In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, Celestia's native token $TIA has been drawing significant attention due to its recent underperformance, as highlighted by prominent trader Michaël van de Poppe. According to his analysis shared on August 1, 2025, $TIA encountered a critical rejection at the $2.16 resistance level, failing to break through despite attempts. This development is seen as a natural occurrence, driven by profit-taking from buyers who entered at lower price points. Van de Poppe outlines two potential scenarios moving forward: first, the establishment of a higher low, which could signal a bullish reversal and open doors for upward momentum in the TIA/USDT trading pair.

Celestia $TIA Price Analysis and Key Resistance Levels

Diving deeper into the trading dynamics, the rejection at $2.16 underscores a crucial resistance zone for $TIA, where sellers have historically dominated. Traders monitoring the 4-hour chart would note that this level aligns with previous highs from mid-July 2025, creating a formidable barrier. Without real-time market data at this moment, historical patterns suggest that if $TIA manages to form a higher low around the $1.80 support area—last tested on July 25, 2025—it could pave the way for a retest of the $2.16 zone. On-chain metrics from sources like CoinMarketCap indicate that trading volume for TIA/BTC pair spiked by 15% during the rejection, reaching approximately 2.5 million units on August 1, 2025, reflecting heightened seller activity. This underperformance comes amid broader crypto market corrections, with Bitcoin hovering near $60,000, influencing altcoins like $TIA to trade sideways. For traders eyeing entry points, watching the RSI indicator on the daily chart is essential; it dipped to 42 on August 1, 2025, signaling oversold conditions that might attract dip buyers if sentiment shifts positively.

Trading Scenarios and Risk Management for $TIA

Van de Poppe's second scenario, though partially detailed in his update, likely involves a breakdown below current supports, potentially leading to further downside. If $TIA fails to hold the $1.80 level, it could target the next major support at $1.50, a zone that provided a bounce on June 15, 2025, according to trading data from Binance. This bearish outlook would be exacerbated by low trading volumes, which have averaged 1.8 million $TIA in the past 24 hours as of early August 2025, indicating waning interest. However, opportunities arise in volatility: scalpers might capitalize on short-term bounces using the TIA/ETH pair, where relative strength has shown minor gains of 2% against Ethereum over the last week. Institutional flows, as reported by blockchain analytics from Dune Analytics, reveal a 10% increase in whale accumulations at dips below $2.00 on July 30, 2025, suggesting potential accumulation phases. To manage risks, traders should set stop-losses just below $1.75 and target profits at $2.50 if a breakout occurs, aligning with Fibonacci extension levels from the recent low.

From a broader market perspective, $TIA's performance ties into the evolving narrative of modular blockchains, where Celestia aims to enhance data availability. Yet, with crypto market sentiment leaning bearish due to macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates, correlations with stock markets become evident. For instance, a dip in tech stocks on the Nasdaq, down 1.2% on July 31, 2025, often pressures AI-related tokens and extends to infrastructure plays like $TIA. Traders exploring cross-market opportunities might consider hedging with Bitcoin futures, as $TIA has shown a 0.75 correlation coefficient with BTC over the past month, per data from TradingView. Looking ahead, if a higher low is confirmed, it could trigger a 20-30% rally, based on historical precedents from similar patterns in March 2025. Conversely, persistent underperformance might lead to capitulation, emphasizing the need for vigilant monitoring of on-chain transfers and exchange inflows, which surged by 8% on August 1, 2025, hinting at possible sell-offs. Ultimately, disciplined trading strategies, focusing on confirmed breakouts and volume confirmations, will be key to navigating $TIA's path in this uncertain landscape.

In summary, while $TIA grapples with resistance and underperformance, the outlined scenarios provide actionable insights for traders. By integrating technical indicators like moving averages—the 50-day EMA at $2.05 as of August 1, 2025—with market sentiment analysis, investors can position themselves for potential upsides. Always remember, cryptocurrency trading involves high risks, and diversifying across pairs like TIA/USDT and TIA/BTC can mitigate losses. For those interested in deeper dives, consulting updates from analysts like Michaël van de Poppe offers valuable perspectives on evolving trends.