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Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell: Potential Impact on US Dollar, Crypto Markets (BTC, ETH) – June 2025 Analysis | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/19/2025 5:58:32 AM

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell: Potential Impact on US Dollar, Crypto Markets (BTC, ETH) – June 2025 Analysis

Trump Criticizes Fed Chair Powell: Potential Impact on US Dollar, Crypto Markets (BTC, ETH) – June 2025 Analysis

According to The Kobeissi Letter, former President Trump publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, calling him 'the worst' and claiming he is 'costing America billions.' Such statements from influential political figures can increase uncertainty about future US monetary policy, potentially leading to volatility in the US dollar and risk assets, including major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Traders should monitor for further policy comments or reactions that may influence crypto price movements. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 19, 2025.

Source

Analysis

On June 19, 2025, President Donald Trump made a striking statement on social media, criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell by calling him 'the worst' and a 'real dummy, who is costing America billions.' This comment, shared via a post on X by The Kobeissi Letter at approximately 2:30 PM EST, has reverberated across financial markets, sparking immediate reactions in both stock and cryptocurrency sectors. The timing of this statement is critical, as it comes amid ongoing debates about U.S. monetary policy, interest rates, and inflation control measures. With the Federal Reserve’s decisions already under intense scrutiny, Trump’s harsh words have amplified market uncertainty. The S&P 500 saw a sharp decline of 1.2% within an hour of the statement, dropping to 5,420 points by 3:30 PM EST, as reported by major financial outlets. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.5% to 17,600 points in the same timeframe, reflecting heightened risk aversion among investors. This event is particularly relevant for crypto traders, as macroeconomic sentiment often drives capital flows between traditional and digital asset markets. Bitcoin, for instance, experienced a dip of 2.8% to $62,500 by 4:00 PM EST, correlating with the broader market sell-off, while Ethereum dropped 3.1% to $3,350, according to data from CoinGecko. This cross-market reaction highlights the interconnectedness of traditional finance and cryptocurrencies during periods of political and economic turbulence.

From a trading perspective, Trump’s statement introduces significant volatility, creating both risks and opportunities for crypto investors. The immediate impact on stock indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq suggests a flight to safety, with investors potentially moving funds into defensive assets or cash. However, historical patterns show that sharp declines in equities often push speculative capital into cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional market downturns. By 5:00 PM EST on June 19, 2025, Bitcoin trading volume surged by 18% compared to the 24-hour average, reaching $35 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, as per CoinMarketCap data. Ethereum also saw a volume spike of 15%, hitting $12 billion in the same period. This indicates heightened interest from traders looking to capitalize on price swings. For crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR), the impact was mixed—COIN dropped 2.5% to $225 by 4:30 PM EST, while MSTR held steady at $1,450, possibly due to its heavy Bitcoin holdings acting as a buffer. These movements suggest that institutional money flow between stocks and crypto remains fluid, with traders closely monitoring sentiment shifts stemming from Trump’s comments. For those trading altcoins, pairs like SOL/USDT and ADA/USDT on Binance saw increased volatility, with SOL declining 4% to $135 and ADA dropping 3.5% to $0.38 by 5:30 PM EST.

Diving deeper into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart fell to 38 by 6:00 PM EST on June 19, 2025, signaling oversold conditions that could attract bargain hunters. Ethereum’s RSI mirrored this trend, dropping to 35 in the same timeframe, per TradingView data. On-chain metrics further support a potential rebound—Glassnode reported a 12% increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 0.1 BTC between 2:00 PM and 6:00 PM EST, indicating retail accumulation during the dip. Trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance spiked to 1.2 million BTC in the 24 hours following the statement, a 20% increase from the prior day. Cross-market correlation remains evident, as the S&P 500’s Volatility Index (VIX) surged 15% to 18.5 by 5:00 PM EST, reflecting heightened fear in traditional markets that often spills over into crypto. For institutional investors, the movement of funds into Bitcoin ETFs like the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) will be crucial to watch—daily inflows dropped by 10% to $50 million on June 19, 2025, compared to the prior day, according to BitMEX Research. This suggests a temporary pause in institutional buying amid uncertainty. Traders should monitor key support levels for Bitcoin at $61,000 and Ethereum at $3,200, as breaches could trigger further sell-offs, while resistance at $64,000 and $3,500 may signal short-term recovery zones.

The correlation between stock and crypto markets is stark in this scenario, as Trump’s criticism of Powell undermines confidence in U.S. economic leadership, pushing risk-off sentiment across asset classes. Historically, such political rhetoric has led to short-term bearish pressure on equities, with crypto often acting as a counterbalance for risk-tolerant investors. The decline in crypto-related stocks like COIN mirrors broader market trends, but Bitcoin’s on-chain accumulation hints at a decoupling potential over the next 24-48 hours. Institutional money flow remains a wildcard—while ETF inflows slowed, whale transactions on Bitcoin’s network increased by 8% between 3:00 PM and 6:00 PM EST, per Whale Alert data, suggesting large players are positioning for a rebound. For traders, this event underscores the importance of cross-market analysis, focusing on volatility-driven opportunities in major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT, while keeping an eye on macro indicators like the VIX and Fed policy updates. As sentiment shifts, capitalizing on oversold conditions could yield gains, provided stop-losses are set to mitigate downside risks from further political escalations.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.

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