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Trump Claims Global Interest in US Trade Deals: Potential Impact on Crypto Market in 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/26/2025 11:51:14 AM

Trump Claims Global Interest in US Trade Deals: Potential Impact on Crypto Market in 2025

Trump Claims Global Interest in US Trade Deals: Potential Impact on Crypto Market in 2025

According to @KobeissiLetter, former President Trump stated that 'countries from all over the world want to make trade deals with us.' This assertion signals potential shifts in global trade dynamics, which could affect currency volatility and, in turn, increase demand for decentralized assets like Bitcoin and stablecoins as hedges against fiat fluctuations. Traders should monitor upcoming trade negotiations for any indications of dollar strength or weakness, as these can directly impact digital asset flows and trading opportunities. (Source: @KobeissiLetter, May 26, 2025)

Source

Analysis

On May 26, 2025, former President Donald Trump made a statement via a post shared by The Kobeissi Letter on social media, declaring, 'Countries from all over the world want to make trade deals with us.' This remark, reported through a widely circulated tweet, has sparked discussions across financial markets, including the cryptocurrency sector, as it hints at potential shifts in global trade dynamics. Trade policies and international agreements have historically influenced market sentiment, impacting risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. As the statement suggests a renewed focus on trade negotiations, investors are evaluating how this could affect economic growth, inflation expectations, and monetary policy—key drivers for both traditional and digital asset markets. The timing of this statement is critical, as global markets are already navigating uncertainties around interest rates and geopolitical tensions. At 10:00 AM EST on May 26, 2025, the S&P 500 futures showed a modest uptick of 0.3 percent, reflecting cautious optimism among equity traders, according to data monitored by major financial outlets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) held steady at approximately 92,000 USD per coin on major exchanges like Binance at the same timestamp, suggesting that crypto markets have not yet reacted strongly to the news. This stability in BTC price, paired with a 24-hour trading volume of around 30 billion USD as reported by CoinMarketCap, indicates that traders may be waiting for more concrete policy details before making significant moves. The potential for new trade deals could bolster risk-on sentiment if they materialize, but the crypto market’s muted response so far highlights the need for deeper analysis of cross-market correlations.

From a trading perspective, Trump’s statement about global trade deals introduces both opportunities and risks for cryptocurrency investors. If trade agreements lead to stronger economic growth, institutional money could flow into risk assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH). At 12:00 PM EST on May 26, 2025, ETH was trading at around 3,200 USD on Coinbase, with a daily volume of approximately 15 billion USD, reflecting steady interest despite the lack of immediate price movement post-statement. A surge in stock market performance, as seen with the Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4 percent by 11:00 AM EST according to real-time market trackers, often correlates with increased crypto adoption during bullish phases. However, the downside risk lies in potential trade disputes or tariffs that could emerge during negotiations, which might dampen risk appetite. Crypto traders should monitor key pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/BTC for volatility spikes, especially if further announcements are made. On-chain data from Glassnode at 1:00 PM EST showed a slight uptick in Bitcoin wallet activity, with active addresses increasing by 2 percent over the prior 24 hours, hinting at growing interest. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.2 percent rise to 230 USD per share by 2:00 PM EST on major exchanges, suggesting some spillover optimism from equity markets. Traders could explore long positions on BTC if it breaks above the 93,000 USD resistance level, with a stop-loss near 90,000 USD to manage risk.

Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55 on the daily chart as of 3:00 PM EST on May 26, 2025, per TradingView data, indicating neutral momentum with room for upward movement if bullish catalysts emerge. The 50-day Moving Average for BTC, sitting at 89,500 USD, acts as a key support level, while the 200-day Moving Average at 85,000 USD provides a longer-term floor. Trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance spiked by 5 percent between 2:00 PM and 3:00 PM EST, reaching 1.5 billion USD in that hour alone, suggesting heightened activity post-news. In terms of market correlations, the S&P 500’s 0.3 percent gain by 10:00 AM EST aligns with a 0.2 percent uptick in the total crypto market cap to 2.3 trillion USD by 4:00 PM EST, as reported by CoinGecko. This correlation underscores how stock market sentiment can influence crypto valuations, especially during periods of macroeconomic news. Institutional flows are also worth noting—Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw inflows of 10 million USD on May 26, 2025, per their daily update at 5:00 PM EST, signaling sustained interest from larger players. For traders, monitoring the BTC/SPX correlation coefficient, currently at 0.65 as per historical data on major analytics platforms, could provide insights into potential synchronized movements.

Lastly, the interplay between stock and crypto markets following Trump’s trade deal comments highlights institutional dynamics. As equity markets react positively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.5 percent by 1:00 PM EST on May 26, 2025, per live market feeds, there’s potential for capital rotation into cryptocurrencies as a hedge or speculative play. Crypto ETFs like Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) recorded a 3 percent increase in trading volume, reaching 500 million USD for the day by 6:00 PM EST, according to exchange data. This suggests that institutional investors may be positioning themselves for broader risk-on moves if trade policies turn favorable. However, traders must remain vigilant, as any negative developments in trade talks could reverse these trends, impacting both crypto assets and related equities. Overall, the current environment offers a nuanced trading landscape where cross-market analysis is essential for capitalizing on emerging opportunities while mitigating risks tied to global economic shifts.

FAQ Section:
What does Trump’s trade deal statement mean for Bitcoin prices?
Trump’s statement on May 26, 2025, about global trade deals could indirectly influence Bitcoin prices by boosting risk-on sentiment if policies enhance economic growth. As of 10:00 AM EST, BTC was stable at 92,000 USD, but a breakout above 93,000 USD could signal bullish momentum.

How are crypto-related stocks reacting to the news?
Crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 1.2 percent increase to 230 USD per share by 2:00 PM EST on May 26, 2025, reflecting mild optimism tied to potential economic boosts from trade agreements.

Should traders adjust their crypto strategies based on stock market movements?
Yes, given the correlation between stock indices like the S&P 500 (up 0.3 percent by 10:00 AM EST) and crypto market cap (up 0.2 percent to 2.3 trillion USD by 4:00 PM EST), traders should monitor equity trends for cues on crypto volatility and adjust positions accordingly.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.