipulation practices in the cryptocurrency industry. (Source) 04-01-2026 10:53 |
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US DOJ Indicts Cryptocurrency Firms for Wash Trading Allegations
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the U.S. Department of Justice has indicted ten executives and employees from four cryptocurrency market-making firms, including Gotbit, Vortex, Antier, and Contrarian. They are accused of manipulating token trading volumes and prices using wash trading tactics. Three individuals have already been extradited from Singapore to the United States. (Source) 04-01-2026 08:44 |
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Coinbase's Stance on Stablecoin Yield Bill Sparks Concern for Crypto Industry
According to Evgeny Gaevoy, Coinbase's decision to oppose the latest stablecoin yield compromise bill could have detrimental effects on the broader cryptocurrency industry. Gaevoy emphasized that the bill's failure to pass in a timely manner could hinder the industry's progress, noting that the yield of stablecoins is a minor factor in the grander scheme. This debate reflects a critical juncture for regulation and adoption in the stablecoin sector. (Source) 03-26-2026 11:50 |
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Binance Introduces Market Maker Guidelines to Enhance Transparency
According to Evgeny Gaevoy, Binance has taken a significant step by releasing market maker guidelines aimed at improving transparency in token markets. The guidelines mandate token issuers to disclose market maker information, prohibit profit-sharing or guaranteed return arrangements, and require clarity in token lending agreements regarding token usage. Binance has emphasized strict compliance, warning of swift action, including blacklisting, for violations. This move positions exchanges to establish and enforce higher standards within the crypto trading ecosystem. (Source) 03-26-2026 11:18 |
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Wildcat Labs Introduces Open-Term WBTC Market with Wintermute
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, Wildcat Labs has launched a new open-term WBTC market in collaboration with Wintermute. This market offers borrowing capacity of up to 200 WBTC at an annual percentage rate (APR) of 3.5%, with a 24-hour withdrawal window. This initiative is expected to provide traders with enhanced liquidity options for WBTC-based transactions. (Source) 03-10-2026 16:35 |
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Evgeny Gaevoy Highlights Open-Source Crypto Book Covering BTC, DeFi, and More
According to Evgeny Gaevoy, Larry Cermak has released an open-source crypto book in collaboration with FrankResearcher. The book, divided into 15 chapters, covers key topics like Bitcoin (BTC), DeFi, MEV, Hyperliquid, and quantum resistance. This resource is designed for anyone looking to deepen their understanding of the crypto landscape. (Source) 02-26-2026 17:38 |
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Alameda's Financial Mismanagement and SBF's Leadership Criticized
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the perception of Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) as an effective altruist aiming to use wealth for global betterment is a myth. Instead, Alameda Research, under SBF's leadership, lacked proper financial controls and showed disregard for its own funds. Gaevoy alleges that SBF, aware of these issues, ignored them, raising concerns over the operational transparency of Alameda and the broader implications for FTX-related entities. (Source) 02-20-2026 15:23 |
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Wintermute Expands Trading Team Amid Market Volatility
According to Evgeny Gaevoy, Wintermute is actively seeking exceptional talent to join its trading team, regardless of market conditions. The firm emphasizes growth and resilience in both bullish and bearish environments. Wintermute is hosting a Trader Assessment Day in London, targeting 2026 graduates to compete in quantitative challenges and real-world problem-solving, with top performers advancing to final interviews. (Source) 02-10-2026 11:43 |
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Insider Trading on Polymarket and Kalshi: @EvgenyGaevoy Issues Strong 2026 Warning on Legal and Ethical Risks for Traders
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, insider trading on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi should not be normalized, and he states he will think less of those who engage in it, signaling reputational risk for market participants, source: X post by @EvgenyGaevoy, Jan 5, 2026. He publicly endorses @karbonbased’s guidance that if you possess material non-public information obtained through private channels, you should not trade the related market, source: X post by @EvgenyGaevoy, Jan 5, 2026; X post by @karbonbased, Jan 5, 2026. The guidance further warns that relying on a technicality that insider trading rules do not apply to CFTC derivatives is unlikely to hold up and may carry criminal risk, including prison, source: X post by @karbonbased, Jan 5, 2026; supported by X post by @EvgenyGaevoy, Jan 5, 2026. Trading takeaway: abstain from executing or signaling trades on Polymarket or Kalshi when in possession of material non-public information to mitigate legal exposure and reputational damage, source: X post by @EvgenyGaevoy, Jan 5, 2026; X post by @karbonbased, Jan 5, 2026. (Source) 01-05-2026 10:46 |
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XRP vs Canton: Charles Hoskinson Says XRP and Midnight Operate at 100x Scale — Sentiment Watch for XRP Traders
