Trump DOJ Investigates Biden-Era Pardons: Crypto Market Eyes Regulatory Impact

According to Fox News, the Trump Department of Justice has launched an investigation into pardons issued during the Biden administration, citing concerns over the state of mind in decision-making processes (Fox News, June 3, 2025). Traders are closely monitoring this development, as increased regulatory scrutiny could signal heightened oversight across financial sectors, including the cryptocurrency market. Heightened legal uncertainty may lead to increased volatility and risk-off sentiment among crypto investors, especially for assets sensitive to U.S. regulatory actions. Market participants should watch for further DOJ statements to assess potential shifts in compliance requirements and enforcement priorities impacting digital assets.
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Diving deeper into the trading implications, the investigation news could indirectly affect institutional money flow between traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies. Political uncertainty often leads to a flight to quality, where investors move funds into perceived safe havens like Bitcoin or Ethereum (ETH). On June 3, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, ETH is trading at 2,350 USD on Kraken, with a 24-hour volume of 12.3 billion USD for the ETH/USDT pair, reflecting steady interest despite the news. Historically, during periods of political tension, such as the January 6, 2021, Capitol unrest, BTC trading volume spiked by 18 percent within 24 hours, as reported by CoinMarketCap. This suggests a potential opportunity for traders to monitor BTC and ETH for sudden volume surges or price pumps in the coming days. Moreover, crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which holds significant Bitcoin reserves, saw a 2.1 percent dip to 1,580.50 USD by 1:00 PM EST on June 3, 2025, potentially reflecting early market jitters. Traders should also watch for increased volatility in crypto ETFs, such as the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), which traded at 22.10 USD with a volume of 8.5 million shares by midday on June 3, 2025, on the NYSE Arca. The interplay between political news and market sentiment could create short-term trading opportunities, especially for scalpers targeting quick price movements in BTC/USDT or ETH/BTC pairs on platforms like Binance and Coinbase.
From a technical perspective, key indicators and volume data provide further insight into potential market reactions. As of June 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart stands at 52 on TradingView, indicating a neutral position but with room for upward momentum if buying pressure increases due to risk aversion. The 24-hour trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance has risen by 3.4 percent to 26.1 billion USD by 3:00 PM EST, signaling growing interest. Ethereum’s Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart show a tightening range, with the price hovering at 2,355 USD at 3:30 PM EST, suggesting a potential breakout if external catalysts like political uncertainty drive sentiment. Cross-market correlations are also evident: the S&P 500 index dropped 0.8 percent to 5,320 points by 11:00 AM EST on June 3, 2025, reflecting broader market caution that often correlates with a rise in crypto safe-haven demand. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal that Bitcoin’s net transfer volume to exchanges increased by 12 percent over the past 24 hours as of 4:00 PM EST, hinting at potential selling pressure or profit-taking amid uncertainty. For institutional impact, the correlation between stock market movements and crypto assets remains strong, with a 0.65 correlation coefficient between BTC and the NASDAQ Composite over the past 30 days, per data from Yahoo Finance. This suggests that any sustained downturn in equities due to political news could inversely boost crypto prices. Traders should remain vigilant, using stop-loss orders near key support levels like 67,500 USD for BTC and 2,300 USD for ETH to manage risks while eyeing breakout opportunities driven by institutional flows and market sentiment shifts.
In summary, while the Trump DOJ investigation into Biden-era pardons does not directly target crypto markets, its influence on stock market sentiment and institutional behavior creates actionable trading scenarios. Monitoring crypto-related stocks like COIN and MSTR, alongside major crypto assets like BTC and ETH, will be key for traders navigating this landscape. With precise timing and attention to volume spikes and technical indicators, opportunities for profit in volatile markets are within reach for informed investors.
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