Trump Orders Probe Into Biden's Autopen Use Amid Cognitive Decline Concerns: Crypto Market Braces for Political Volatility

According to Fox News, former President Trump has instructed the Attorney General to investigate President Biden's use of an autopen for signing official documents, citing concerns about Biden's cognitive decline. This unprecedented move introduces heightened political uncertainty, which historically triggers increased volatility in both traditional equities and the cryptocurrency market. Traders are closely monitoring potential regulatory or executive disruptions that could impact digital asset prices, especially as political headlines influence risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. Source: Fox News (twitter.com/FoxNews/status/1930509931427287213).
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From a trading perspective, this political event creates both risks and opportunities across markets. The heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. leadership could drive a flight to safety, with investors potentially moving capital from volatile assets like crypto into more stable instruments such as bonds or gold. However, it also opens short-term trading opportunities in crypto markets, particularly for risk-tolerant traders. For instance, Bitcoin’s trading volume surged by 18 percent to $35.2 billion in the 24 hours leading up to 6:00 PM EDT on June 5, 2025, indicating increased activity and potential for price swings. Ethereum also saw a volume spike of 15 percent to $18.9 billion during the same timeframe, as reported by CoinGecko. Cross-market analysis reveals a strong correlation between the S&P 500’s decline and Bitcoin’s price drop, with a correlation coefficient of 0.85 observed over the past week, based on historical data from TradingView. This suggests that further negative developments in the stock market could pressure crypto prices downward. Conversely, any resolution or de-escalation of political concerns could trigger a relief rally in both markets. Traders should also watch crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN), which fell 3.4 percent to $225.60 as of the market close on June 5, 2025, mirroring broader market sentiment.
Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 42 on the daily chart as of 7:00 PM EDT on June 5, 2025, signaling oversold conditions and a potential reversal if buying pressure returns, per TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI mirrored this trend at 40, suggesting a similar setup for a bounce. On-chain metrics further highlight a 12 percent increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC, recorded at 8:00 PM EDT on June 5, 2025, via Glassnode, indicating accumulation by larger players despite the price dip. Trading pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD on major exchanges such as Binance showed elevated sell pressure, with order book depth favoring sellers by a 60:40 ratio as of 9:00 PM EDT. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, institutional money flow appears to be shifting, with reports of reduced inflows into Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which saw a net outflow of $28 million on June 5, 2025, according to Bloomberg data. This reflects waning institutional confidence amid political noise. Meanwhile, market sentiment, as gauged by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped to 38 (Fear) from 45 the previous day, recorded at 10:00 PM EDT on June 5, 2025, via Alternative.me, underscoring the broader risk-off mood.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets in this scenario is critical for traders. With political uncertainty acting as a catalyst, the correlation between traditional indices and crypto assets remains pronounced, offering opportunities for cross-market arbitrage or hedging strategies. Institutional investors may continue to pivot away from risk assets, impacting crypto-related ETFs and stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which declined 4.1 percent to $1,580.20 on June 5, 2025, as per Yahoo Finance. Traders should remain vigilant for breaking news on this investigation, as any escalation could further depress risk appetite, while a resolution might spur a recovery in both markets. Monitoring on-chain data and stock market volume changes will be key to navigating this volatile period effectively.
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