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, Charles Hoskinson stated that he loves seeing legacy finance work with Canton to build what XRP and Midnight are already doing at a scale 100x beyond those ambitions, adding that these guys never learn and don't understand what makes Web3 unique. source: https://x.com/IOHK_Charles/status/2004459342532051309 source: https://twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/2004651712209162617 This public stance explicitly contrasts XRP and Midnight with Canton and frames a Web3-versus-legacy narrative that can affect headline-driven sentiment in crypto trading, while the posts provide no technical metrics, timelines, or price data. source: https://x.com/IOHK_Charles/status/2004459342532051309 source: https://twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/2004651712209162617 Given the claim and its 100x emphasis, traders focused on narrative momentum may monitor XRP-related market depth, order flow, and social activity for sentiment shifts following the statements. source: https://x.com/IOHK_Charles/status/2004459342532051309 source: https://twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/2004651712209162617 (Source) 12-26-2025 20:33 |
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Crypto Market Sentiment Update: @EvgenyGaevoy Signals Optimism After 8 Years in Crypto — What Traders Should Know
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, he stated that "The 8 years I spent in crypto were the best of my life (so far)," indicating positive crypto market sentiment from the author (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Dec 8, 2025). The post includes no price levels, no project-specific updates, and no trading timelines, making it a qualitative sentiment input rather than actionable trade guidance (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Dec 8, 2025). Traders tracking sentiment-driven flows should note the signal is anecdotal and not accompanied by data or metrics (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Dec 8, 2025). (Source) 12-08-2025 11:15 |
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Evgeny Gaevoy Highlights Crypto Communications Quality, Shares Hotpot DAO Post for Traders
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, he wants to see "more comms like this in crypto" and linked to a Hotpot DAO post, signaling approval of that communication approach for market participants seeking clear project updates (source: twitter.com/EvgenyGaevoy/status/1994383206280548365; x.com/hotpot_dao/status/1994380961962733775). Traders can review the referenced Hotpot DAO communication directly for context (source: x.com/hotpot_dao/status/1994380961962733775). (Source) 11-28-2025 12:29 |
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Evgeny Gaevoy X Post Signals No Trade Setup - Crypto Market Sentiment Update (Nov 27, 2025)
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the author posted a one-line comment lmao, brilliant technology on X on Nov 27, 2025. Source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Nov 27, 2025. The post names no asset or ticker and provides no price levels, volume data, or timeframe, so it offers no identifiable trade setup on its own. Source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Nov 27, 2025. No crypto tickers such as BTC or ETH are mentioned, and no protocol, exchange, or market venue is specified. Source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X, Nov 27, 2025. (Source) 11-27-2025 10:44 |
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X Engagement Bait Warning by Evgeny Gaevoy: Social-Sentiment Signal Risk for Crypto Traders
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, X’s current incentive structure promotes engagement bait over quality content, creating noisier social-sentiment signals that can mislead trading strategies that rely on likes, reposts, and comments (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X). According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the post sarcastically suggests that acceptable engagement bait appears to be favored when tied to US-based styles, implying potential geographic bias in what content is algorithmically amplified on X (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X). According to @EvgenyGaevoy, traders should treat engagement-only spikes on X with caution because the prevalence of engagement farming can distort perceived interest and momentum for tokens when using social-sentiment trading screens (source: @EvgenyGaevoy on X). (Source) 11-24-2025 16:52 |
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Evgeny Gaevoy: ETF Flow Prints Are a Lagging Sell Signal; On-Chain Market Maker Moves Also Delay — Crypto Traders Take Note
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, ETF flow prints are a very delayed indicator and by the time they are reported the selling has already occurred within ETFs, reducing their usefulness for real-time trade timing, source: Evgeny Gaevoy on X, Nov 24, 2025. He adds that market makers’ on-chain wallet movements show the same lag, so reacting to those transactions is often late for execution, source: Evgeny Gaevoy on X, Nov 24, 2025. For trading, these metrics should be treated as lagging signals rather than leading indicators when managing crypto market risk, source: Evgeny Gaevoy on X, Nov 24, 2025. (Source) 11-24-2025 12:45 |
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Evgeny Gaevoy: TradFi Solved Perp Issues, Real Risk Is Crypto’s 3-in-1 Exchange Model of Prime Broker, CLOB and Custodian
According to Evgeny Gaevoy, the real issue in crypto derivatives is not perpetual futures design but centralized and quasi decentralized exchanges that act as prime broker, central limit order book and custodian in a single venue, which drives the core market structure risk for traders, source: Evgeny Gaevoy. Gaevoy adds that traditional finance solved these structural problems long ago and argues attention should shift from tweaking perp design to fixing the exchange role combination, source: Evgeny Gaevoy. (Source) 11-17-2025 13:05 |
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Ethereum Airdrop 2025: DAT Contributors Receive Major Rewards, Market Eyes somETHing Community Impact (ETH Analysis)
According to @EvgenyGaevoy, the recent Ethereum airdrop in 2025 primarily rewarded DAT contributors, with many somETHing community members receiving notable benefits for their efforts. This distribution pattern may influence trading sentiment around ETH as the airdrop's focus on DAT contributors over broader participants could affect token liquidity and short-term price dynamics. Market participants are monitoring the impact of these rewards on ETH trading volumes and potential sell pressure as recipients realize their gains (source: @EvgenyGaevoy). (Source) 07-29-2025 13:41 |