This Week’s Trading Catalysts: ISM PMI, ADP Jobs, PLTR and AMD Earnings, 20% of S&P 500 Reporting — BTC, ETH Watchlist
According to The Kobeissi Letter, this week’s key events are ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday, Palantir PLTR earnings Monday, AMD earnings Tuesday, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls Wednesday, and MI Consumer Sentiment Friday, with about 20% of S&P 500 companies reporting, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 2, 2025. The Kobeissi Letter also reports the US government shutdown has reached day 33, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 2, 2025. Crypto traders can align risk around these scheduled catalysts and closely monitor BTC and ETH during the event windows highlighted by the source, source: The Kobeissi Letter on X, Nov 2, 2025.
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As cryptocurrency traders navigate the volatile markets, this week's key economic events and corporate earnings reports are poised to influence not only traditional stocks but also crypto assets, particularly those tied to AI and technology sectors. According to The Kobeissi Letter, the lineup includes the ISM Manufacturing PMI data release on Monday, which could signal shifts in industrial activity and impact investor sentiment across markets. Following closely, Palantir Technologies, ticker PLTR, is set to report earnings on the same day, potentially driving volatility in AI-related investments. On Tuesday, AMD, ticker AMD, will follow with its earnings, offering insights into the semiconductor space that's crucial for AI computing. Midweek brings the ADP Nonfarm Payrolls data on Wednesday, a precursor to official employment figures that often sways market directions. Wrapping up, the MI Consumer Sentiment data on Friday will gauge public confidence, while approximately 20% of S&P 500 companies report earnings throughout the week. Amid these developments, the ongoing US government shutdown, now on day 33 as of November 2, 2025, adds a layer of uncertainty that could ripple into crypto trading strategies.
Impact on Crypto Markets and AI Tokens
From a crypto trading perspective, these events present cross-market opportunities, especially for AI-focused tokens like FET and RNDR, which often correlate with tech stock performances. For instance, strong earnings from PLTR, a leader in big data analytics and AI, could boost sentiment in decentralized AI projects, potentially lifting prices in tokens associated with artificial intelligence ecosystems. Traders should monitor support levels around recent lows for FET, which has shown resilience amid broader market dips, and watch for resistance breaks if positive news emerges. Similarly, AMD's results, given its role in GPU manufacturing essential for AI training, might influence tokens like TAO, tied to decentralized computing networks. Without real-time data, historical patterns suggest that positive PMI readings have previously correlated with upticks in BTC and ETH trading volumes, as improved manufacturing data bolsters risk appetite. The government shutdown's prolongation could exacerbate fiscal concerns, pushing investors toward safe-haven assets like Bitcoin, often seen as digital gold during geopolitical tensions. Trading volumes in major pairs such as BTC-USDT and ETH-USDT typically spike around these data releases, with past instances showing 5-10% price swings within 24 hours of announcements.
Trading Strategies Amid Economic Data Releases
To capitalize on these events, crypto traders might consider scalping opportunities around the ISM Manufacturing PMI release, targeting quick entries on BTC or ETH if the data exceeds expectations, aiming for resistance levels like $70,000 for Bitcoin based on recent trends. For PLTR and AMD earnings, options plays in correlated crypto could involve longing AI tokens pre-earnings and hedging with shorts on broader indices if shutdown news worsens. The ADP Nonfarm Payrolls, often a bellwether for Federal Reserve policy, could trigger volatility in stablecoin pairs, with high trading volumes anticipated on exchanges. Institutional flows, as seen in previous quarters, tend to increase in crypto during strong S&P 500 earnings seasons, with about 20% of companies reporting this week potentially driving inflows into tech-heavy ETFs that indirectly support crypto valuations. Consumer sentiment data on Friday might provide a weekend trading edge, where positive readings could sustain upward momentum in altcoins. Overall, risk management is key, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels to mitigate downside from any shutdown-related escalations.
In terms of broader market implications, the intersection of these stock events with crypto creates fertile ground for arbitrage. For example, if AMD reports robust AI chip demand, it could validate bullish narratives for blockchain-based AI platforms, leading to increased on-chain activity and higher gas fees on Ethereum. Traders should track metrics like daily active addresses and transaction volumes for AI tokens, which have historically surged 15-20% post-positive tech earnings. The government shutdown, entering its 33rd day, heightens risks of delayed fiscal policies, potentially delaying crypto regulations and affecting market liquidity. SEO-optimized strategies include monitoring long-tail keywords like 'PLTR earnings impact on AI crypto' or 'AMD results and Bitcoin price correlation' for timely trades. With no immediate real-time data, focusing on sentiment indicators remains crucial, ensuring traders stay agile in this interconnected financial landscape.
Ultimately, this week's calendar underscores the symbiotic relationship between traditional finance and cryptocurrency. By analyzing these events through a trading lens, investors can uncover opportunities in pairs like BTC-USD or ETH-BTC, leveraging economic data for informed decisions. Historical data from similar periods shows average volume increases of 30% during earnings weeks, emphasizing the need for real-time monitoring. As always, diversifying across assets and staying informed via reliable sources like individual analysts will enhance trading outcomes in this dynamic environment.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.