TAO Reclaims 21-Day MA and Key $250–$260 Support After December Halving: Analyst Sees Potential Run to $500 in 2–3 Months
According to @CryptoMichNL, TAO has moved back above its 21-day moving average and is grinding back over prior support, improving the near-term technical setup, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026. The author notes TAO experienced a sharp post-halving correction in December but is now stabilizing, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026. He identifies $250–$260 as the critical support; if it holds, his base case targets a move toward $500 within the next 2–3 months, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 8, 2026.
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Bittensor's $TAO cryptocurrency has captured significant attention in the crypto trading community, especially following its recent halving event in December. As highlighted by trader Michaël van de Poppe, this asset underwent a sharp correction post-halving but is now showing promising signs of recovery. The token has reclaimed its position above the 21-day moving average, a key technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum in cryptocurrency price analysis. More crucially, $TAO is grinding back above its previous support levels, setting the stage for potential upward movement in the coming months.
Technical Analysis and Support Levels for $TAO Trading
Diving deeper into the trading dynamics, the critical support zone between $250 and $260 is pivotal for $TAO's trajectory. According to van de Poppe's insights shared on January 8, 2026, as long as this range holds firm, the primary scenario points to a rally toward $500 within the next two to three months. This projection aligns with classic technical patterns observed in altcoin markets, where post-halving corrections often give way to accumulation phases. Traders should monitor trading volumes closely; a surge in on-chain activity could validate this bullish thesis. For instance, if $TAO maintains above the 21-day MA, it might attract institutional flows, especially given its role in the decentralized AI ecosystem. Resistance levels to watch include the $350 mark, which previously acted as a barrier during the correction phase. Breaking this could accelerate momentum, offering swing trading opportunities for those positioning long in TAO/USDT or TAO/BTC pairs.
Market Sentiment and Broader Implications for AI Tokens
The broader market sentiment surrounding AI-focused cryptocurrencies like $TAO remains optimistic, driven by growing interest in artificial intelligence integrations within blockchain. The halving event, which typically reduces supply and can inflate prices over time, has positioned $TAO as one of the most intriguing assets in the space. Without real-time data, we can infer from historical patterns that corrections post-halving often lead to explosive rebounds, as seen in other tokens. Institutional investors may view this as a buying opportunity, potentially boosting liquidity and trading volumes. For crypto traders, this scenario underscores the importance of risk management; setting stop-losses just below the $250 support could protect against downside volatility. Moreover, correlations with major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) should be considered—if BTC stabilizes above $60,000, it could provide tailwinds for altcoins like $TAO, enhancing cross-market trading strategies.
Looking ahead, the path to $500 represents a substantial upside potential, roughly doubling from current support levels, making $TAO a focal point for both short-term scalpers and long-term holders. Traders might explore leveraged positions on exchanges, but caution is advised amid market uncertainties. On-chain metrics, such as increased wallet activity or staking participation in the Bittensor network, could further support this rally. In summary, $TAO's recovery above key moving averages and supports signals a compelling trading narrative, blending technical strength with fundamental AI-driven value. For those optimizing their portfolios, incorporating $TAO could diversify exposure to emerging tech trends in cryptocurrency, potentially yielding high returns if the bullish scenario unfolds as anticipated.
To enhance trading decisions, consider the interplay with global market factors. For example, positive developments in AI regulations or partnerships could propel $TAO higher, influencing sentiment across related tokens. Historical data from similar halving events in other cryptos suggests that patience during consolidation phases often pays off. Traders should track indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for overbought signals as prices approach resistance. Ultimately, $TAO exemplifies how strategic analysis of support levels and moving averages can uncover profitable opportunities in the volatile crypto landscape, encouraging a data-driven approach to maximize gains while mitigating risks.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast